Galaxy dropped 6% on Monday, going as low as $22.95.
But our belief still stands: Galaxy will be a $38 stock (save this).
The dip came from two negative headlines, and neither one touched the part of Galaxy that carries the real value...
Headline one: a Foxconn unit got approval to sell its entire Galaxy stake, roughly 4.4 million shares, or about 1% of the company.
The size is manageable, but it killed the speculation that Foxconn was building toward a bigger strategic deal.
The market had been carrying that deal narrative for free, and on Monday it repriced an option we hadn't been underwriting either way.
Headline two: tokenization lead Thomas Cowan left for rival Bullish.
This is one we actually weigh, because it hits the onchain leg of the bull thesis right as management teases new partner announcements - and losing a lead to a direct competitor raises a retention question.
(We're treating it as a yellow flag and watching how quickly they backfill the seat.)
For now, the part of Galaxy that carries the value (Helios)?
It's doing just fine.
On the Q2 AMA,
@Novogratz laid out the valuation frame himself: one big campus, two big chunks of power, one leased out and one to be leased out.
Run a straight discounted cash flow on just those two chunks and you get a number bigger than Galaxy's entire market cap today.
That means everything else, the trading business, the onchain rails, and every future site, is still priced below zero.
The United States is short power, and
@GalaxyHQ has built an expertise at finding it, working with the community, getting it leased up, and delivering on time and on budget.
That process is repeatable, and repeatable processes earn growth multiples.
Now, let's go over the catalysts that're about to ship...
โ First data halls delivered by end of summer.
โ Phase one of Helios fully cash flowing, which Novogratz says is when people will start giving them a lot more credit.
โ Plus the expected second Helios tenant and new onchain partner announcements.
Delivery on each of those will easily eclipse both of Monday's headlines, making the (dip driven by a Foxconn's sale and a staff exit) look more like a buying opp than a red flag.
(And the market tends to agree - the stock is already back up to ~$24.50)
Our PRO team called $HYPE (+46.9%), $HOOD (+25.8%), and $MU (+105.4%), all before they ran.
They've been doing the same with $GLXY.
Don't miss their next entry.
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