Register and share your invite link to earn from video plays and referrals.

Matt Dratch
@DratchCap
Macro Equity PM | Dartmouth Fball ’08 “Be bold, and mighty forces will come to your aid.” Views expressed are solely my own and not on behalf of my employer.
Joined December 2010
317 Following    8.8K Followers
There is a term for this that I suppose not everyone knows: sandbagging
What master bubble boi talked about is pretty consistent with what I heard from a VC friend last night: Q4 revenue 18.5B due to headwind from seasonality and distillation block. So this translates to year end ARR as 80B+ roughly? Pretty disappointing and thanks to Opus 5.5 for accelerating the growth. 2027/2028 135/270b revenue run rate, which translates to 200B ARR 2027E I believe, also not high enough to beat sell side expectations? Also heard that my margin expansion thesis wouldn’t last in 2027 unfortunately due to capex expansion. Anyway my original thought of “Anthropic S1 saves AI trades” seems not going to happen. But let’s wait for next week to see how the Mr Market reacts when the real S1 file goes public.
Show more