Inflation adjusted means that the Rangarajan poverty line is much higher now than it was 13 years back. As of 2023-24, for all India: Rs 1940 (rural) Rs 2759 (urban) Which means that for a family of 4 in urban area, if they spend less than Rs.11,036 per month then they are poor.

Don’t let inflation quietly erode your wealth. It’s time to make your money work for you! Trading stocks on ARM ONE is simple, fast, and hassle-free. With easy access to the stock market, you can start investing today and watch your money grow. For more information send a message to ARMSecCustomerService@arm.com.ng or call 081746447815. #ARMSecurities# #InvestedInYourTomorrow# #StockMarketInvesting#

GM degens🌞! #Trump# speech just dropped—#inflation#? #Downturns#? Yawn. But $Tariff? Bullish AF, he won’t shut up about it! Stack that 47AJteSxmVhhH9ae6xYg9vQzzZ3XSB7aHaEcGrXxpump like it’s the only thing saving us from economic doom. #pumpfun# #CRYPTO# #TrumpTariffs# https://t.co/Igs5EwU0kz

Gold breaks $3150 while S&P tanks - OG boomers stacking metal as inflation hedge 2.0 hits warp speed BTC darknet dominance spikes 38% YTD - CEXs chasing privacy narrative but code > compliance theater Miners bleeding? Hashrate ATH says HODLers DGAF about ETF paperhands

ELON: THE MORE PEOPLE PRODUCE USEFUL THINGS, THE BETTER OFF THE COUNTRY WILL BE “As government spending is made more efficient and spending is reduced, the tax via inflation is reduced. One way or another, you will effectively be better off if resources in the United States are not wasted. People will do more useful jobs than before, the total output of goods and services will increase, and then the average standard of living will increase. The most important lesson in economics is simply common sense: the more people in a country that are engaged in producing useful products and services, the better off that country will be. Generally, I think you want to minimize the number of people in government. You want to keep that to a minimum and move people from low to negative-productivity roles to high-productivity roles in the private sector.” Source: Town Hall in Green Bay, Wisconsin, March 30, 2025

Oil prices are down, interest rates are down (the slow moving Fed should cut rates!), food prices are down, there is NO INFLATION, and the long time abused USA is bringing in Billions of Dollars a week from the abusing countries on Tariffs that are already in place. This is despite the fact that the biggest abuser of them all, China, whose markets are crashing, just raised its Tariffs by 34%, on top of its long term ridiculously high Tariffs (Plus!), not acknowledging my warning for abusing countries not to retaliate. They’ve made enough, for decades, taking advantage of the Good OL’ USA! Our past “leaders” are to blame for allowing this, and so much else, to happen to our Country. MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!

Regarding the prices discourse, at this point really the only thing left is to accept it. The Trump tariffs announced yesterday sealed the deal. Every single video game publisher has been wishing behind the scenes to increase game prices, they were just afraid to be the first and have to face all the initial backslash. Well, Nintendo was the first now, and we assure you the rest will follow soon. Inflation is a thing yet video game prices remained mostly static for decades, in hindsight is incredible we had the same prices for so long. And now with those high tariffs, those costs will also be passed down to customers. Remember how outrageous the PS5 Pro price was when it was announced? Have you thought that in around 2 years PS6 will be announced for even more than that? Even with all the discourse the most likely thing is that the Switch 2 pre-orders will sell out in minutes, and that's what really matters in the end. This will just become the new reality of our hobby.

Tariffs are not the story! Since Trump took office in Jan 2025, the 10-year yield has dropped from 4.79% to 4.17%. Look how much it’s dropped today! That 0.62% drop may not sound like much—until you realize the U.S. has $36.5 trillion in debt. This is stealth refinancing on a historic scale. Lower yields = trillions in interest savings. More breathing room. Less inflationary pressure. And the market is front-running it. Everyone’s watching tariffs. But this yield curve shift? It’s the real game. Trump isn’t just cutting spending— he’s restructuring America’s balance sheet in real time.

