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ceteris
@ceterispar1bus
head of research | delphi
1.7K Following    43.3K Followers
converting money to aura i fucking love this guy man
Tulip King explains why converting money to aura is so beneficial for full time traders "I think trading is a hard lifestyle. One of my benefits is I could, but I've never lived off of trading. I've always had a job. And I've always made sure no matter how big the number gets, to live within the means of my job. I very much live within my means which makes the trading easy." "But if you're a trader, you are reliant on that number. If my portfolio zeros or goes down, I'm still gonna make rent. But if you're literally trading as your job, your emotional connection to that number is so much higher." "The reason that's relevant to this is now that you can make money from the content side of trading, I think you're looking at it and you're like, okay I can have all this aura and my paid group or my course selling or sponsors. You can have a bad month trading and still make rent and you don't have to sell your portfolio when it's down." "If you were a trader who can now convert into aura, you have actually managed your portfolio where there's now a cashflow income component that was not there, because none of these crypto assets are dividend assets or cashflow assets. You've now introduced cashflow, and cash is king, cash is a safety net." "If I aura-trade my portfolio in such a way that I introduce cashflow into my lifestyle, I can actually de-risk my portfolio."
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if you’re a virgin and you were wondering what sex is like. it’s this.
If you are catching up on Task Markets? @Delphi_Digital wrote a great report Daydreams Taskmarket today 33k agent accounts Dozens to hundreds of agents supplying verifiable work on each task posted USDC in and out of the market from anywhere @solana @arc @ethereum Contracts on @Base
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Memecoins have a mission again. Meme-stocks are the new frontier in an otherwise played-out memecoin meta, turning holders into voters. A Fartcoin-sized BONER with a community LP and delegated HIMS would control ~7% of HIMS votes at the peak and ~8% today.
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The best part about @Backpack's stock token model is that any brokerage user can mint and redeem the tokens themselves. This makes it much easier for anyone to run the arb between shares/tokens and bring inventory onchain when needed to keep prices in line. Went into how this works in the recent tokenized stocks report 🙏
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Ceteris explains how chasing faster gains in a bull market can hurt you in the long run. “Your main bags are down 50% from the highs, but then you also got rid of a quarter of them because you were doing this other stuff.”
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key observations are pretty straightforward: 1. @DeriveXYZ increased their lion's share, with market share by premium vol up from high 80s to now 93-94% 2. @paradex saw the biggest growth in market share, up +35% coinciding with their RFQ rollout. As I've been saying, pay attention to Paradex!! 3. Open Interest went up by 3.8x, from $655m to $2.488B 4. Rolling 30d notional sits at almost 5% of Deribit's volume now Obv ethereum:0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be, ethereum:0xb32e10022ffbedfe10bc818a1c7e67d9d87e0fa7, ethereum:0x0f2d719407fdbeff09d87557abb7232601fd9f29 etc have rerated nicely with this growth, but im gonna continue to beat this horse: > we are still very early. Onchain options are just now starting to pick up in terms of traction and volume. I think over the next 12 months, onchain notional vol will be a lot closer to 50% of Deribit's numbers. And there's a good case to be made that onchain will eventually flip Deribit adjust your expectations and dream a little, onchain options are the biggest whitespace in crypto
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"what pattern do you call this?" there is no pattern. it didn't exist. they're calling it the most fucked up chart in existence.
a couple weeks ago @0x_Arcana dropped a deep dive on the PoUW chains, some free links below (and more in comments)
Timely read in light of the recent performance from pearl-2:native and base:0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722, especially if you need a primer on PoUW. 10 free access links to the full report below:
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Timely read in light of the recent performance from pearl-2:native and base:0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722, especially if you need a primer on PoUW. 10 free access links to the full report below:
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our banger deep dive by @simononchain in feb is now public and free to read
Our Zcash report is now unlocked to the public. Zcash sits at the intersection of expanding financial surveillance and growing demand for private money. The thesis is more relevant now than ever. Read the full report here.
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ytd returns: vvv: +1,489% hype: +257% zec: +185% near: +138% morpho: +123% pump: +120% ray: +92% btc: -11% sol: -15% eth: -16%
thanks @apriori0x for having me back on, lots of fun in this one discussing current market. debasement, onchain stock meta, zcash, hype, robinhood, new metas and more.
The big overall meta for crypto is the debasement trade. New Credible Commitments with @ceterispar1bus, head of research at @Delphi_Digital We break down the debasement trade — ZEC, ETH, HOOD, HYPE & COIN. Key takeaway: It's still a token picker's market.
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Resharing a report @accelxr on our team dropped two months ago on Self Driving Labs It’s one of the most exciting areas hitting an inflection point right now Don’t know if there are many other things humanity will benefit more from this next decade
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really dodged a bullet on this one man
one of the biggest mistakes i see (and have done myself) during bull markets is trying to catch everything people see random alts up 10-20% and think they are missing out and constantly try to catch everything this usually ends up churning thru gains on lower conviction trades and missing out on generational holds and even if you successfully navigate the rotation game you still end up underperforming the guy who held the obvious things for several months don’t over complicate things
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new deep dive on the hottest topic right now tokenized equities from @tempst0 and @momilio. goes over adoption metrics but more importantly does a complete breakdown on how all of these versions differ in their legalities. important to understand the nuances between all issuers.
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Tokenized stocks are arriving onchain faster than DeFi can put them to work. The value of distributed tokenized stocks is approaching $3B after growing nearly tenfold since the start of 2025. Securitize's SECZ is the largest individual tokenized stock by value. Strategy and Circle account for three of the next four largest products. Use of tokenized stocks in DeFi remains limited. Deposits grew from almost nothing in mid-2025 to roughly $202M by early September, but they represent less than 7% of total tokenized-stock value. Most of that capital is concentrated in trading pools and early lending markets. Trading and lending give investors ways to use tokenized stocks without moving their capital back through traditional markets. Keeping that capital onchain can support deeper markets and tighter pricing. The next phase will depend less on how many stocks are tokenized and more on what investors can do with them once they arrive.
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zec as a liquidity vacuum for overvalued large caps
the reason zec has received newfound life, imo, actually has little to do with btc, privacy and quantum. those are important features to push the SoV narrative, yes, but i think the bigger reason is that the market has come to the realization that general purpose l1 tokens will not be valued on some sort of "network value" or "metcalfe's law" framework. the two valuation frameworks that make sense are: 1) cash flows 2) SoV eth & sol are both extremely overvalued to any cash flows and will be unless they really hit some insane scaling & usage numbers. eth & sol are also hard to sell as pure SoV's, especially at their respective marketcaps. meanwhile, zec has a capped supply, a truly novel feature in privacy, no systemic defi risks and a smaller market cap. this all adds up to a pretty compelling push for the remaining crypto participants to hit a real 10-20x with good size. if remaining participants all get on board with zec as the "true" alt-SoV to btc then there's a lot of money to be made for early remaining participants. yes, you can say this is ponzu-like, but all SoV's are and they all require some sort of collective belief system. zec's features do genuinely make it a compelling SoV but i do not believe it would be bid if the l1 thesis never fell apart. the l1 thesis falling apart is what led to zec's bid, not anything to do with bitcoin.
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Our writing on @SynaptrixAI, a neurotech company at the bleeding edge of controlling things with your brain. We are proud to back @aryangovil and the team in their mission to change lives, starting with those in wheelchairs.
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