We finally know why AI stocks fell so violently over the last month even though nothing signaled that there was anything fundamentally wrong
> Citadel stirred up fear, created headlines, doubled down by making the entire market think a rate hike was coming
> Gets the largest AI hedge fund, situational awareness, liquidated
> buys their assets for Pennie’s on the dollar
> market goes back up
WTF
Lotta crying on X about the $RKLB & $ASTS price action.
Nobody likes to see their position loose half its value, here’s some advice that has helped me through multiple 40% drawdowns, 3 deployments, 1 divorce, and life…. Cowboy the fuck up.
Dollar Cost Average great companies and your life will change for the better I promise.
$LITE rode the first optical wave from $3B to $75B in 2 years time with EML and pluggables.
My thesis is $SIVE can do the same from $3B, with CPO/Pluggables and CW.
Sivers + GFS SiPH reference laser news, alongside the +54% increase today.
Is just one step of the way.
Holy crap, this is the most bullish thing I’ve heard from $SIVE so far.
From earnings transcripts:
“We do not look at competitors when demand far outstrips supply” (literally anything they make gets bought)
Along with: “We see 60% gross margins in the future” (incredibly high)
“We have two technologies that can feed into these three supercycles that are currently going on.” (Holy revenue opportunities)
My high conviction CPO/photonics long is $SIVE for a reason.
Extremely bullish on $SIVE.
I’m very brutally honest when it comes to earnings reports on the names I own.
We got 77% forward growth indications from the entire company’s pipelines… over a single quarter.
$JBL ramp confirmation.
Then multiple volume ramp production starts from management. Multiple.
Should keep exponentially growing over next two years.
This was just the inflection point I called out.
Only thing to look at with $SIVE earnings is forward growth.
Nobody cares about pre-development contract earnings from 2025 or last quarter, especially for qualification cycle optical players.
Having 77% growth of opportunity pipelines (revenue volume ramp projections), to $799m
In a quarter is absolutely incredible growth. And, I’d expect to see that continue compounding.
“The company continues to anticipate several volume production starts within AI data centers” (photonics/lasers).
Is also very positive and validates the thesis about volume ramp for photonics.
Now next thing to look at is earnings call transcript, once they’re indexed, which is the most important signal of what’s to come.
Overall, very positive.
Wow, $SIVE to be listed in the MSCI Global Small Cap Index.
This is overwhelmly positively as it triggers more passive inflows as the MC grows.
Rebalancing takes places May 29th.