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Jon Hartley
@Jon_Hartley_
Macroeconomist-Assistant Econ Prof @UTAustin SCL. @HooverInst Visiting Fellow @CapAndFreedom. @CivitasInst @FREOPP @Mercatus @EconClubofMiami @Stanford Econ PhD
22.5K Following    20.5K Followers
"The jobs apocalypse is postponed. An AI jobs boom is here" via @TheEconomist
It's been 2 years since the Sahm recession rule indicator triggered in July 2024 because the three-month moving average of the U.S. unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, which was 0.53 percentage points higher than its 12-month low of 3.4% set in early 2023. No U.S. recession since.
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"The Population Bust Is Coming Sooner Than Anyone Is Prepared For" by @lymanstoneky via @nytimes