Politics & Poll Tracker 📡
@PollTracker2024
Tracking possible polls in future elections + covers U.S. politics and elections. Political commentary frequent. Non-partisan.
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Advanced Targeting Research poll | 5/12-5/13 LV
US House 2026 | Arizona 1st congressional district Republican primary
(Trump +3 | 2024)
🟥Joseph Chaplik 29%
🟥Jay Feely 9%
🟥John Trobough 5%
Undecided 57%
(Chaplik internal)
Photo credit: @Garrett_Archer
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CNN: Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson offered a blistering critique Monday of the Supreme Court’s handling of a recent high-profile redistricting case, asserting that the court needed to be “really, really careful” in the churn of an election year to avoid appearing political and suggesting it had failed to do so in that case.
“Courts are apolitical, not supposed to be issuing rulings that are in the political realm,” Jackson said at an event in Washington hosted by the American Law Institute. “We have to be scrupulous about sticking to the principles and the rules that we apply in every case and not look as though we’re doing something different in this kind of context.”
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I know they’re both Republicans but is there any meaningful difference between the mayoral campaigns of Spencer Pratt and Curtis Sliwa’s?
ABC News: At least 4 Virginia Democratic House candidates drop out after courts toss new map
One will run in a GOP-held district; another has not yet announced her plans.
Public Sentiment Institute poll | 5/13-5/15
US President 2028 (Wisconsin)
(full poll)
Vance vs Newsom: Newsom +1.9🟦
Vance vs Harris: Harris +2.8🟦
Vance vs Buttigieg: Buttigieg +3.2🟦
Vance vs AOC: AOC +0.1🟦
Vance vs SA Smith: Vance +2.1🟥
Rubio vs Newsom: Tied
Rubio vs Harris: Harris +1.5🟦
Rubio vs Buttigieg: Buttigieg +2.0🟦
Rubio vs AOC: Rubio +3.1🟥
Rubio vs SA Smith: Rubio +4.5🟥
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Public Sentiment Institute poll | 5/13-5/15
Wisconsin statewide races 2026
🟦Democratic primary for Governor
Mandela Barnes 24.1%
Sara Rodriguez 12.3%
Francesca Hong 8.5%
David Crowley 8.0%
Others 7.1%
Undceided 38.8%
——
Governor
🟦Mandela Barnes 44.8%
🟥Tom Tiffany 40.9%
Undecided 11.2%
—
🟦Francesca Hong 40.5%
🟥Tom Tiffany 39.7%
Undecided 16.3%
——
Generic congressional ballot
🟦Democratic 47.6%
🟥Republican 40.5%
Undecided 10.1%
——
President Trump approval
❌Disapprove 57%
✅Approve 40%
Link to substack:
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Public Sentiment Institute poll | 5/13-5/15
US President 2028 (Wisconsin)
(full poll)
Vance vs Newsom: Newsom +1.9🟦
Vance vs Harris: Harris +2.8🟦
Vance vs Buttigieg: Buttigieg +3.2🟦
Vance vs AOC: AOC +0.1🟦
Vance vs SA Smith: Vance +2.1🟥
Rubio vs Newsom: Tied
Rubio vs Harris: Harris +1.5🟦
Rubio vs Buttigieg: Buttigieg +2.0🟦
Rubio vs AOC: Rubio +3.1🟥
Rubio vs SA Smith: Rubio +4.5🟥
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Public Sentiment Institute poll | 5/13-5/15
Wisconsin statewide races 2026
🟦Democratic primary for Governor
Mandela Barnes 24.1%
Sara Rodriguez 12.3%
Francesca Hong 8.5%
David Crowley 8.0%
Others 7.1%
Undceided 38.8%
——
Governor
🟦Mandela Barnes 44.8%
🟥Tom Tiffany 40.9%
Undecided 11.2%
—
🟦Francesca Hong 40.5%
🟥Tom Tiffany 39.7%
Undecided 16.3%
——
Generic congressional ballot
🟦Democratic 47.6%
🟥Republican 40.5%
Undecided 10.1%
——
President Trump approval
❌Disapprove 57%
✅Approve 40%
Link to substack:
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1892 Polling | 5/12-5/14 LV
Michigan Governor Republican primary 2026
🟥John James 24% (-2)
🟥Perry Johnson 23% (+2)
🟥Mike Cox 7% (+1)
🟥Aric Nesbitt 7% (+3)
Undceided 38% (-4)
(Change from March 2026)
(Perry Johnson internal)
Link to poll:
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Big Data Poll | 5/16-5/18 LV
US House 2026 | Kentucky’s 4th congressional district Republican primary
🟥Thomas Massie 50.1% (incumbent)
🟥Ed Gallrein 49.9%
Link to poll:
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NYT: Judge Bars ICE From Making Immigration Arrests at Courts in New York
The Trump administration’s practice of detaining migrants at federal courthouses had stirred outrage
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Big Data Poll | 5/16-5/18 LV
US House 2026 | Kentucky’s 4th congressional district Republican primary
🟥Thomas Massie 50.1% (incumbent)
🟥Ed Gallrein 49.9%
Link to poll:
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Vice President JD Vance will deliver the White House Press Briefing on Tuesday
Source: White House Press Pool
Public Sentiment Institute poll | 5/13-5/15
Wisconsin statewide races 2026
🟦Democratic primary for Governor
Mandela Barnes 24.1%
Sara Rodriguez 12.3%
Francesca Hong 8.5%
David Crowley 8.0%
Others 7.1%
Undceided 38.8%
——
Governor
🟦Mandela Barnes 44.8%
🟥Tom Tiffany 40.9%
Undecided 11.2%
—
🟦Francesca Hong 40.5%
🟥Tom Tiffany 39.7%
Undecided 16.3%
——
Generic congressional ballot
🟦Democratic 47.6%
🟥Republican 40.5%
Undecided 10.1%
——
President Trump approval
❌Disapprove 57%
✅Approve 40%
Link to substack:
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Public Sentiment Institute poll | 5/13-5/15
Wisconsin statewide races 2026
🟦Democratic primary for Governor
Mandela Barnes 24.1%
Sara Rodriguez 12.3%
Francesca Hong 8.5%
David Crowley 8.0%
Others 7.1%
Undceided 38.8%
——
Governor
🟦Mandela Barnes 44.8%
🟥Tom Tiffany 40.9%
Undecided 11.2%
—
🟦Francesca Hong 40.5%
🟥Tom Tiffany 39.7%
Undecided 16.3%
——
Generic congressional ballot
🟦Democratic 47.6%
🟥Republican 40.5%
Undecided 10.1%
——
President Trump approval
❌Disapprove 57%
✅Approve 40%
Link to substack:
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The 2016 presidential election in Florida was closer than Michigan and Pennsylvania in 2024.
What historical fact sounds fake but is true?
NOTUS: TrumpRx Will Start Linking to Mark Cuban’s Discount Online Pharmacy
The White House’s drug pricing initiative will now feature generics, relying on Cost Plus Drugs and other drug discount companies.
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I saw this for a brief moment and thought Tom Kean died.
Today is Jerome Powell’s last day as chair of the Federal Reserve.