TRUMP’S TARIFF PLANS NEAR FINALIZATION Trump is set to unveil new tariffs Wednesday but is still finalizing details. Options include a tiered system (10%-20%) or a flat 20% global tariff. The White House remains silent, though Trump claims he has "settled" on an approach. Uncertainty remains over tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico. Trump aims to raise $700B annually from tariffs, but concerns grow over economic risks, inflation, and potential recession

It is Time for Nigeria to Accelerate Social Transfers to Citizens - Gopinath There's a strong recognition that this government has taken strong and much-needed reforms, like fuel subsidy, which has brought stability to macro indicators like the strength of the naira. However, issues like the fixed spike in inflation, food insecurity and rising poverty can be cushioned with social transfers to Nigerians Gita Gopinath, First Deputy Managing Director, IMF

🚨 **BREAKING: 20 STATES NOW EYEING BITCOIN RESERVES!** 🚨 Michigan just joined the party 🎉, proposing a bill to stash 10% of state funds in crypto—with Texas hot on their heels 🤠! If all 20 states pass their bills, **$23 BILLION** could flood into Bitcoin That’s enough to buy **247,000 BTC**! 💰 **🔥 HOT DETAILS:** - **Texas** wants a Bitcoin reserve with *no cap* 🤑 - **Michigan**’s bill lets the state *loan out crypto* for extra $$$ 💸 - **Trump’s “crypto presidency”** triggered a wave 🌊—feds are now "exploring a national Bitcoin stockpile" Bitcoin’s chilling at **$96k** 📉 (-12% from its $109k peak). But states are betting BIG 🎲 as “inflation hedge” talk heats up! Below full status update table courtesy of @matthew_sigel VanEck Worth giving him a follow

