Oli
@OInvests
MA Economics | Treasury | Thematic investing: AI infrastructure, Defense, Space | Core: $IREN $NBIS $MU $VRT $ASTS | Building: $CRDO $RKLB $PLTR | $BTC
367 Following 4.9K Followers
Brent oil down. 10-year Treasury yield down.
Oil is the limiting factor holding everything back.
Strait of Hormuz resolution:
> Oil comes down.
> Yields come down.
> Fed can cut rates.
> Cost of borrowing goes down.
Growth Stocks Rally: $IREN $MU
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Luck Doesn't Exist.
It's a concept that keeps you Dreaming.
The guy who invested in Bitcoin early.
Was he Lucky?
Or did he buy at a time when no one believed in it?
Was he "Lucky" holding it through the Volatility?
Luck is a manifestation of Actions.
You create your own Luck.
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Price dictates sentiment. It's easy to get carried away.
Factors that haven't gone away:
> Brent oil above $100
> 10 Yr Treasury yield @ 4.95%
> US / Iran geopolitical tension
> Anticipated further rate hikes
Despite all that, AI is inevitable.
Long: $IREN $MU
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Cash is a Position.
The market is starting to run hot. I expect this to continue at least into the Anthropic IPO.
I'm currently 0% cash and not trimming, but it's not a bad idea to start reducing contributions and building a cash buffer.
Be greedy when others are fearful. Be fearful when others are greedy.
The market is far from greedy yet. But worth keeping an eye on.
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Called $INTC 2 weeks ago.
Since then it’s up 18%.
CPUs become pivotal as AI shifts from prompt-based responses to agentic autonomous workflows. Sequential logic and orchestration run on CPUs not GPUs.
$AMD moving for the same reason. Both rolling out 10-25% server CPU price increases in October.
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CPUs are somewhere I want exposure in the Agentic era. So far I have none.
$INTC piques my interest.
- government backed
- validated by $AAPL $NVDA and $TSLA
The chart also looks primed for a Breakout.
50 SMA reclaimed. This setup looks great.
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Space is Flying Today.
$RKLB +6.95%
$ASTS +6.07%
Interest rate hikes compress valuations on cash burning growth companies. Higher discount rates make future cash flows worth less today. Hence the initial drop post announcement.
Sentiment looks to have shifted:
$RKLB - $1.94B ATM offering fully absorbed. Iridium acquisition fully funded. Dilution risk significantly reduced. 96th successful launch on September 19.
$ASTS - BlueBird manufacturing scaling to 6 satellites per month. Revenue sharing with AT&T and Verizon activates once the constellation is up.
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Rothschild rated $IREN at $40.
Here's what they missed:
> H2 delivery expected in October
> Unnamed customer revealed when Anthropic S-1 drops (Anthropic is speculative but highly probable)
> November earnings - first contracted revenue hits the income statement from H1 and H2
> H3 and H4 delivered by December
> March 2027 - first clean quarter. All 4 Horizons fully operational and reflecting in earnings.
$100 by March 2027 is the conservative case.
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Rothschild Ratings and Price Targets:
$IREN | $40 PT | HOLD
$NBIS | $84 PT | SELL
$CRWV | $54 PT | SELL
The Price Targets are Completely Off.
Interesting though that $IREN is the only HOLD.
Do you Agree?
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Connectivity is the AI Bottleneck.
Here are 7 ways to play it:
1. $CRDO - Interconnects
These 5 Stocks Are About to Break Out.
1. $IREN
2. $INTC
3. $MRVL
4. $SNDK
5. $MU
I hope you took Notice?
5 Stocks about to Break Out of Month Long Consolidation Patterns:
1. $IREN
$IREN is Going to go on one of the Most Hated Rallies seen on X.
Many are going to watch $IREN and think: “Was the Engagement Bait really worth it? I should’ve just Bought.”
Enjoy the impressions. You can enjoy watching from the sidelines through the next 12 Months.
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$IREN is about to FLY straight to $60.
There aren’t many cleaner setups.
SEND IT!
Markets Look Juicy!
Do we think this Green Holds?
Intelligence Doesn’t Equate to Success.
The Smartest person in the room attempts to calculate every Risk.
They convince themself each Investment decision is too Risky.
Risk has to be taken to create Success.
There isn’t a Successful person who Won playing it Safe.
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This is an Extremely Bullish Setup.
After periods of consolidation the Breakout can be violent.
Volume is significant as we trend up.
One to put on the watchlist.
Are there any stocks you’re Bullish on heading into this week?
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327 followers today. My best single day on X.
Thank you to everyone who followed.
If you're new here - My content is focused on AI infrastructure, Macro analysis and Investor psyche.
Goal: help as many people as possible think differently about wealth building.
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Agreed on the probabilistic shift.
It places emphasis on creativity rather than finite outcome.
But how does the youth access these tools if they sit behind a token paywall?
Money is a constraint in youth.
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There are so many seasoned software executives who are completely out of their element with the types of products that will breakout in the next few years.
Over the last 20 years, their brains were wired to build apps that deliver value by outputting deterministic results, but AI produces value from probabilistic results. This is such a different way to approach how something should work.
Young people who are thinking in this way from the outset will be at a significant advantage -- in the same way they were advantaged when thinking about how products could be social in 2010.
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Strange to think they’ve come from videos about Japanese Forrest’s to US Department of War “Warriors”
We really do live in strange times.
Last Thursday, we welcomed Logan and Jake Paul to the Pentagon to meet with our warriors.
AI Adoption is Accelerating.
By 2030 - 1.9 billion paying customers projected.
That's roughly 23% of the global population actively paying for AI.
The thesis has only just started.
$IREN $MU
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Connectivity is the AI Bottleneck.
Here are 7 ways to play it:
1. $CRDO - Interconnects
