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Santiago Capital
@SantiagoAuFund
If you can keep your head when all about you are losing theirs & blaming it on you… NOT TRADING ADVICE
2.4K Following    343.4K Followers
For those addicted to the current swipe right/immediate gratification culture, when I say “this will end badly…but not yet”, I’m not making a moral judgement on outcome, I’m making a timing judgment on outcome. If you don’t understand difference you should at least try to do so.
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When a capitalist entrepreneur tells you they welcome government oversight they are telling you they need help
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Until you understand that the charts of M2 are not just measuring supply…but also measuring demand…you will be lost.
The Rest of the World has a Eurodollar Debt problem. Without that...they wouldn't have a USD payments system problem. It's the Debt that allows the US to weaponize the system. So until ROW solves the Eurodollar Debt problem...these new payment systems are BandAids...at best.
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For all those quoting the increased use of parallel or nascent payment systems and liquidity rails…it does NOT solve the problem. The problem is not the rails. The problem is the DEBT. It’s in USD. And the rest of the world owes more to each other (in USD!) than the US does…
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What do you think Trump will do to affect the Alberta results now that Carney is trying to affect the mid term results…? 🤔
Bessents recent actions are more about the holes in balance sheets of Commercial Banks, Financial Institutions, and even Central Banks (both domestically and internationally) as it is about the Treasury’s ability to fund itself at higher rates.
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@markjoyce1977 @LukeGromen Exactly. Bessent understands the progression of dominoes from the imperial circle as well as anyone.
@markjoyce1977 @LukeGromen Exactly. Bessent understands the progression of dominoes from the imperial circle as well as anyone.
Read this however many you times you need to do so in order for it to sink in
I’ve already commented on this video below once, but some takes on it from ‘sophisticates’ demand another. Yes, it’s funny to quip, “Bomb bond holders?” I laughed. But the U.S. is slipping global hegemon because it won WW2 by force (yes: with others); then built a benign, inclusive world architecture for 1/3 of us when others might have nuked a few capital cities and taken over the world; then won the Cold War, via the threat, and use, of force (yes: with others); then lobbied for a utopian neoliberal world architecture that was never going to work, as I argued over two decades ago, which has weakened it. We didn’t get to where we were pre-Trump via neoliberalism; we got there via *power*: neoliberalism was a villa built on violently cleared ‘jungle’, as Polanyi put it decades ago - and one that didn’t learn anything about the dangerous climate, flora, nor fauna there. If you really think the market treats powerless pacifists and nuclear-armed states as true equals when push comes to shove, I have a bridge to sell you. (And it goes nowhere.) There are a staggering number of Schmitt’s “Sovereign is he who decides the exception” examples out there already on various scales in various geographies. (As well as central banks buying their own bonds and this being treated as “sensible centrist technocracy”.) And sovereignty starts with power: sorry those thinking it’s solely to do with paperwork and courts. When Trump implies the U.S. military effectively backs the bond market, he’s not wrong. If you think that military can OR can’t project U.S. power globally as it once did, that matters VASTLY for market dynamics. Just don’t ask bond analysts to have any idea about it; they have as much of a clue there as generals do about bonds. Which speaks to why the U.S. is openly —and as predicted— going back to the pursuit of *power*, and a new economic and financial architecture to match, via economic statecraft that can join those dots. That has already seen massive intervention in parts of the economy. That will logically see massive intervention in markets —as we saw from 2008 to no real end economically, or politically looking at the current U.S. Watch and see what happens to the Fed and the Treasury. That will logically include the U.S. physically threatening others via action or INaction (“Nice NATO you have there…pity if anything happened to it…”), If you can’t see this you are either very kind; and/or very ideological; and/or not very well read; and/or the kind of person who got their lunch money taken at school and who now lives in a nice area where that doesn’t happen - but where your kids might be learning things about liberalism and capitalism that echo Leninism’s view of the world. It’s a depressing world where Schmitt is relevant again. But he is. Separate but related point: as I said to @izakaminska re: our global system crumbling, an inverse 70s is the 007-ties: spies, guns, war, world-shattering plots. Yet ‘James Bond’s “next chapter” needs to make 007 “relevant” to modern audiences, says Amazon MGM Studios boss’. If you think that’s not seeing the forest (or box office) for the trees, neither is thinking bond markets just happen without tanks, bombs, and Bond.
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30-Year Treasury Yield closes the week at 5.27%, the highest weekly close since June 2007 🚨 🚨
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The crossover of American financial collapse and inter-dimensional demons is going to be lit 🔥
Catherine Fitts, she just revealed that interdimensional beings are pulling the strings in this world...
USTR: “…economic & national security partnership to cooperate on export controls, combat transshipment, enhance digital trade, and align certain external tariffs…” Exactly what I said 🇺🇸 demanded as its grand macro strategy. 🇨🇦 gets 50% tariffs until it agrees.
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(Bloomberg) -- An agreement between the US and Canada to avert a fresh round of tariffs fell apart at the last minute, meaning the Trump administration will impose a 50% import tax on billions of dollars in Canadian goods.
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The studio actually begged Fincher and Brad Pitt to change this ending, but they refused to shoot without the box. Best decision ever!
"Ban data centers!" is the "Defund the police!" of the current moral panic. It's a luxury belief policy idea that, if actually implemented, would have disastrous downstream consequences for the country. Love them or hate them, the entire global economy runs on these bad boys.
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EXCLUSIVE: Chinese Institutions Are Building AI Models Of American Voters—And Testing Political Messages On Them. Fudan used 171 MILLION X posts to create a million-account “voter pool.” A government-linked team tested a campaign message on synthetic Pennsylvania voters. 🧵
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