More than $30 trillion of U.S. Treasury debt is outstanding.
Yet the newest Treasury securities less than 4% of the amount outstanding account for about 65% of average daily trading volume.
Why does age matter so much?
When a new Treasury issue appears, the previous benchmark becomes off the run.
Its promised cash flows haven’t changed.
But its market has.
In the 2 year sector, the on-the run note averaged about $56.3 billion in daily trading volume in the New York Fed’s July 2017 June 2024 sample.
The first off the run averaged just $5.5 billion.
Same government.
Similar maturity.
Very different liquidity.
And the difference becomes visible in transaction costs effective spreads rose from 0.66 basis points for the on the run 2 year to 1.22 for the first off the run and 2.23 for the second.
The deeper lesson:
Liquidity isn’t a property of an asset alone.
It’s also a property of how the market uses it.
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