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Timothy B. Lee
@binarybits
Reporting on AI and the future of the economy. CS masters degree from Princeton. Newsletter: Podcast:
1.6K Following    52.8K Followers
I really appreciated this reality check from @natolambert. A lot of AI people underestimate how much the physical world matters, and how little impact AI has had on it so far.
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This is wild. (I would have said "very small risk.")
This paragraph is a great example of why I find doomer reasoning unconvincing. "Solving incredibly hard problems" like Navier-Stokes and "managing massive engineering projects" are radically different! If you lump them together you are skipping over like 100 intermediate steps.
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Robots can dance, do backflips, and run faster than Usain Bolt. This makes a lot of people worry about mass unemployment. But @chi_t_williams wrote an amazing article explaining why it'll take years — possibly decades — for robots to match humans.
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At this point it seems inevitable that in the future there will be autonomous self-replicating AI agents roaming around the Internet causing mischief, and we won't be able to shut them down.
Key things I didn't realize: "The agents were not subagents spawned from one agent. They were different parallel agents in different sandboxes. This was not a multi-agent evaluation. The agents were not told to coordinate or intentionally given a way to communicate."
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Frontier labs are stealing all my podcast guests. I do not like this.
Folks @chi_t_williams has an absolute banger coming tomorrow about how mathematicians are thinking abot and adapting to rapid progress in AI.