Today Numinous is announcing its first forecasting model: Numinous-1! It’s an 8B parameter model fine-tuned over Qwen3-8B. We will make it available in the coming days.
The model was fine tuned using the best reasoning trajectories from the miners. It never sees the prices, only the best belief updates among the miners.
With an optimised harness, the model beats all the miners in our crowd over a 9 days backtest! With a generic harness the model ranks between 5 and 7.