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Michael的美投日记
@Michael_QQQ2025
a trader,just trade,don't pray。我有discord社区和微信群,客观判断、独立思考、敬畏市场。进群添加微信号:SPYLISA0510,非诚勿扰。
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$NVDA , our king is back!😙😙👏 cheers!
$NVDA 这里的托举区域支撑还挺清晰的,价位区间在189-195左右,连续两次在vages隧道支撑,最近一次还以大阴线的形式跌破,这应该是抛售高潮了。 现在英伟达正在挑战212的关键压力位,希望老马的助攻能推一波,目前盘前是上去了。我周一进场做多的27年1月到期期权持有收益率应该超过40%了。 此外,两倍做多的 $PLTR、 $ARM 和 $LITE 均是周一进场,分别是53%、43%、24%。此类杠杆仓位均为短线操作,不会持有很久。当然还有 $RKLB 的期权等。 这些优质的股票技术面在周一有不错的进场信号。
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Earnings Takeaways- AMD • Raised 2026/27 EPS by +8%/+23%; TP lifted from $640 → $700 on 45x 2027E or 31x 2028E • After-hours weakness as market digests high expectations despite solid results • 2Q26 revenue $11.5bn (+50% YoY) in line; EPS $1.66 slightly above consensus
• 3Q26 guide: $13bn revenue above consensus, GM 56% soft
• Mgmt sees datacenter >100% YoY growth in 2027 (CPU + GPU)
• MI450/MI455X on track. Helios ramping in 3Q/4Q26 with further step-up in 1Q27 • We see Helios rack supply chain build plan ROBUST (>20k racks 2H26-27) 
• MI500 expected to outperform Nvidia’s Rubin Ultra in hardware performance

• Business tracking well ahead of long-term model (>35% revenue CAGR, EPS >$20)
• Strength from AI GPUs (MI450/Helios/MI500) + server CPU TAM/share gains
• Margin wise, AI GPU margins to stay below corporate avg due to large-memory strategy, while CPU and Embedded recovery are positive drivers #AMD#
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$AMD bulls will be happy to see that😂
Good comments👍 From NVDA perspective, due to the limited area of compute tray, it is reasonable to chose 2-die instead of 4-die, as whatever the package is, a compute tray can only do 8 dies. As said, due to different design, MI550, assuming no further change, is expected to be 4-die
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