GURGAVIN
@gurgavin
TECH FOCUSED INVESTOR & EVENT DRIVEN TRADER
Joined January 2010
705 Following 468.4K Followers
YESTERDAY JUST SHOWED HOW ACCURATE PREDICTION MARKETS ACTUALLY ARE
THEY CALLED 479 OUT OF 487 RACES CORRECTLY ( THATS OVER 98%)
AND IN THE MAIN RACES THEY CALLED THE WINNERS ON AVERAGE OVER AN HOUR BEFORE THE NEWS
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The favorite on Kalshi won 479 of 487 midterm races so far.
That’s 98%, forecasted before a single vote was counted.
The markets beat the polls and the models. The data 🧵
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