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Compute Desk
@ComputeDesk
Capital Markets Infrastructure for Compute Traders
93 Following    1.5K Followers
How do we know compute is a commodity ? We track >500 GPU compute providers. Hyper-fragmentation is a hallmark sign of a commodity offering. @ComputeDesk is making compute tradable.
The number of GPU compute providers exploded from 3 to 500 and now buyers and sellers negotiate through private texts. One of the world’s most important commodities and buyers still have to call “their guy” for pricing.
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Great article, and we actively collaborate with our friends at @prlnet. Minor correction, however: Unlike the other indexes, Compute Desk indexes are based on executed bulk compute transactions. To take an oil analogy, our indexes are the only ones which measure the price of "crude oil" (big reserved compute contracts), instead of going to the gas station, and collecting the receipts from people who just filled up their petrol tank (on-demand).
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Inference companies are caught between: - a rock (pay a lot more for compute) - a hard place (commit to compute for a much longer duration). Compute derivatives offer a lot more flexibility. Get in touch to learn more about compute options, futures, forwards and swaps @ComputeDesk
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Pay 2x for GPUs or commit for 3 years. That’s the compute squeeze facing fast-growing AI companies: pay up for speed or lock into capacity before you even know your long-term demand. @andrawesbahou
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Tune into next week's edition of @JasonYanowitz's The Empire pod, covering Compute Futures, hedging, compute OTC trades, and the people making money in this market.
Thanks @JasonYanowitz for having @BrettHarrison and I on The Empire pod. There's money to be made for people listening to the episode.
Hint, hint, has to do with compute.
Can't comment because @AnthropicAI is an investor in @ComputeDesk but the flatlining graph is not what people assume it is.
Compute Desk CTO @SenorScience presciently wrote that "B300s at B200 prices is a free option" at the end of April. The market hadn't priced in the fact that KimiK3 would come out, uniquely suited to work on B300s. We could have sold you an option to hedge that. "If MoE keeps scaling, toward multi-trillion-parameter models with longer context, the per-card headroom matters even more". Here's the original article:
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B300 prices have broken away from the pack, one-year contract rates up >$1/hour in the last 30 days while other models are flat. The compute capacity block trades our customers have brought Architect this month are almost all B300/GB300 or VR. Few are asking for Hoppers at size.
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Thanks @Google for having @ComputeDesk × @NodalExchange. Hyperscalers can soon trade and hedge compute, stay tuned.
Congratulations to @ronitrjain and Aarav on their seed round ! @ComputeDesk is proud to power GPU pricing indexes on @liquidcompute !
I’m excited to share that today @liquidcompute emerges from stealth with a $15 million seed round. We are announcing pending applications before the CFTC for Designated Contract Market (DCM) and Derivatives Clearing Organization (DCO) status to build the first regulated orderbook to trade both cash and physically settled contracts on compute. The reality of compute is that it is heterogeneous and cannot be stored, functioning much like electricity rather than oil. Our approach focuses on developing a highly efficient short-term market to underpin a cash-settled derivatives layer, operating similarly to PJM or ERCOT sitting below liquid derivatives markets. Over recent months, I’m also happy to announce that Liquid Compute has collaborated with leading financial firms like Susquehanna International Group, @BGCGroupInc and @wintermute_t to facilitate liquid OTC trading for AI startups, neocloud providers, and lenders. This round was co-led by @chemistry and @FirstMarkCap , with participation from K8 Cap, Night Capital, @ufo_holdings, @TrueBridgeCP, Brainchild Holdings (@kalvepuri), @ycombinator, and angels such as Dmitry Balyasny, @taro_f , @JdotJdotF, Ethan Lin and others from companies like CoreWeave, Jane Street, OpenAI
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Are you financing GPU infrastructure and looking for a backstop ? Get in touch to explore how we can structure one for you.
Nvidia’s GPU backstop deals are equivalent to writing put options at the residual floor and buying a smaller notional of call options at the same strike. If Nvidia could sell GPU rental price forwards or futures they could hedge the partial synthetic long.
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Even with ~13 GW of new US power coming online for compute this year and more efficient models, the demand is still outpacing supply by a large margin. Every one of our indices is up ~30%
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Every morning on a compute trading desk starts with working out which deals actually need you. With Compute Trader, your pipeline already knows: one's a contract away from closing, another's gone quiet for a week. Ask the agent what to chase, and whatever the deal needs gets done in the same thread. Your desk's agent, in private beta:
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Day 2 at @Ai4Conferences in Las Vegas. Yesterday's lines wrapped the hall; this morning the mainstage opened with Geoffrey Hinton. The Compute Desk team is here through Thursday. If you rent, sell, or price compute, come find us.
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We are killing the compute "offtake".
ComputeConnect is growing, with 8 capacity providers onboarding and more in the pipeline. Built by Architect, @ComputeDesk, and capacity sellers/brokers, ComputeConnect is the first exchange-for-physical network linking cash-settled compute futures positions with actual capacity.
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Fink's describing the world's next great market. We're building it. Compute futures almost live.
BLACKROCK CEO LARRY FINK SAYS A NEW ASSET CLASS IS COMING: FUTURES ON COMPUTE "The United States is short power. We're short compute, we're short chips." Fink sees shortages ahead across all three, plus memory. And he thinks the scarcity gets financialized: "I actually believe a new asset class will be buying futures of compute." That is computing power described the way traders treat oil: a commodity scarce enough to hedge, price and trade. "We just don't have enough compute power right now."
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Almost time. Get pre-onboarded on @Architect_Fi to trade compute futures. GPU rates by @ComputeDesk
PRE-ONBOARDING FOR THE AMERICAN INNOVATION EXCHANGE IS LIVE. Sign up to trade Architect’s Nvidia GPU compute futures and options. Access the first US derivatives market for compute. Competitive margin, low fees, desktop/mobile/API access, block trades supported 🇺🇸
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Every neocloud today is its own broker, its own insurer, its own clearinghouse. Not by strategy, by default: it sets its own price, eats counterparty risk, and holds price exposure for the life of the asset, because the financial layer that takes those jobs off its books is only now being built. When it arrives, those jobs become companies.
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Lock in @ComputeDesk Hopper and Blackwell rates, with compute futures contracts, soon on @Architect_Fi.
GPU rental rates are up 5-10% so far in July (led by the newer gens).
Today we announce Compute Connect with our partners @Architect_Fi, and built on our Compute Clear infrastructure. Compute Connect is an Exchange-for-Physical market. Neoclouds, AI companies, enterprises exposed to compute procurement and pricing risk will have a bridge between the physically-settled compute deals they are familiar with, and the cash-settled derivatives market familiar to financial institutions. We will announce launch partners soon, and invite neoclouds, compute brokers, market-makers and traders to inquire at info [at] compute-index [dot] com.
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Announcing ComputeConnect: the financial industry's first exchange-for-physical network for compute. Convert cash-settled futures into provisioned GPU capacity through standardized, exchange-cleared contracts. Built in partnership with @ComputeDesk.
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Congratulations to @ComputeDesk partner @pluto_compute and to the @wintermute_t team on their first H100 OTC forward trade. Pricing powered by @ComputeDesk
Wintermute executed its first compute forward referencing Nvidia H100 pricing Compute is becoming a market of its own, with the tools to price and hedge it now starting to emerge