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Bojan Tunguz
@tunguz
Founder and CEO @tabul_ai. Creator of @trainxgb. ML ex Nvidia. Data Scientist. Physicist. Catholic. Husband. Father. Stanford Alum. Memelord. e/xgb. AMDG.
8.5K Following    305.7K Followers
Today is the beginning of the Fall of AI.
Tomorrow is the beginning of the Fall of AI.
very very interesting
We published a paper reconceptualizing ADHD as a circadian rhythm disorder.
Not quite there yet, but almost.
AI has made solving math problems trivial, but has also made learning math significantly easier
We are so back.
everyone so busy yapping about AI no one noticed room-temperature superconductor claims are back
This explains @Noahpinion's obsession with Japan and rabbits.
Don't worry, it's all plant based 😂
Why is everyone all of a sudden talking about the Japanese Encephalitis Virus?
"Have your agents work for you while you sleep" is the new "have your money work for you while you sleep."
is this the e/acc that everyone is talking about?
At the current rate of AI progress I predict that it'll be 2027 in just a few months.
Global warming. Duh.
Our Sun is becoming more active and NASA doesn't know why
Tomorrow is the beginning of the Fall of AI.
Literally NO ONE I know would care. And some of my closest friends are mathematicians.
if a human mathematician came up with 100 proofs to important pure maths and theoretical cs problems but didn’t release them, there would be riots
I think we have a few more months, max, left to do any intellectually deep original work.
Mathematics has now become Math-as-a-Service: MaaS.
well, well, well
Context: The OECD PISA score is a bullshit number that takes raw scores (which they don't publish, but there have been leaks) and curve them based on factors that have nothing to do with actual student performance on the tests, like "does your country have universal healthcare". Also, while every US student is subject to inclusion for our testing, other countries exclude low performers. China famously excludes most of their population, and only includes students at state schools in the four wealthy provinces, which is why you sometimes see China annotated as "B-S-J-Z". European nations are like Norway, Sweden, the Netherlands, and Spain get to exclude vast swaths of their students from testing, which moves the score 10 to 15 points.
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Yes. I’ve learned that the hard way.
Attraction gets you to the second date. Values get you to the second decade. Both matter.
“He’s fully post-economic.”
Another problem due to global warming.
History has been made! ✏️ 📖 No hurricanes have formed in the North Atlantic Ocean so far this year. This is the FIRST time on record in the satellite era (since 1966) that we have made it to September 12th without at least one Atlantic hurricane yet in the calendar year. This is also the first time since at least 1941 that this has happened. Year-to-date ACE is lowest since 1941 as well. If we get through September 21st without any hurricane formations, it will be the first time since 1914 (there were none that season). Can we get there? Nine days to go. The NHC thinks we will notch at least seven more. The race is on.
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I’m not so sure about this. I honestly can’t think of a *single* discovery in *fundamental* mathematics from the 20th century onwards that has had *any* impact on modern Physics for instance.
The two nuanced takes I’d add to the discussion: 1. The reason most people see math as different from curing cancer today, is the time lag between fundamental mathematical breakthrough and application is way too long, sometimes centuries. This will change in the next couple years, and then the intrinsic value of mathematics, in addition to the human value and community value, will be more visible. It is for the intrinsic value of mathematics that I consider the Caltech Mathathon a positive event. Discoveries should be encouraged even by participants who are less “mathematically mature” as long as we can Lean verify them. Ramanujan did not make his career by being mathematically mature but instead by his discoveries, using an incomprehensible workflow to get those magical formulas. 2. The problem is today human mathematicians are capable of producing paradigm-shifting ideas, and some view AI as there to finish the last mile. Examples of paradigm-shifting ideas include the Maynard Sieve Method. The win for humanity is not to shrink 70 million down to 600, but this method. This is a problem because if human mathematicians are overshadowed by AI advances, fundings get cut, no one stays in academia, young mathematicians use AI for exercises that are supposed to train them, as AI capabilities currently stand we will lose these revolutionary ideas (that are central to the headline breakthroughs). However, as AI capabilities improve, very soon we will see AI able to generate these ideas - I am hopeful. Optimism is the only rational take. Strategically, AI for math companies should invest in conjecturing, library learning, and other theory-building research directions. And we must involve human mathematicians to work on not only understanding and scientifically communicating the results - to “digest” them after they are proved, but also selecting them. *We need to select goalposts in a way that form theory.* We also need to advance technologies to map theory into applied science and engineering domains, with formalization of scientific computing one very obvious technical bet Axiom is taking right now. What, then, will the role of mathematicians be? One thing I am very certain of, is that in addition to being educators, they will play a meatier role than today in constructive economy, rather than taking a back seat. I think they will do what they love with day-to-day workflow more like developers. In fact, this is already happening at Axiom. I think this is a perspective many of us at Axiom share, which is somewhat between the current stances academia and big AI labs take. We are just really math-pilled.
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