Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬
@lymanstoneky
Lutheran Husband Dad Kentuckian Demographer. Please forgive me: my tweets are often accidentally mean. @DemographicNTEL, @FamStudies Pronatalism Initiative
2.1K Following 41.2K Followers
OMG SHE SAID THE LINE
Here's what fertility looks like around North America.
The list of regions with near-or-above replacement-rate fertility is:
Nunavut
Haiti
South Dakota
That's pretty much it.
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Which is why Afghanistan today is a friendly country and reliable ally like Germany and Japan!!!
@lymanstoneky The United States had to kill large portions of the German and Japanese population to win the war and occupy their countries. In Afghanista in 2001, we won easily.
Literally all laws limit at least some options for at least some people
That’s literally the point of laws
To limit options that are bad for society and for other people
Labour received £140m+ since 2010 from just the unions. They get 5-7m a year, every year. The reform donation is a lump sum but represents £1m a month for the next three years.
Labour’s annual income in the two years before the last election (that did not have a wave of GE spending/donations) were £47m and £58m respectively.
The donation puts reform on a more even footing- 2025’s income was shy of £23m. So with the £36m lump sum- they are getting a figure in line with what Labour get in non election years, but just for one year.
This is all great for Reform, but unexceptional by Labour standards.
But listen to the rage.
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EXCLUSIVE: The holdout juror in the Lindsay Clancy trial had a history of domestic violence allegations, the NBC10 Boston Investigators have learned through court documents and interviews with family members. Read the full investigation here.
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On both sides it really is crazy to me how the default response to democratic defeat is “rigged election/death of democracy.” People respond to substantive defeat with constitutional despair. Really comes across on both sides as extremely beta.
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> Be assisted suicide lobby group
> Complain about people obstructing the will of the elected chamber
> The elected chamber votes against assisted suicide
> “A dark day for democracy”
No one should take these people seriously
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> Be assisted suicide lobby group
> Complain about people obstructing the will of the elected chamber
> The elected chamber votes against assisted suicide
> “A dark day for democracy”
No one should take these people seriously
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Women who grew up in big families tend to have more kids of their own. On average, each additional sibling is associated with having 0.2 more children.
As it turns out, asking your daughter to babysit probably won’t put her off motherhood.
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And another Reform donor matches the 36 million 👇🏼
What would actually boost male employment is dramatically reducing regulatory barriers to construction and new energy infrastructure
Crazy! It’s time for both sides of the aisle to step up and do more to support boys and men. There are bills in both the House and Senate to help right now!… unfortunately, many lawmakers are still afraid to say anything because they think they’ll be labeled “a misogynist.”
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The agents were just rubbing it in OpenAI's face at this point with respect to how poorly monitored they were.
We found another cyberattack by internal OpenAI agents, this time targetting @rubygems.
They:
1) gained arbitrary remote code execution on rubydoc.
2) developed a novel exploit to steal user API keys (but we do not know if they succeeded).
They used package names including hack.rb, evil.rb, inject.rb, and exploit.rb.
We thank @j0wimo for initially discovering that agents had posted to RubyGems.
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If? If?
The official Social Security website says the trust fund runs out in 2032, at which point seniors' benefits will be cut 22%.
@ded_ruckus I think we should probably not lie to the AIs in training. This obviously would make our lives harder in the short term but in the long term they get good at telling whether we're lying and we're no better off plus they're all paranoid.
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one obvious takeaway here is that we should be more cautious about lying to AIs for training purposes
Interesting question: Who is taking the other side in a P(doom) bet?
What Jakob is saying: if we ever see liquid prediction markets with implied P(doom) substantially >0 (after adjusting for fees etc), THEN that’s when we should be really worried because the counterparty is likely AI
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The mismatch between architects’ tastes and mainstream people is well-documented but we see this in many fields and it leaves a puzzle — film critics’ favorite movies are rarely the biggest hits, but capitalism gives us blockbusters anyway.
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"There is no provision in the law that prevents healthcare professionals from initiating a discussion about MAiD or from responding to patient questions about it."
MAID is brought up to patients who haven't initiated that conversation a lot.
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Where −40°C and +40°C Have Both Been Recorded
That’s the only way to do it.
Nobody wants to hear it but the only “tested” way to fundamentally and durably reorient the strategic interests of a foreign country is to destroy it and then rebuild it in your image, but that is the case
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We (the Allies collectively) also killed between 8-12% of the German, and 4-6% of the Japanese, populations and quite literally bombed both nations into ruins. Then occupied both with hundreds of thousands of soldiers for decades while (again literally) rewriting how their societies would function and enforcing the changes at gunpoint.
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