OG GenAI Skeptic; spoke at US Senate. Warned about hallucinations in 2001. Advocating world models & neurosymbolic AI ever since. Author, Marcus on AI & 6 books
Giant cash machines like Meta and Google are now negative cash flow; OpenAI and Anthropic have been from the start.* (*With the arguable exception of one anomalous quarter with a big subsidy.)
There is at least an 80% chance that this will turn out to be the greatest capital misallocation in history.
META may be new to the negative cash flow club, but not GOOGL: free cash flow was negative for a second straight quarter, -$9.1bn vs -$3.5bn consensus. Trailing-12-month FCF collapsed 73% to $19.7bn, from $73.6bn a year ago.