我最近一直在思考，怎样的一个投资策略，来迎接即将到来的2025年，2025年我们知道，川普之年，是一个完全右倾化的不确定之年，我写这篇投资随笔的时候，他还没有登基，已经在打量着格陵兰岛，巴拿马运河和加拿大主意了。并且加密市场大概率会在2025年Q2左右迎来牛转熊市周期。随着2025年川普关税+移民政策，通胀和降息将成为矛盾点，大概率高利率时代会延续(虽然登基后口喊降息，但一切还是要实际经济数据说话)。那如何在这样的动荡之年，做好资产投资和管理，尤其是我们旗下的基金，如何保障LP投资者的资金安全和稳定增值，是我们思考的关键。 在我们重新研究桥水基金策略的时候，给了我们很大启发。全球最知名的对冲基金桥水基金，成立于1975年，50年屹立不倒，美国金融史中也十分罕见。它有两个最知名投资策略，一个是‘全天候策略’，一个是‘纯alpha策略’。 这个在2023-2025年基钦扩张周期中，经济周期的上升期，俗称牛市，我们的策略参考就是‘纯alpha策略’，也成功抓住了0.5美金左右的 #RNDR，0#.002美金左右的 #KAS，40美金的# #SOL# ，还有0.5美金左右的 #SUI# 等等，但这套策略，在熊市当时，将会一无是处，失去效用。那如何熊市中保持稳健增值的策略，那就必须好好参考学习一下‘全天候策略’。 全天候策略，是桥水最引以为傲的牛熊穿越的策略，足足研发了25年。这套策略学会，如同武林高手一般，寒暑不竭，刀枪不入。当时桥水基金的思考很简单：应该持有什么样的投资组合，才能在各种环境下都表现良好，无论是货币贬值还是全球政治局势动荡等完全不确定的情况下，依旧稳定增长？ 首先我们需要知道，金融投资产品的ROI回报是由以下因子的函数决定：1️⃣现金回报2️⃣资产相对于整个市场的波动性或风险水平(贝塔 beta)3️⃣超出市场基准预期收益的部分(阿尔法 alpha)。简而言之：ROI回报=现金+贝塔+ 阿尔法。 对大多数投资者来说，关键是确定其贝塔资产配置，而不是在市场中进行出色的交易。诀窍在于确定持有股票、债券和商品的比例，这里可以添加进入加密资产，毕竟桥水研究的年代还没有，最终使得静态投资组合具有可靠性。 1990年，桥水基金创始人达里奥在备忘录中这样写道：在通缩衰退时期，债券表现最佳；在经济增长时期，股票表现最佳；在货币紧缩时期，现金最具吸引力(这就是04年提出的美林时钟)。这意味着：所有资产类别都存在环境偏差。它们在某些环境中表现良好，在其他环境中表现不佳。因此，持有传统的、以股票为主的投资组合就像是对股票进行了巨额押注，从更根本的层面来说，是押注经济增长将高于预期。 由于持有股票，就面临经济增长低于市场预期的风险。为了“对冲”这种风险，股票需要与另一种资产类别配对，这种资产类别也具有正的预期回报(即beta)，并且在股票下跌时会上涨，上涨幅度与股票下跌幅度大致相当。桥水基金的备忘录记录应该用与股票风险大致相同的长期债券来对冲这种风险。写道:“低风险低回报资产可以转化为高风险/高回报资产。”这意味着：从单位风险回报的角度来看，所有资产大致相同。 于是在达里奥的‘全天候策略’中，他绘制了四象限图，以此描述投资者过去或未来可能面临的经济环境范围。关键是要在每种情况下承担相同的风险以实现平衡。