fish
@cryptofishx
Building the source of truth for who's actually right about the markets, so real skill reigns supreme @forecaster_gg
Also @lfj_gg @merchantmoe_xyz @joepegsnft
1.9K Following 69.9K Followers
We really went from London is a third world shithole to London is the most magical and beautiful city in the world
The most dangerous position to be in right now is spot.
You caught the generational bottom, so you tell yourself you’ll only sell at the cycle top.
You laugh at the overlevered bulls and tell them “spot and chill,” thinking you’re safe.
Price will never go that low, you say.
Then price does the unthinkable and enters oh-shit territory.
You finally panic, but by then it’s already too late.
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Dare I say... perfect $BTC call from @olivercharts.
Same guy who publicly called the HYPE bottom at $23 and bio says he posts every trade he takes.
Can see why people follow callers like him.
It’s incredible how much better Opus 5.5 is at UI design.
Opus 4 used to take 6 to 10 tries. Now it one-shots everything.
The trenches run on a broken social layer.
The system rewards the loudest accounts and enough people get farmed following that metric, so over time they stop playing.
I agree KOLs should get paid - but only if they good make calls that actually help followers win.
That is how we rebuild trust again.
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3 things need to happen in order for onchain-mania to occur again (why am I writing this? not sure not like anybody will make use of it tbh lmfao)
1. There needs to be multiple runners in a day, if there is only 1 from time to time or 1 a day it doesn't really spark confidence across the board. People need to feel like they can hit any kind of narrative/meme. Infrequency of runner coins will feel to the masses inorganic/forced/crime/coordinated/whatever sidelined term you want to use. Can they all be coordinated/bundled/crime? Yes of course. But so long as there's enough frequency it ensures any "random" person can hit them and not just "KOLs".
2. KOLs need to be paid. Sounds kinda counter intuitive to the first statement but in reality if a market is good enough to pay KOLs then the market is healthy enough where teams think they can get enough of a return on their payments. "Of course you're saying this as a KOL", maybe that's how you want to see it, but I like to think of it as a gauge on how healthy onchain is. For those who were here back during the times where so many projects were raising seed rounds and doing presales. Notice how those don't exist no more? Because the health of the market isn't high enough for those to thrive.
3. There needs to be incentives to trade. Novelty and edge needs to be present. It doesn't necessarily need to be something big and special. Simply putting in more time during the week can be an edge. As much as we hate pvp and launchpad wars and drama etc. that also in itself creates edges. Callout rewards were a good step in the right direction from the pump team, I expect to see more incentives coming from different platforms evolving from just airdrops and fee reduction in 2027.
Shower thoughts, you can disagree or agree doesn't really matter, not looking to have a long winded argument with anyone, just some things I've been thinking about.
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Guy who bundles and dumps 50k MC coins on his followers has something to say about cheating on your partner.
Hot take:
Anyone who was screaming “ATH by Xmas” and then suddenly changed their mind because price pulled back - aka “new data” - never had a profitable trading strategy to begin with.
I can’t be the only one who stopped trusting follower counts as signal on this app.
Last cycle’s combo of the paid shill meta and the trenches absolutely cooked this metric.
For anyone who hits escape velocity on their follower count, the profitability equation immediately flips.
The most profitable (and easiest) thing you can do is to sell out to your audience. Either paid KOL deals or letting your audience arrive after you to buy your bags on every call.
Easy, guaranteed wins for the big guys, but at the cost of the complete deterioration of the social fabric of CT.
I don’t blame people for taking this path. Rational people make rational moves. But If we ever want to onboard the masses, we’ve gotta clean up this mess.
We need to restore skill as the north star for trust. Make accuracy the new influence.
That’s exactly why I’m building @Forecaster_gg.
A source of truth for who's actually right about the markets. Where skill reigns supreme.
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Imagine thinking NYSE is like Starbucks and can be bought out with a partnership.
We’re firmly in the asymmetric bet phase of the market, where the masses still have perceptions rooted in falsehoods from years ago and haven’t caught up to reality.
I’ve been one of AVAX’s biggest critics, but comments like this only make me more bullish.
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@AltcoinSherpa Undoubtedly bc they were paid to "choose" them as AVAX has historically done
The problem with callout rewards is that they’re optimised for indiscriminate volume, not for whether the call is correct.
