Kasatka Research | crypto🔮
@kasatka_xyz
crypto market research for traders by traders
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Shorting BVIV (@volmexfinance's Bitcoin Volatility Index) at Saturday 00:00 UTC and exiting Monday 00:00 UTC:
• 131 weekends, Apr 2024–Oct 2026
• 24.4% wins
• −2.26% average
• −2.03% median
The full-weekend short failed in this sample.
BVIV-linked mark prices; funding and costs excluded.
1/5 🧵
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Does crypto have a Columbus Day pattern?
Backtested bitcoin:native , ethereum:native , $OTHERS, $TOTAL2 & $TOTAL3 across 2017–2025.
BTC had the stronger 1–2 week follow-through.
Alts were mixed.
All “after” returns below start at Monday’s close.
1/11 🧵
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