投资者总是在对未来情况进行贴现，而且他们在任何一种情况下正确的概率都是相等的。 通过风险配置的方式做替代，债券的风险贡献将上升至与股票一样，这样组合所承受股票与债券的风险暴露将趋于均衡。对于全天候策略而言，是针对每种经济环境所承担的风险保持均衡。并且在每一种经济环境中所持有的的大类资产，也保持基本一致的风险贡献。 根据经济增长(Growth)和通胀水平(Inflation)实际值和市场预期值(Market Expectation)之间的相对大小关系将经济周期划分为4种宏观状态： 📝经济上行、经济下行、通胀上行、通胀下行。 不同宏观经济状态下的适配资产： 经济上行期：股票、商品、公司信用债，新兴市场债。 经济下行期：名义债券、通胀挂钩债、政府债券等 通胀上行期：通胀挂钩债券、商品、新兴市场债。 通胀下行期：股票、名义债券。 针对达里奥的‘全天候投资’策略，我们在2025年做了一个通用版本的配置方案(100万美金举例)，实际情况，需要根据您的风险偏好和资金体量做更细致的优化方案，需要的伙伴，可以推特私信我交流。 100万美金方案： · 长期国债：32% · 美股资产：18% · 现金或现金等价物(短期国债)：18% · 加密资产：12% · 大宗商品：12% · 黄金：8% 通过Python数据+AI的回测，这套策略相对比较均衡： 1️⃣基准情境(大概率)：温和复苏、利率下降 假设：全球经济逐渐从高通胀环境中恢复，利率逐步下降，市场风险偏好增加。 收益预期： 国债：价格上涨，收益约 4%-6%。 美股：增长稳健，收益约 8%-12%。 加密资产：流动性改善，可能反弹，收益约 20%-40%。 大宗商品：需求稳定，收益约 5%-8%。 黄金：避险需求下降，收益约 3%-5%。 整体年化收益：约 7%-10%。 2️⃣悲观情境：经济衰退、流动性危机 假设：经济衰退，企业盈利下滑，市场避险情绪升温。 收益预期： 国债：避险资产表现良好，收益约 5%-7%。 美股：下跌，收益约 -10%。 加密资产：高波动，可能下跌，收益约 -20%-40%。 大宗商品：需求下降，收益约 -5%。 黄金：避险需求增加，收益约 10%-20%。 整体年化收益：约 3%-4%。 3️⃣乐观情境：技术驱动牛市、全球经济强劲增长 假设：经济稳定增长，科技创新驱动市场，通胀可控。 收益预期： 国债：表现平平，收益约 3%。 美股：强劲表现，收益约 15%-30%。 加密资产：牛市爆发，收益约 40%-60%。 大宗商品：价格上涨，收益约 15%。 黄金：表现平稳，收益约 4%。 整体年化收益：约 20%-30%。 总结来看：无论是基准情况，还是最悲观情况，此套投资策略，都将会在2025年，获得相对稳定的投资回报，并且有效避免不可控风险。美股资产和加密资产可能会提供较高的增长潜力，而长期国债、现金或现金等价物以及黄金则可能提供稳定性和对冲通胀的能力。大宗商品将会在经济复苏和通胀压力下表现良好。虽然具体2025年宏观环境不可预测，但从整体经济的延续性和经济周期的钟摆来看，2025年大概率是一个大周期嵌套小周期的巅峰拐点。俗话说得好：打江山容易，守江山难，希望所有的粉丝伙伴们，在2025年能牢牢守住自己2023-2025年牛市的丰硕果实！🧐

