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Jack Forehand
@practicalquant
Excess Returns | SignalBridge Wealth
462 Following    7.5K Followers
New First Principles with @dampedspring is out. We discuss: - how the AI build-out is being financed and concerns about neocloud debt - the November 4th quarterly refunding announcement and Treasury attempts to suppress rates - the bull and bear cases Andy is weighing into year-end.
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Long-term rates rose more in September than in any month since 2022. On the latest Last Call, we look at what's driving the move, and what it means going forward. @dampedspring explains why yields are rising and why he is starting to like bonds more. @spotgamma breaks down why investors are betting on falling yields and not hedging against a stock market decline. @EricPachman shows how the diesel supply squeeze could keep inflation pressure building, even if crude oil prices ease. Plus, @CultishCreative and I discuss what an AI pause could mean for spending, productivity and markets.
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New First Principles is out: @dampedspring is back to break down the Fed hike, inflation, the issuance needed to fund AI capex, why he’s become more positive on bonds and a lot more.
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We are headed into OPEX week so @spotgamma and I are back to take a look at what is going on behind the scenes. We look at why we may be shifting from an AI driven market to a macro driven one, what Brent is seeing heading into OPEX and a lot more.
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