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Brandon Beckhardt
@beckhardt
Building Prediction Markets
2.5K Following    4.4K Followers
Esports is growing rapidly on prediction markets. We’re building out Esports at Kalshi and hiring someone to lead GTM. You’re a good fit if you: -Know Esports inside and out: games, teams, leagues, creators, culture -Know what resonates and what can go viral -Can launch high-impact partnerships -Can build markets/products fans actually want -Can own marketing around the biggest moments Your job: make Kalshi the go-to prediction market for Esports. DM me if this sounds like you.
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In 2021, Thomas Peterffy invited Tarek to his house and offered to buy Kalshi. At the time, Kalshi had practically no users, no volume, and zero name recognition. But Peterffy saw the vision. Tarek and Luana turned down a potential life-changing acquisition offer. They had deep respect for Peterffy, and the offer was serious money for what was a tiny startup. But the founders believed in Kalshi and were committed to giving it their all. As their trusted partner and supporter, I told them to follow their heart. Five years later, Kalshi and Interactive Brokers are business partners. These full-circle moments are truly special.
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Kalshi x Interactive Brokers One of the largest brokers in the world. Casual, sophisticated, and institutional investors can now trade the future. All in one place.
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JUST IN: AP x Swatch collab will be a pocket watch
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ARK is excited to participate in @Kalshi's latest funding round. We believe prediction markets are emerging as a powerful new layer of financial infrastructure, enabling real-time price discovery around events, probabilities, and the evolving state of the world. Kalshi is at the forefront of this innovation, and we’re thrilled to support a team pushing the boundaries of how information is aggregated and expressed through markets. Congratulations to the entire team on this important milestone!
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prediction markets are the first financial product where a farmer, a nurse, and a truck driver have structural edge over a hedge fund analyst. domain knowledge finally has a market that rewards it
Kalshi x Madison Square Garden The world’s most famous arena. Where iconic games are played. Where legends perform. Where unforgettable moments happen. A new era for the city.
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When I joined Kalshi back in 2020, the company had just received the regulatory designation it needed to act as a prediction market in the US (after years of work from @luanalopeslara and @mansourtarek_ ), but we still had to actually build the exchange. As an engineer, it felt like such a gift to be a part of that process: the whole team had such conviction in these markets. We dreamed of the day they would be hooked up to trading terminals and referenced by news anchors worldwide. I thought: “if we can just get the systems up and running, people will come.” When we processed our first trade, it felt amazing. But I was also hit with the reality that what we had was not enough: how could we scale to millions of markets a day? How could we support collateral return and margin on events? How do we make even low volume markets liquid? Unlike building a matching engine, these were (and some remain) open questions that hadn’t been solved by a financial exchange before. Thankfully, the team is composed of many of the most hardworking and passionate people I’ve ever met, so though tackling these problems has meant a lot of late nights, it’s never meant a late night alone (shout out to @_rainerds who has been my grinding buddy since the beginning). I'm so grateful to be working alongside each one of you. There is still so much left to do. If you’re interested in joining us, I’d love to chat!
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I joined Kalshi when it was little more than a dream. We’ve come a long way since then. This team has worked harder than anyone to get here. But we’re still at the very beginning. The dream that brought us here is still unfolding - and what’s ahead is even bigger.
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Kalshi raised $1B at a $22B valuation led by Coatue, with participation from Morgan Stanley, Sequoia, a16z, and others. In 2018, we were two kids who loved math, markets, and debate. And we had a dream: build the next generation financial market, where we capture a broader set of questions and harness the power of the masses to price them better than Wall Street. Kalshi was born to fulfill that dream. Today, most of these questions are traded indirectly, priced through imprecise proxies or negotiated bilaterally in opaque, restricted, relationship-driven markets. But thanks to our incredible community of users who make our markets work, Kalshi has the opportunity to change that by turning historically fragmented and untradeable risk into open, liquid, and standardized markets. We’ve seen this movie before. When interest rates, currencies, commodities, and crypto moved from dark to lit markets, volume did not just migrate: access expanded, new use cases emerged, and the opportunity grew by orders of magnitude. Today, Kalshi represents over 90% of US prediction market volume and the majority of activity globally, with annualized volume growing to $178B over the past 6 months. What started as retail is quickly becoming institutional — hedge funds, asset managers, prop firms, and insurers are beginning to trade, provide liquidity, and hedge real-world risk directly. The scope and scale of prediction markets are just beginning to take shape. We’re using this new capital to accelerate the institutional adoption underway — unlocking trillions in capital to facilitate active trading and risk management. Prediction markets are moving from early adoption to core financial infrastructure. This is just the beginning.
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Kalshi raised $1B at a $22B valuation led by Coatue, with participation from Morgan Stanley, Sequoia, a16z, and others. In 2018, we were two kids who loved math, markets, and debate. And we had a dream: build the next generation financial market, where we capture a broader set of questions and harness the power of the masses to price them better than Wall Street. Kalshi was born to fulfill that dream. Today, most of these questions are traded indirectly, priced through imprecise proxies or negotiated bilaterally in opaque, restricted, relationship-driven markets. But thanks to our incredible community of users who make our markets work, Kalshi has the opportunity to change that by turning historically fragmented and untradeable risk into open, liquid, and standardized markets. We’ve seen this movie before. When interest rates, currencies, commodities, and crypto moved from dark to lit markets, volume did not just migrate: access expanded, new use cases emerged, and the opportunity grew by orders of magnitude. Today, Kalshi represents over 90% of US prediction market volume and the majority of activity globally, with annualized volume growing to $178B over the past 6 months. What started as retail is quickly becoming institutional — hedge funds, asset managers, prop firms, and insurers are beginning to trade, provide liquidity, and hedge real-world risk directly. The scope and scale of prediction markets are just beginning to take shape. We’re using this new capital to accelerate the institutional adoption underway — unlocking trillions in capital to facilitate active trading and risk management. Prediction markets are moving from early adoption to core financial infrastructure. This is just the beginning.
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BREAKING: Marco Rubio is now the odds favorite to win the 2028 Presidency
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Who will be the next 007? Our sponsor Kalshi’s prediction market reveals the current frontrunners: — Callum Turner: 45% — Jacob Elordi: 19% — Aaron Taylor-Johnson: 15% @foxandfriends
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Prediction markets are picking up serious momentum again. Here’s how 7-day notional volumes looked across the top platforms this week: 1. @Kalshi - $3.85B 2. @Polymarket - $1.13B 3. @opinionlabsxyz - $219M 4. @predictdotfun - $189.2M 5. @trylimitless - $130.7M 6. @SX_Bet - $11.3M 7. @Overtime_io - $3.8M 8. @MyriadMarkets - $846K Source: @Dune Track stats and start predikting at best rates through @predikt_gg. 🔮
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