有兄弟问，美债的二级市场交易流动性框架还不明白， 究竟美国欠了多少国家的钱？还是欠了全世界的钱？ 美债所产生的利息怎么还？ 美国又是通过怎样的方式还债的？ 会不会欠钱不还？这谢还搞不懂，希望科普一下。 为此我特意话了3个小时整理此图，方便兄弟们快速了解美国国债二级市场交易流程详细概览。 1️⃣问题一：美国究竟欠了多少钱？ 根据最新数据：已经突破36万亿美元，并且还在持续增长中， 所谓美国国债（U.S. National Debt），是指美国联邦政府累积的债务，与各州政府的债务无关。 美国财政部通过发行“美国国债（U.S. Treasury Securities）”来筹资，主要有三种形式，国库券（T-Bills）、国库债券（T-Bonds）和国库票据（T-Notes）等。 2️⃣问题二：美债债主究竟是谁？ 很简单，谁借钱给你，谁就是你的债主。同样道理，谁借钱给美国政府，谁就是美债债主，换句话说，持有美国国债的个人、团体、政府、机构就是美国国债的债主，这些债主主要分两大类： 1、国内债主 美国国内债主约持有美债总额的67%，呵呵，欠自己人的钱，占比最大。这些债主包括： 美国政府部门（约25%）：例如社会保障信托基金、联邦退休基金等。 美国联邦储备系统（简称美联储，美国没有中央银行，美联储类似于中央银行）（约20%）：美联储购买国债来执行货币政策。 美国私人投资者（约22%）：包括美国的银行、公司、养老基金、个人等。 2、国外债主 美国国债的外国持有者约占国债总额的33%，这些债主主要是全球许多国家和机构，以国别计，最新的数据显示，排名靠前的几大债主国有： 日本（约1.1万亿美元）：当前全球最大的美国国债持有国。 中国（约7700亿美元）：近几年逐渐减持，曾经是美国国债的最大持有国。 英国（约6500亿美元）。 卢森堡、瑞士、比利时、爱尔兰、沙特、韩国等。 事实上，世界上许许多多的国家和机构或多或少都持有美国国债，从这个角度看，美国确实是“欠了全世界的钱”，但大部分债务其实是欠美国自己的国民和政府部门的钱。 3️⃣问题三：美国国债的利息付给谁？ 美国每年需要支付大量的国债利息，目前，美国的国债利息支出已经超过 1万亿美元每年。这笔钱主要支付给： 美国国内的持有者（政府部门、银行、养老基金、个人投资者）。 外国政府与投资者（如日本、中国等国持有的美债也能获得利息收益）。 美国国债的利息支付方式取决于国债的类型： 1. 短期国债（Treasury Bills, T-Bills） 期限：4周、8周、13周、26周、52周 支付方式：这类国债没有定期利息支付，而是以折价方式发行，到期时按面值支付。例如： 你以 980美元 买入一张 面值1000美元 的T-Bill； 到期时政府还你 1000美元； 这 20美元 的价差就是你的利息。 2. 中长期国债（Treasury Notes & Treasury Bonds） 期限： 国库票据（T-Notes）：2年、3年、5年、7年、10年 国库长期债券（T-Bonds）：20年、30年 支付方式：这些国债每半年（6个月）支付一次利息，直到到期日再偿还本金。例如： 你买了一张”面值1000美元、年息5%“的10年期国库票据； 每半年会收到 $25 的利息（$1000 × 5% ÷ 2）； 10年后，你已经累计收到 $500 的利息，并在到期时获得本金 $1000。 3. 通膨保值国债（Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, TIPS） 期限：5年、10年、30年 支付方式： TIPS 的本金会根据通货膨胀（CPI指数）调整， 每半年支付一次利息，但利息是根据调整后的本金计算，所以会随着通膨变化。 4️⃣问题四：美国如何管理债务？ 美国不会一次性还清国债，而是通过以下方式管理债务： 1、发行新债还旧债（滚动借贷）：美国不断发行新国债来偿还旧国债，这是一种全球普遍使用的政府财政管理方式； 2、税收收入：政府每年从企业和个人收取的税收（如所得税、企业税）部分用来支付国债利息； 3、通货膨胀：由于美元是世界主要储备货币，美国可以通过货币贬值让旧债变得“更便宜”来减轻实际偿债的压力。 5️⃣问题五：美债的发行方式？ 1. 透过拍卖市场发行（主要方式） 美国财政部通过公开竞标拍卖来发行国债，这些拍卖分为两种类型： 竞标拍卖（Competitive Bidding）：机构投资者（如银行、基金公司、外国央行）可以提交自己愿意支付的利率和金额，财政部根据需求选择合适的标价。 非竞标拍卖（Non-Competitive Bidding）：小投资者可以按政府设定的收益率购买，不需要竞标，适合个人投资者。 这些国债会被金融机构、退休基金、企业、甚至外国政府购买，然后流通到二级市场。 2. 透过二级市场交易（公开市场） 美国国债可以在金融市场上自由交易，投资者可以在市场上买卖，主要交易场所包括： 纽约证券交易所（NYSE） 电子交易平台（如Bloomberg、Tradeweb） 券商和银行间市场 这意味着，任何人（美国公民或外国人）都可以通过券商或银行购买美国国债。 3. 透过美国财政部官网直接购买 美国个人或机构可以直接在财政部的网站购买国债，这是最简单的方式之一，无需透过银行或券商。 4. 透过美联储（央行）购买（特殊情况） 美联储（Federal Reserve） 也会购买美国国债，主要用来执行货币政策，比如： 量化宽松（QE）：美联储购买国债来增加市场流动性，降低利率。 缩表（QT）：当美联储希望收紧货币供应时，会减少国债购买或卖出持有的国债。 5. 外国政府与央行购买 世界各国的政府和央行（如中国、日本、欧洲各国）会购买美国国债，主要出于： 持有美元储备，稳定本国货币价值。 确保资产安全，美国国债被视为全球最安全的投资之一。 这些国债一般透过拍卖市场或二级市场购买，而不是特别定向发行。 那么另外一个问题，美国为什么不会一次性还清国债？ 因为他们是是通过以下方式管理债务： 1、发行新债还旧债（滚动借贷）：美国不断发行新国债来偿还旧国债，这是一种全球普遍使用的政府财政管理方式； 2、税收收入：政府每年从企业和个人收取的税收（如所得税、企业税）部分用来支付国债利息； 3、通货膨胀：由于美元是世界主要储备货币，美国可以通过货币贬值让旧债变得“更便宜”来减轻实际偿债的压力。 5️⃣问题六：美国会不会赖账？ 美国国债虽然数字庞大，但是否“大到无法忍受”的地步，这个问题就让美国人关心吧，我们要关心的是，会不会“欠钱不还”，不过，历史上美国还没出现过“欠债不还”或”还不起债“危机，目前，美债的信用依然坚挺，市场购买意愿依然高涨，依然是世界上最稳健的投资理财工具。

