CoreWeave ($CRWV) is falling while GPU rents keep climbing. Over the past six months, Ornn's OCPI H100 rent is up 79% and B200 is up 84%. Yet CRWV is down 26%, and its 2032 bonds just broke 15%.
If compute is this scarce, what is the market pricing?
Fundamentally, GPU rental risk is amplified by debt.
CoreWeave paid $640M of interest last quarter and expects about $900M this quarter, nearly four times its operating profit. Its newest GPU loan matures across five years against contracts that pay over three. Around 2029, CoreWeave and its lenders will have to re-lease those GPUs at whatever rental prices are then, while the debt payments stay fixed.
Future GPU rent is uncertain, which is exactly why operators and lenders need to hedge it.
@OrnnExchange and
@ICE_Markets are launching monthly, cash-settled futures on OCPI H100 (ICE:HPR) and B200 (ICE:BKL) to make this possible.