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Tnut
@tnuttin1
Strategy & Growth | Building
1.3K Following    40.1K Followers
Worth watching. $WLD continues to try to grow as an identify layer for human and agentic use. Remains to be seen if they succeed but certainly a use case with large TAM. In an interview published October 8, Tools for Humanity Chief Business Officer Trevor Traina disclosed that "multiple major U.S. financial firms" are testing technology designed to verify participants’ identities during video meetings and detect impersonation. The interview also revealed discussions involving World ID for employee verification, authorization of financial transactions, and supplementary KYC checks. Sauce:
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Ok, well I'm going to talk about a token that everyone knows but has been very much forgotten about, and I thought I would never ever write about. The bull case for BAT (please stay with me): Brave is one of the few crypto native companies that won in the real world. $100M+ annualized revenue. 126M monthly users, 55M Daus. Its own search index doing 2.5B queries a month. People use it because it is fast and private performant browser, not because of a token anymore (although they did use the token to incentivise growth for a long time). Its advertising business is very successful, alongside its paid search API. BAT trades at a $170M market cap. Fully circulating. No unlocks. That is 1.7x revenue on a business growing users around 25% a year (not completely verified). And the $100M figure is from early 2025, 40M users ago. I can't find a more up to date figure. The token never captured any of that. That is why it went nowhere for five years. Roadmap 4.0 is the first real attempt to fix it. TLDR on 4.0: Unified Brave Wallet - Cards, self-custody crypto and Rewards in one interface, native in the browser. BravePay - A private, self-custody stablecoin payments layer. Brave Rewards Card - Virtual and physical. Earn BAT on everyday spend. They already have 150k on the waitlist before launch. Buybacks (Big change) - A share of net revenue from the wallet, card and BravePay buys BAT. Opportunistic buybacks on top, disclosed publicly. Distribution is Brave's massive edge, as it is for all successful businesses. Every crypto neobank is fighting for its first million users. Brave starts with 55M people opening the product every day. The wallet is already installed. Acquisition cost is zero. BAT printed an all-time low in August. It has doubled since and still sits 94% below its 2021 high. The rerate has barely got going. Every token has a bear case, so in this case Brave has equity. Token holders technically don't own the $100M. Buybacks come from the new product lines only, and the percentage is undisclosed. Bought BAT is not burned. It funds user rewards, and some recipients will sell. The card has no launch date yet I don't think. So this rerating that I think is possible is not a claim on Brave’s revenue. It is a cheap option on Brave monetising 126M users through payments, with BAT as the reward and the buyback sink. At 1.7x revenue with a new structural bidder, I think that option is mispriced. What is it worth? I don't know. The buyback percentage isn’t disclosed and the new products aren’t live. BAT traded at a $420M market cap last December. Before Roadmap 4.0, before buybacks and 20M users ago. Getting back there is 2.4x. Every $10M a year of buybacks is roughly 6% of today’s market cap. Brave does $100M+ in revenue before payments even launch. I’m not underwriting a specific number. I’m underwriting that I think $170M is the wrong one. If I'm wrong and nothing happens then I think the risk is underperformance more than anything. The thing that I think is also interesting here is a bigger pattern: Old tokens attached to businesses that survived are reworking value capture. Brave is unique as it has an unrivalled sizeable user base it can monetise and finally return value to token holders. Also, fun fact is Brave's founder invented javascript and co founded Mozilla. DYOR, NFA. One life, it's worth a shot etc.
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If I backdoor the Ledger supply, I won't tell anyone, but there will be signs
This is true, no coins ever actually existed before this
Without new pairs traders like myself, multi million dollar coins would not exist We pick coins at 5k they have potential out of the thousands that spawn per hour You owe it all to us I swear to god
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If we get one, expecting Governments to use any AI catastrophe as a digital reichstag fire equivalent An excuse to enact emergency, and then permanent, centralised powers and regulation over the internet and digital finance
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BREAKING: Executives at OpenAI & Anthropic are privately preparing for a potential catastrophic AI incident that could trigger a massive public backlash. — Axios
$QNT should see a 5x-10x over the next 2 years. Position accordingly.
Now I'm not saying the US government cracked bitcoin and are dumping all their bags before making it public But if there was one regime that I believe would actually do that... it's probably this one
The U.S. government deposited 17,733 $BTC ($1.48B) and 750 $WBTC ($62M) into #CoinbasePrime# over the past 3 days. During this period, the price of $BTC dropped 6.9%.
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Guy is pretty clearly yoked and if he cut even a little bit would look insanely good. Current physique looks like a lot of athletes in sports like rugby etc. Replies to this are so fucking lame, social media fucked everyone's brains
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17 years of honest work. NO pump, NO filter. This is why people hop on gear.
All in. Every time. Julia Garner and Anthony Boyle star as Caroline Ellison and Sam Bankman-Fried in this limited series about the love scorned prodigies behind the FTX scandal. The Altruists premieres November 19.
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People read one emotional Matt Green tweet about public key encryption, spent 0 seconds thinking about it, and decide to panic. Sure ECDLP will be broken with QC's one day. But there's so many levels to this being wrong to panic over. - 0 actual progress on attacking anything - We have tons of alternate plans available. - Quadratic advantage hash-based PKE - Lattices - Multivariate polynomials - A whole field of KEM's from fine grained cryptanalysis. (Fun fact, works even if P=NP) Sure you can wake-up and choose doomer and be wrong. We have decades of cryptography to draw from on for all the above options, AND how to build a lot of what we want from UX tweaks without PKE. PKE just made a lot much easier, and less web of trust routing like.
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One interaction with crypto and the AI frontier labs are less profitable than expected
Complex to convey the public-key cryptography fears regarding $ZEC. In the worst case it would fare worse than any transparent chain. There is a reality where shielded addresses become fundamentally inviable for privacy. Uncertainty is higher than ever, sadly.
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Imagine another fakeout first, ala 2025
Now we don't have to imagine, yay!
Imagine another fakeout first, ala 2025
notice how literally fucking nobody called it SI as soon as there was something serious to discuss
Man becomes the first man to walk around the entire planet on foot Twitter: Could've done it a bit quicker
Man becomes the first man to walk around the entire planet on foot Twitter: Could've done it a bit quicker
Imagine another fakeout first, ala 2025
I must not fear. Fear is the mind-killer. Fear is the little-death that brings total obliteration. I will face my fear. I will permit it to pass over me and through me. And when it has gone past I will turn the inner eye to see its path. Where the fear has gone there will be nothing. Only I will remain. Ignore the psyops. Reject the doomerism.
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