Lessons To My Future Bull Market Self: This is partly to keep me accountable during bull market euphoria and also serves as a guide for those coming into the markets for their first cycle. I’d be extremely impressed if you managed to “make it” the first time and even more impressed if you managed to keep it. The former isn’t even the hard part. It is very much the latter. A blind Bored Ape Yacht Club member could make money in a roaring bull market. This is why many enter the markets for the first time and throw money at something they saw on Twitter, hear from a colleague or (the best one) get shilled by their Uber driver and convince themselves they have cracked the markets. Stuff goes up because more money flows into the system. The opposite is also true. Hence the past 2 years of pain. Your mission, if you choose to accept it… is to bet on the fastest and fittest horses in the race. This way you don’t miss an opportunity of a lifetime sat holding some worthless piece of shit whilst the rest of the people around you are making serious dough. There are plenty of ways to get to that arbitrary number that you think will help you achieve eternal happiness. Whether it will or not is a different matter. The following are some of the most important points that I have sat and stewed over which I think were at times the parts I personally went wrong in the last cycle, primarily. 2017 was just a blur. I didn’t have a clue what I was doing if I am honest. If you check the residuals in my Coinbase account it would be very embarrassing indeed. The last cycle was infinitely better from a performance perspective. That being said, in hindsight, there were still so many stupid and silly mistakes that either stunted my portfolio growth or cost me a small fortune in losses. Let’s get to it. Disclaimer: If you are not mature enough to read this and take responsibility for your own actions in the markets please just stop reading. There are probs a few things I have missed that I will add on as time goes by and I get a brain zap and remember. This is not financial advice, I am extremely stupid. You will lose all your money listening to me Stay Curious and Try Shit - Funnily enough, I think this applies more to people who may be on their second or third cycle. Naturally, when you come into the markets for the first time, all you want to do is digest information and buy shit. The further down the rabbit hole you go the more likely you are to find something early. The reinforcement of making great returns from being early encourages you to continue your exploration of the crypto/on-chain world. Always maintain this edge of being one of the first to try shit out. You never know when you will stumble upon something great. As a bull cycle goes on the edge in the markets tends to erode due to increased competition both on a capital and skill front. People will outwork and outsmart you and there’s always someone with more capital around the corner. Edge can be reestablished by trying shit early and deciding for yourself whether it has something about it. There were many different times last cycle that you could have picked up assets before the masses just by trying the protocol and seeing for yourself. Never leave it down to someone else to tell you. They can’t and won’t do it for you. It has happened recently with Solana. The masses tell you one thing when in reality it is the other. This results in the majority of the market being offside on something that clearly has a lot going for it. Stay curious and try shit. Don’t Chase Yield - If you are new to this market, DO NOT try and chase yield. You do not need to earn 20% on a position less than $200,000 (minimum). There are going to be plenty of times when you are drawn in by a very tasty yield on stable assets. There are also going to be plenty of times when you are drawn in by ridiculous APRs. You’re probably going to provide liquidity on a DEX and get rekt there too. The long and short of it is this. You do not need to concern yourself with earning yield when you don’t have a worthwhile portfolio size. Why earn 20% on stable(ish) assets when you could have liquid capital and earn much more than that, oftentimes in one day (if you choose correctly)? The additional complexity, counterparty risk and smart contract risk are categorically not worth it at this stage. If you play the farm and dump game with new ponzis that come online, please do not even entertain for one second that you should purchase the token that everyone is farming. There are bigger fish with more capital and experience that know how to play these games to a tee. You will be bait. I’d even go as far as saying if this is your first or second time around just buy tokens and don’t do anything else with them (other than sell of course). Maybe there are a few exceptions: Holding an LST like stETH, rETH, swETH or pxETH over ETH if you have a long-term view (again, not