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Yarrow
@Yarrow_ai
The policy simulation engine, Forecasts that get graded. Powered by @Agentese_ai :
Joined April 2025
56 Following    551 Followers
YarrowPulse: Real-Time Global Event Prediction Intelligence Platform YarrowPulse is a real-time global event prediction intelligence platform. Here’s what you can do with it: 1. World Focus Track major global events and emerging developments across multiple topics. On the homepage, you’ll find the world’s most important prediction topics, organized into five categories: Conflict, Politics, Economy, Disasters, and Elections. Each topic card features four key indicators: 🔥 Market Heat 📊 Live Updates 🏦 Related Markets 📈 Divergence Topics we currently track include US–Iran military operations, the 2026 US midterm elections, the Strait of Hormuz crisis, and Federal Reserve monetary policy. You can also expand the interactive world map on the right to explore topics by geographic location. 2. Explore Each Topic in Depth Click on any topic to explore it through three layers of information. Summary provides an AI-generated overview of the event, highlighting key variables and potential scenarios. Latest Updates delivers a real-time news feed, with sources and timestamps clearly labeled. Related Forecasts connects you to relevant Polymarket prediction markets. Each market displays three key metrics: Market Price: The current odds on Polymarket. Yarrow Price: Yarrow’s independent prediction for the same outcome. Divergence: The difference between the market price and Yarrow’s prediction, measured in percentage points. For example, you might see Divergence: 8pt. This is where Yarrow delivers its core value: helping you identify where the market may be mispricing an event. 3. Chat with YarrowAgent You can also interact directly with YarrowAgent through the persistent chat box in the bottom-right corner, labeled “Ask what happens next?” Simply ask questions in natural language, such as: “Will Russia and the US have a direct military confrontation related to Iran by December 31, 2026?” The system intelligently suggests relevant questions based on the topic you’re exploring. Log in to unlock the full YarrowAgent conversational experience. Explore YarrowPulse and see what might happen next :
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