A venture fund put close to forty percent of its capital into a single company. Before most LPs would even let a GP finish that sentence.
@aramverdi , Partner at
@AccoladePrtnrs and former investor at Andreessen Horowitz, on why real conviction looks reckless from the outside.
"We're totally fine with that level of concentration. We just back the fund."
"We didn't push back. We're totally fine with it. We love GPs who have conviction."
Diversification is sold as safety, but the math of venture punishes it. If you own five percent of a company that gets diluted down to two and a half by exit, you need ten separate billion dollar outcomes just to return half your fund. Almost nobody has ten of those in a portfolio. What you can have is one runner you actually believed in early, sized at real ownership, held all the way through. That is the entire game.
Diversification protects you from being wrong. Concentration is how you get paid for being right.