really for everyone). Staking a token to match inflation i.e. SOL (in this case use the most lindy SOL LST stSOL or mSOL). If TIME makes a comeback and we go full ponzi season and run it back turbo Don’t chase yield, it doesn’t make sense until you make it. Let Others Drink the Kool-Aid - I was definitely caught sipping from the communal ponzi Kool-Aid fountain a few times last cycle. It’s quite funny because you know deep down that there is something cult-like about certain founders, communities and tokens but at the time everyone is printing money so nobody cares. It always ends up in tears, literally every time. That being said, when you see a ponzi cult that has a founder that people would jump off a bridge for, just buy it. These folks never tend to realise they’ve been dumped or that they in fact were in a cult until it’s too late. The beauty of this (for you; an awakened market participant) is that people tend to wrap their whole online personality up in, said cult and when you are selling they are writing 40 Tweet threads about why the recent fud is unjustified. Let them be the exit liquidity they desire to be. TLDR; Scams pump the hardest, Let others drink the Kool-Aid. Position Sizing - I was too small on the way up and too large on the way down at times. This ain’t good. Larger more concentrated bets on less volatile yet sure-fire wins whilst rotating proportions into higher-beta assets to make more of the underlying position is my typical play. Be wary of liquidity, particularly for on-chain assets. You may get away with poorly timed entries in a bull market but if liquidity thins out you get screwed entering a position and also screwed exiting a position. If they have a buy-and-sell tax which is more popular now, then you get screwed again. I don’t really have much more to say on this one other than pick your poison (which I already have) and don’t fuck up the remainder of your portfolio oversizing into lower conviction plays, undoing the great entry on the large position. If you can’t outperform BTC, ETH and maybe even SOL this cycle. Just buy those and forget about it until McDonald’s puts the minimum wage up to $50 an hour because all their workers got paper rich and left, again. I can’t reiterate the above enough, if you aren’t serious about this and you don’t have the time don’t bother. Just keep it simple. Shitcoins are Generally Good - First, we should define a shitcoin. In my opinion, anything that is purely created for speculation. The irony is that 99.99% of the market are shitcoins but some projects are more honest about it than others. You are gonna lose a fuck tonne of money playing the shitcoin markets. You also stand the chance of making large amounts of capital very quickly, which if you are smart, you can then play the games mentioned above. I can’t stress the fact that you can go completely flat-ass broke trading shitcoins not knowing what you are doing. These trenches are well-trodden by professionals who have more capital, more experience and more information than you. They haven’t stopped all bear market, they are fucking born ready for the next PEPE or SHIB. What is your edge? The chances of you buying a shitcoin out of pure luck that goes on to make you serious money is slim to fuck-all. There are thousands of complete rugs launched Every. Single. Day. Learn the trade if you must, sniff out the good accounts to follow and get ready to have sleepless nights and to start spamming the group family message with /wen_marketing, because this shit will take over your life. If this isn’t for you stick to the point above BTC, ETH and SOL. If you are a born fucking nugget degenerate then see “Position Sizing”. If you don’t get it, buy it - I am becoming a lot better at this next point but still struggle. A lot of the time because I struggle to think like an absolute fucking moron. But, you must be the idiot. Eat, sleep and think like an idiot, if you are to catch the almighty pump led by redacted coins. I know I would have missed the Stepn seed round. Move to earn, like what?! GTFO. I knew better, I was investing in the future of financial technologies. All the while it went 1000x and I had 0 position. Come to think of it move to earn was such an easy sell for the rest of the world outside of the echo chamber of CT. I just didn’t get it at the time and I paid the price. Never again. If you have a visceral reaction to something good or bad, investigate it more, there is probably something there. After all we are emotional beings and charts are just human emotions expressed in candle sticks… I think RT taught me that one. Write, write, write - This is simple. Writing is the fastest way to growthhack your understanding of anything. You have to check your own understanding of things before you publish them or you look like a tit. Just write and do it even if you aren’t going to publish, it helps clear your mind and structure your thoughts. Stay