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My Stock Investing Approach: Research, Conviction, and Size (August 23, 2026)
Luck definitely plays a role in stock investing, but what truly drives consistent results is fundamental research, technical analysis, and following the right indicators. By applying this disciplined process, I have reliably identified high-conviction opportunities each year. Combined with aggressive buying/accumulation, patience, and strong holding power, these three stocks have each generated millions in gains for me.
Clear Track Record
$NVDA: Entered at $15.20 in January 2023
$PLTR: Entered at $8.80 in May 2023
$AMD: Entered at $110 in May 2025
Staying Disciplined Amid Noise
Over the past five months, while many gurus and permabears warned of recession and market tops, I continued posting my buy orders in my Weekly Insights and real-time notifications shared with the TIER 3 community. I repeatedly added to the three stocks almost every single week. Those positions are now fully accumulated when they are about to enter the Stage 2 uptrend.
Looking Ahead
This weekend I will identify 3–4 stocks for the current cycle. I plan to continue buying and adding to them aggressively on drawdowns, guided by my technical analysis, fundamental research, and proven indicators. I will share them in my Weekly Insights with the Tier 3 community this Sunday evening or Monday morning (Asia time). Don’t forget to check them out.
The Power of Concentration and Position Sizing
I don’t need a long list of winners. Once you know how to concentrate big in a few high-conviction names backed by solid analysis, the rest of the portfolio—whether winners or losers—barely moves the needle.
Identifying the right stocks each cycle is only the first step. The decisive step that actually delivers financial freedom or early retirement is position sizing.
Small positions never create life-changing wealth.
They are tourist investing—safe, comfortable, and ultimately a waste of both time and efforts.
Size correctly in the right names, and the rest takes care of itself!
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My stock market Grok Bot is sending me news and TA on tickers in real time 🤯 and it’s soooo good. This is unbelievable.
When my friend congratulates me because my stock hit the daily limit today,
but I actually cut all my losses and sold everything last week.
Improved version of my stock dashboard live now
I put seven years of my stock trading history into Claude.
It spent a couple of hours analyzing everything, looking for correlations, etc.
What it found:
When the market goes up, I make money.
For everyone asking, here is my full $mrna dream thesis. all was recorded on the next YT vid but for u twitter folk
The dates could be off but around these days
October 4th: I wanted to speed up my stock video challenge so decided to dip my toes into options, scrolling thru my port everyone was turbo bullish on every stock except one. $MRNA, everyone and their mother could only talk about how over valued it is and how good of a short it was. All I know in stocks is that ppl complain non stop about how they got fucked. It sounds like everyone loses, and if everyone is losing, I should just fade them and it’s a lock?
Oct 5th: I decided to buy some options, far out the money decently far out strike
That night I had a dream that Moderna cured cancer and wicked to $275 in one day, my portfolio was worth $11,000,000
October 6th: they didn’t cure cancer and the stock went down so i decided to load more in
October 8th: everyone on twitter called me the biggest idiot ever, that I should go short, this gave me turbo confidence that the stock had to go up cuz again, most ppl talk like geniuses behind their -80% all time port
At this point I’m in for $250,000 on my initial 50k position
Then I started asking Claude, “what would it take to get $MRNA to $275 in the next two months????”
Claude told me that they had a big catalyst coming some meeting on the 24th reviewing their cancer trials
I figured I’d bet on the side of my dream that they would cure cancer and it would rip
Fast forward 14 days or so and the stock had ripped like 25+% all the way to my initial dreams target and it made me think, everyone knows this meeting is coming, if this news comes in anything other than 10x expectations, it’s fully priced in. The idea was that Monday it would dump regardless of how good their news was. Claude confirmed my idea. I texted my homie Tuesday night the plan to let it ride till Friday then at close flip to full port short
Everything was according to plan until Wednesday close the stock ran up 5% then fell off a cliff last 10 mins. I was working so I couldn’t do anything but I texted my friend that was the top yesterday night.
Last night I had a dream that $mrna ripped +22% today
I thought it was a sign from God that I was wrong about the top being in and that I should trust my original swap end of market on Friday plan
I checked my phone and it was giga down. My port down 200k almost had me fully in a panic, thinking, maybe the sell on the news was so obvious…. That they are selling days before the news
I got too scared that the dump would happen so soon that I’d have no capital left to flip the port short come Friday. So I decided to take the loss and at least have $500k that I can try to catch the sell on the news dump.
Went full port short under the guise that even if today is another 5% green, at least I’ll be in the position I had been seeking for a few days, confidently short going into the 24th
And the rest, is some giga stroke of luck history, the news broke early somehow????
The most likely outcome for all traders would be what I was destined for. Rock solid thesis blown up by some unlucky bs.
Lucky my panic this morning got to my head enough to break my original game plan
In hindsight, this entire saga was beyond obvious
Thanks for playing!
NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE. IM JUST LEARNING AND GAMBLING. BUT ALSO PUT SUM RESPECT ON THE THESIS.
I got full receipts of every concept along the way, to be posted in the next yt vid. (After I full port SPY 0DTE
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NEWS: Elon Musk discussed the taxes he says he pays in a new interview.
For my stock options, I pay about 45% in taxes. Then when I die, there will be another roughly 45% tax. At the end of the day, I'll have about a quarter of what I have.
Musk said his tax burden includes federal income taxes, California state taxes on the time he worked there, and potential estate taxes.
Source:
@TheEconomist
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🚨 HUGE: Wells Fargo, Arm and Intuit just joined the "please don't tokenize my stock" club, taking OKXICE's rejection list to 22 of the 63 companies it wanted to list.
Can we throw out Jevons Paradox and replace it with something more in line with how it’s actually used now? (Aka the paradox of “how can my AI stocks go down when I don’t want them to”)
In all seriousness, there’s a perception among too many that it is somehow impossible for stocks to go down while AI models get better. That’s before you get into the people who seem to skip the step of actually understanding anything and just go “this is the AI stock I own and I am bullish on AI so when AI improves then my stock needs to go up” with zero critical thinking involved.
I’m all for having conviction, I spent the better part of a year being called an stock pumping idiot by half the people I interacted with because I believed AI would be the biggest trend of our lifetime… (try telling someone that lost 60% being long AMAT, who’s convinced a recession is around the corner, that actually this new chatbot is going to result in higher semicap demand).
But…have some humility too, please…
If your thesis revolves around an exponentially improving technology, maybe your prior relying on everything else staying static is something worth revisiting.
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