Speaking at the 22nd
@IISS_org Manama Dialogue #
IISS_MD26#, Dr. Anwar Gargash
@AnwarGargash, Diplomatic Adviser to the UAE President
@MohamedBinZayed, warned that the Gulf remains trapped in a prolonged state of “no war, no peace,” with Washington and Tehran still far apart. “If these positions are not bridged, then we have to worry about the worst,” he said. Gargash stressed that the UAE opposes another round of confrontation and supports diplomatic efforts, including Qatar’s mediation, but remains “braced for the worst” and prepared to defend its sovereignty, citizens, and economic infrastructure.
On Bahrain and Saudi Arabia, Gargash praised Bahrain’s resilience under Iranian attacks, saying the Kingdom had shown “steadfastness,” “courage,” and the ability to protect its population. He expressed solidarity with Saudi Arabia following attacks on civilian airports and infrastructure, declaring, “Nobody can in any way justify an attack on civilian airports and civilian infrastructure.” He emphasized that Gulf security is interconnected and that threats to Bahrain or Saudi Arabia directly affect the UAE and other GCC states.
On the GCC’s collective response, Gargash delivered one of his strongest assessments, acknowledging that Gulf states had failed to respond effectively as a bloc. “We have not collectively risen to the challenge,” he said. While individual countries had demonstrated resilience, he warned that confidence in the GCC’s collective ability to confront a crisis of this magnitude “has in many cases proven to be hollow, unfortunately.” He called for “rebuilding Gulf confidence,” acknowledging that the process would take many years.
On Iran, Gargash distinguished between restoring diplomatic relations and rebuilding trust. “What really has been broken is the confidence,” he said, stressing that it had been shattered by Iran’s attacks on Gulf countries. While Iran remains an essential neighbor and diplomatic and economic relations will eventually resume, rebuilding trust would take “an extremely long time.”
On the Strait of Hormuz, Gargash described restoring the prewar status quo as “important and non-negotiable.” He rejected restrictions on energy exports and international trade, arguing that Gulf countries should not bear the economic consequences of “a crisis that we did not create.”
On relations with Washington, Gargash reaffirmed the importance of the UAE’s security partnership with the United States, saying the crisis had “concretized that relationship” and made it “even more important.” He stressed that American cooperation remains central to the UAE’s security calculations, alongside its own political will and military air defense capabilities.
Gargash also questioned the effectiveness of regional middle powers, arguing that diplomatic conferences and mediation initiatives had failed to produce meaningful results in a crisis fundamentally driven by Washington and Tehran.
He concluded that the UAE continues to seek a political settlement and does not believe a military solution is viable. However, he cautioned that avoiding renewed confrontation cannot be guaranteed if diplomatic efforts fail to bridge the divide between the United States and Iran.