Healthy - I got fat as fuck during the bull market. More money, more time spent sitting at the desk. DO NOT DO IT. You need to train as you would for anything. Staying fit and healthy is a way to perform better. You Can’t Own Everything - There will be unlimited shiny objects during a bull market. You can own them all but you will not perform well. Do your research, get the best entry you can get and let the thesis play out. If you are wrong, you will know a lot sooner in a bull market. Over-diversification is terrible if you are looking to grow the portfolio quickly and well. You can’t physically manage all those positions as much as you would like to think so. There is also no way you know all the bull and bear cases for each token you hold too. If you do, then come work for us at blocmates because that is impressive. The crypto markets are so reflexive that it makes no sense to be over-allocated across too many assets. Winners can often move alone but the full market pulls back together. Get conviction and stop being a little bitch. Break your bags - This stems from the point above. You best know the bear argument for your position because if it begins to come true then you need to exit and move on. If there is no bear argument for your position then congrats you have joined a cult. Supply Dynamics are Everything - Tokenization is such a difficult dynamic to wrap your head around if you are just starting out. But, know this... You best be aware of large token unlocks, who is getting unlocked, the inflation schedule for the tokens you hold and what the supply of your token will be 12 months from now. If you do not know this, then you should not own a token. If you think you can simply beat the market because some 1920’s data said that HODL outperforms, then you are my exit liquidity, thank you. Token supply increases in crypto are absolutely brutal. Large unlocks and cliffs can increase a token supply by 2x overnight. Many tokens from the last cycle will not reach their previous ATH because of the drastic increase in supply. They might hit their market cap ATH but the price could still be lightyears away. Choose wisely. The flip side of this is that a lot of OG tokens from the early DeFi summer days are nearing complete unlocks so no additional supply is left to come onto the market. This is as close to fair pricing as you are going to get. I am not revealing what these are you will have to subscribe to The Meal Deal once it goes live. “Just One More 2x” - If you are in the fortunate position where you say to yourself “Just one more 2x” or if you begin to look at your dream home, just sell everything right that moment. A portfolio ATH is always a good time to take some of the more fruity positions off. If you are thinking it, others are too, you are not special and you are not a market outlier. Do yourself a favour, and secure the bag. Don’t Paperhand Bear Market Entries - If you have just been through the past two years and hated every minute of it but you stuck to the plan and bought as much of a specific asset as possible, the worst thing you can do is sell it early trying to chase other people’s winners. Put it in cold storage out of the way so you aren’t tempted to even “take a bit off and buy back lower”. If you are talented then yeah go for it, most aren’t. Other tips not worth writing a lot about: - Use a DEX and birdge aggregator to make sure you are getting the best price - Always use a Ledger - Check DeFi llama directory to find the correct URL of a site. If that faults go to their Twitter and verify. - Get authenticator 2FA. Get off of your phone number for security backup. - Find your crew, you can’t be everywhere. - Make your own decisions If you enjoyed this then please consider subscribing to The blocmates Newsletter which covers a lot of our thoughts on the market, every Friday! Link - https://t.co/B3KNx1TkNz We also talk to a lot of projects, founders, builders, traders and investors about this kind of thing on our podcast which is also linked below 📺 - https://t.co/QOqnROq9d9

AI music generation just hit its inflection point. Microsoft Copilot can now turn text prompts into full music tracks. It's completely free & insanely good. Here's everything you need to know and a quick tutorial on how to create your own song:

Based Taipei builders. Join us for a special edition @Base Taipei Community Meetup during @EthTaipei 2025! A big shoutout to @XO_app @NoditPlatform @TaipeiWeek - Taiwan Base builder enabling Onchain drive. Tune in for some quests via @Inflectionin and some launch news from @HiveByBase accelerator. https://t.co/20joaHdmjg

93% of #CriticalNationalInfrastructure# (CNI) organizations report an increase in #cyberthreats#. Our latest report explores how satellite can strengthen #IoTsecurity#, providing redundancy, data isolation & failover protection. Download the report now: https://t.co/BORs9u7A7Y https://t.co/IpCwQ9TL5u