Numinous
@numinous_ai
Mapping the drivers behind every event.
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Today Numinous is releasing its impact UI!
Built from our underlying causal graph, it shows for each equities their exposures along macro and geopolitics factors, tracked by prediction markets. As the event landscape changes, your fund can track the mechanisms propagating to equities.
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Today Numinous is announcing its first forecasting model: Numinous-1! It’s an 8B parameter model fine-tuned over Qwen3-8B. We will make it available in the coming days.
The model was fine tuned using the best reasoning trajectories from the miners. It never sees the prices, only the best belief updates among the miners.
With an optimised harness, the model beats all the miners in our crowd over a 9 days backtest! With a generic harness the model ranks between 5 and 7.
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