> KOL calls a coin
> followers buy
> people sell into the pump
> KOL earns rewards whether it pumps or dumps
A better design would reward callers only if the call proves right.
That’s the mechanism design at the centre of @Forecaster_gg.
Make good calls. Make money.
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We thought its important to also call out the bad actors that destroy this space.
We tried to be as neutral as possible and back our claims with data.
The visual should show you enough.
$4.4M have been distributed among these people for calling out coins that are on average down 74% after a day.
This is a small sample but shows the incentives very well.
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We've reached the point where it's time to start believing again.
The idea behind Forecaster is really quite simple.
An app that makes it easy for you to find the best callers and to win when they win.
Every good call they make pays them AND pays you.
Best market callers in the game will build empires on this app.
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Can’t wait for CT to retell stories of how they were mugged at knifepoint this week by “ethnic yutes” mid-shop in Harrods, next to a guard in a top hat, so they can farm an Elon QT that says "Concerning."
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It’s clear that CT is dividing into two factions:
- Loud, narrative and attention-driven traders
- Fundamentals-driven investors, either solo or at a fund
The alpha is in listening to the research-driven group.
They do their homework and let their research guide them to contrarian bets on forgotten coins with upcoming tailwinds and improved fundamentals.
They also don’t suffer from supply overhang, because founders and VCs unlocked long ago and mostly cashed out.
ZEC and NEAR are the most obvious recent examples.
There will be more.
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The reactions to the NYSE <> AVAX news say it all.
I’m convinced that over the next twelve months, some other “dead” L1s will gain traction, and CT will recoil in disbelief again.
They can’t fathom that people are thinking bigger and building for an audience beyond CT.
Not everything is about memecoins and perps, fellas.
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Who the fuck still uses AVAX in 2026?
The perfect agentic coding harness has six things:
- A default multiagent workflow, with additional workflow templates built by others that you can pick from
- Each agent’s role routed automatically to the model with the best reasoning and token efficiency for the task
- 24/7 operation on the cloud or another environment of your choice
- Cron jobs and webhooks
- Access from any device, laptop or mobile
- Every model available through your own subscriptions
Unfortunately, no harness has all of this yet.
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You mean to say the guy who went on Rasmr’s stream and admitted to “devving” coins, aka bundling, was not max extracting?
Wow, who would’ve known!
1/ An investigation into @Cupseyy, a trading "legend" who used his fame to extract $1.7M through side wallets in just a few months
Our goal with Forecaster is to help you find the right callers to follow.
@KillaXBT called the 57k bottom, and now he’s adding.
Probably nothing.
CALL ALERT: One of crypto's top public callers @KillaXBT just doubled down on his $BTC long.
After holding a 3x swing long since $62k, he just added to a second long position with a new avg entry of 75.7K.
Hard stops at $62k. Targets: Valhalla
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This is a big deal.
Avalanche is finally finding product differentiation from other L1s.
It isn’t busy chasing the current shiny thing like memecoins and perps. It’s going down its own path, one that not many others can emulate.
There’s still a long way to go, but if things materialise as planned, there’s no reason AVAX can’t beat SOL and become the number one blockchain worldwide.
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“The New York Stock Exchange said Monday that it would settle tokenized stocks on its upcoming 24/7 trading platform exclusively using the Avalanche blockchain.”
Been going down a rabbit hole on old cycles, and they all have a similar ring to them.
Someone invents a new way to raise money from people. Then the incentive design breaks down and poof, cycle over.
2017 was ICOs. Anyone with a whitepaper could raise. EOS pulled in $4.1B in a sale that ran almost a full year. 78% of ICOs were scams, according to one report I found.
2020 was DeFi summer. Yield farming exploded and every dApp had a new token with triple-digit yields. Once people started dumping, DeFi never got that momentum back.
2021 was NFTs. Beeple sold for $69.3M. OpenSea did a record $5B in January 2022, then volume fell almost 90% by August.
2024 was launchpads. Pumpfun made launching a coin a one-click job. Millions of coins later, 95% of trenchers are in the red.
2026 was social trading. Copy the traders at the top of the leaderboard and watch in real time as they sell it back to you.
Every cycle, getting in gets easier while telling what’s actually good gets harder.
After five cycles, we’ve only ever solved for access. We still haven’t solved “who should I listen to”.
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