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The Order Book
@OrderBookShow
The Order Book by @tradermayne 🔴LIVE: Tue & Thur - 6pm EST
91 Following    5.4K Followers
Potential bearish MSBs developing on both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. The bulls have about 5-6 hours to save the charts.
Tradermayne provides an update on bitcoin:native, altcoins, and equities. "Bitcoin is still holding on. But, like, a lot of these altcoins, things like ETH, they have broken what I would argue is kind of their daily structure. And that’s pretty widespread across a lot of these crypto markets. A lot of these stocks have done the same thing. And equities is still holding on. I got a pretty big level around 7620 on ES. If we lose that on the three-day or the weekly, that’s a structure break. And NQ has a similar level at 28,820. So if we crack those levels, then yeah, I agree. We’ll see some downside." Feat. @Tradermayne @MarketBubble @blknoiz06 @Banks
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Q3 Employment Cost Index just printed +0.8% QoQ (in line with the 0.8% forecast, down from +0.9% prior) and +3.4% YoY. Wage and benefit cost growth continues to cool gradually but stays elevated. Another piece of the inflation puzzle as markets work through the Binance incident and the broader tech/AI selloff.
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Tradermayne reveals that the @binance hack could have been far worse. "They froze like 80% of it almost instantly. So I think Circle froze like $800 million, and then Tether froze like a billion. So of a two-and-a-half-billion-dollar hack to have 75% of it frozen already, not to mention what could get frozen later. I think this could have been way, way worse." Feat. @Tradermayne @MarketBubble @blknoiz06 @Banks
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Another important U.S. inflation-related indicator is coming today. The Q3 Employment Cost Index (ECI) will be released at 8:30 AM ET, giving investors a fresh look at how quickly wages and employee benefit costs are rising. Here's where things stand: • Previous quarter: +0.9% • Q3 forecast: +0.8% • Previous annual growth: +3.4% Unlike average hourly earnings, the ECI tracks changes in wages and benefits while accounting for differences in job types, making it a useful measure of underlying labor-cost pressures.
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Tradermayne says making your crypto last should be your top priority. "A couple million bucks, three to five million bucks is enough with some smart decision-making and some smart compounding, like Evan has laid out here, to change your life forever if you’re not reckless about it." Feat. @Tradermayne
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Now loading... Mayne, Trader and Founder of Breakout Today @ 2:30PM PT
Tradermayne outlines the path to achieving financial freedom. "You never want to work again. Get yourself a couple million bucks, build a plan, slowly draw off of that, live underneath your means. All of a sudden, you have a lot more freedom than you think. You don’t like your job. You can quit. Maybe you don’t need to jump into the next job right away because you’re able to sustain your lifestyle off of the draw on your portfolio." Feat. @Tradermayne
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"We do have this bearish sweep on upside."
Tradermayne highlights a reason why traders abandon their plan. "But the moment that price starts doing the thing that you want, which is potentially give you a bit of a pullback, all of a sudden that plan that we had like a month ago saying, hey, weekly market structure break, we’re looking to buy the next dip, goes out the window. And usually that’s because during this consolidation, this sideways period, most people throw their plan out the window because now they’re looking at altcoins." Feat. @Tradermayne
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FOMC + Unemployment Claims Recap: Yesterday, the Fed held rates at 3.75–4.00% in a 10–2 vote, with Cook and Hammack pushing for another 25 bps hike. The Fed upgraded its economic outlook from "solid" to "strong," while warning that inflation remains elevated. Warsh offered no clear signal on December. Markets still see a significant chance of a December hike. BTC reaction was muted around the decision, softened overnight back near $80k, classic “priced-in hold + ongoing inflation concern” price action. Today's jobless claims: • Initial claims: 194K vs. 199K expected • Previous week: 195K (revised) • Continuing claims: 1.701M, down 21K Layoffs remain low, suggesting the labor market is holding up despite elevated interest rates. That's good news for economic growth, but it also gives the Fed less reason to ease policy while inflation remains stubborn.
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Tradermayne shares that a friend of his is the happiest person he knows because he avoids the news. "He’s like, I have no idea. He doesn’t think about any of that stuff. He doesn’t even know what’s going on. And I’m telling you, this guy is happier than me by a long shot. I got way more money than him. Because his life’s simple. He’s not worried about things that are outside of his control." Feat. @Tradermayne
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NYSE parent ICE is teaming up with Trade[XYZ] to bring Hyperliquid-based perpetual futures onshore to the US (pending CFTC approval). The plan: dedicated exchange + clearing built on Hyperliquid rails, KYC/AML compliant, offering 24/7 perps on equities, indices, commodities, FX, and crypto. ICE is taking a strategic stake in Trade[XYZ]. Trade[XYZ]’s existing Hyperliquid markets have already cleared $650B+ in volume. HYPE ripped higher on the news as whales piled into longs. TradFi infrastructure meeting crypto’s 24/7 perp rails, this is one of the cleaner bridges we’ve seen. Worth watching how (or if) it actually gets through regulators and what it does to liquidity across both sides.
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Tradermayne shares how much of a nightmare the Canadian banking system is. "What’s crazy about this is up here in Canada, if I try and send a wire transfer, they basically show up at my house and look inside my asshole, and they go, what are you doing in there with that money? What are you hiding? What do you mean you’re trying to send a wire transfer? How dare you move money that’s yours? So that’s at least how it is in Canada." Feat. @Tradermayne
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Tradermayne breaks down ethereum:0xd533a949740bb3306d119cc777fa900ba034cd52 "We just took out the range high, multiple rejections. If we do run the range low, I think all of a sudden that becomes very interesting, and maybe we finally get that move into this demand here." Feat. @Tradermayne
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The battle for control of the U.S. House of Representatives is just 6 days away. On November 3, Americans will vote in the 2026 midterm elections, with all 435 House seats up for grabs. Current market odds: 🔵 Democratic Party: 92% 🔴 Republican Party: 9% The party controlling the House has significant influence over government spending, taxes, financial regulations, and which parts of the president's agenda can move forward. A change in control could reshape Washington's approach to economic policy for the next two years.
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Tradermayne outlines some ways to respond to burnout. "Cut your risk, step away from the charts, log off social media, play sports, start running, spend time with friends and family, go hiking or traveling, take lots of hot baths. As much as it feels like this is the best time to make generational wealth, right now the market will always be here." Feat. @Tradermayne
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Tradermayne reveals that hidden fees could be eating into your returns. "If you’re in some sort of boilerplate mutual fund through your bank, you don’t realize that these people are eating off of you. They’re eating off of you in management fees. Whether they tell you about the fees or they’re built into the product, you’re getting eaten alive. I highly suggest you take whatever your portfolio is and your banker has you in, pop it in AI and be like, " How can I remake this myself?" Feat. @Tradermayne
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FOMC decision today. Expected hold at 3.75–4.00% after September’s 25 bp hike. CME FedWatch shows ~90% odds of no change, with December hike probability still elevated (~75%+). BTC has been chopping around $80–81k into the announcement (brief dip under $80k yesterday). The decision itself is largely priced—the real signal will be in Warsh’s presser and any dissent on the path from here.
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