The notion that Trump might use an American lead in AGI to bully allies and extract concessions from them is shocking because it is so plausible—as demonstrated by Greenland, the punitive tariffs, the Ukraine minerals deal, the threats over defense spending, digital-services taxes and diesel releases, and countless other examples.
The United States should be working with its allies to develop common norms and safeguards for AGI development. Instead, it is giving them powerful incentives to develop independent capabilities, regulatory regimes, and partnerships—fragmenting the Western tech ecosystem and weakening the common front against China.
Agree with
@thomaswright08 that next US president will need policy not only to deal with China but with allies to avoid dangerous AGI free-for-all--if by then it is not already too late.