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Andy Constan
@dampedspring
macro & beta @2Graybeards for beta. Both for investor education, Brevan Howard, Bridgewater, Salomon, Dad of 4. Go Penn, No tweet is advice
473 Following    575.2K Followers
"I read the news today oh boy" A pod blew up. Here's some rambling poorly edited thoughts on what the heck this even means linked in comments from my always free - do not pay! Blog post
Wordle 1,968 3/6* 🟨⬜⬜🟨⬜ 🟨⬜⬜🟩🟩 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩
Struggling to willingly suspend disbelief that Helen Webb can walk around London with zero security in "Black Doves"
"I read the news today oh boy" A pod blew up. Here's some rambling poorly edited thoughts on what the heck this even means linked in comments from my always free - do not pay! Blog post
Wordle 1,967 3/6* ⬜🟨🟩🟨🟩 ⬜🟩🟩🟨🟩 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩
Tough Year for Beta. 60/40 and SPY had large drawdowns along the way and only 8% YTD return. but my balanced beta has been sideways for a while (Green line.)
Closed out my short for the weekend. This rant and the hour roundtable in comments is my current market view. Very bearish. That said when you make half your year in two days it's time to take the weekend off. Ammo to absolutely slam a rally.
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I went off on a bearish rant on Sunday. Here's the shorter clip at the end of a more measured hour. 😂
Yesterday
Despite being extremely bearish every ticket today bought back some of my short. Need room to sell the bounce
And it's gone. The pumping of an actually reasonable project is ridiculous and counterproductive.
Wordle 1,966 5/6* ⬜⬜⬜🟨🟨 🟨🟨⬜⬜⬜ ⬜⬜⬜🟨🟨 🟨🟩🟩⬜🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 This word is....
$NVDA has a $235BN authorized buyback program and IS buying back stock and "reloading". Why would they "support" the stock when they are a buyer instead of buying cheaper. Isn't screwing the sellers GOOD for the shareholders vs rewarding the sellers with an elevated price.
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If the cheapest asset is your stock, you should buy it. Nvidia can buy and reload... or they can let it go down
Uncanny. Jimmy calling the low on NQ overnight. 400 points bounce.
You have to buy then when they hate them if you want to sell em when they love them
Some guy on @CNBCFastMoney wants the government to bail out the AI companies. This selloff isn't over.
I can’t shake the feeling that selling your high-beta tech stocks already down 40-70%, to buy low/no growth consumer names at 30-100x earnings…might not be so smart, either.
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Despite being extremely bearish every ticket today bought back some of my short. Need room to sell the bounce
I went off on a bearish rant on Sunday. Here's the shorter clip at the end of a more measured hour. 😂
Saturday Poll. The next 100 points for the S&P?
Wordle 1,960 4/6* ⬜⬜🟨⬜⬜ ⬜🟩⬜⬜⬜ ⬜🟩⬜⬜🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩
It would be great if we at least visit one of the two $JHEQX strikes over the next two months. If not people are gonna get frustrated AF
14% annualized 10 day realized. The pain trade has been buying index puts and index calls at 15-20 implied for 6 months. I know cuz 🩸 🩸