Register and share your invite link to earn from video plays and referrals.

David Shor
@davidshor
Head of Data Science at Blue Rose Research, based in NYC, originally from Miami. I try to elect Democrats. Views are my own. he/him🌹
4.4K Following    83K Followers
Just to update this chart: 1) AI salience has increased dramatically in the past week - increasing as much in the last week as the previous year combined 2) 80% of voters think it's either very or somewhat likely that AI will cause widespread job loss in the five to ten years 3) 64% of voters think it's either very or somewhat likely that AI could pose a threat to humanity's survival 4) Large bipartisan majorities back immediate government action on AI even when primed about risk from China
Show more
0
46
1.2K
238
Forward to community
We cross-referenced the psychometric personality data of ~ 1 million people with their zodiac astrological signs: 1) There is a small but statistically significant effect of zodiac sign on personality controlling for demographic and attitudinal variables 2) These observed personality correlations correspond strongly with LLM-generated "stereotypes" of astrological associations with personality 3) This association of observed astrological effects with astrological "stereotypes" is mediated strongly in auxiliary surveys by how frequently people read horoscopes and generally subscribe to astrology 4) Zodiac effects among people who never read horoscopes are a quite precisely estimated zero, while effects among people who read horoscopes everyday are on the order of 0.2 sds - on par with or larger than most psychometric associations found in social science
Show more
0
126
3.1K
261
Forward to community
Another small sample, but Fishback won 89% of the vote in the Florida State University precinct. We'll aggregate results across these campus precincts tomorrow for a broader look at his performance with younger voters.
Show more
0
154
636
57
Forward to community
@katrosenfield From my perspective conservatives being complicit in their president using the government to ruin lives because their party leader is a vindictive psychopath is much worse than anything that happened under woke 1
Show more
0
21
992
105
Forward to community
@katrosenfield From my perspective conservatives being complicit in their president using the government to ruin lives because their party leader is a vindictive psychopath is much worse than anything that happened under woke 1
Show more
0
21
992
105
Forward to community
@FlattsBridge @MattZeitlin Republican cities have higher crime rates than New York!
@FlattsBridge @MattZeitlin Republican cities have higher crime rates than New York!
@MattZeitlin Literally no amount of statistics will convince Republicans that demography-adjusted crime rates are higher in red cities than blue ones even though it’s true
You know someone is a slow updater when they talk about Americans not having passports of going overseas, a meme from 20-30yrs ago that is now incredibly out of date
0
42
1.4K
93
Forward to community
@MattZeitlin Literally no amount of statistics will convince Republicans that demography-adjusted crime rates are higher in red cities than blue ones even though it’s true
@MattZeitlin Republican inability to understand that red cities have more crime than blue cities is so frustrating
Both London and Chicago: Urbanized area population of ~9 million people, which makes sense because the Midwest and the UK both have ~ 70 million people Objectively peaked in global importance a century ago and are obviously in decline Greasy unhealthy food Old money aristocracy that is hard for outsiders to break into that fund all the high culture and arts Big social emphasis on pub culture and heavy drinking and after hours underground electronic music More of a loose archipelago of *many* insular neighborhoods than a unified citywide vibe Culture heavily shaped by extensive post war immigration from eastern and southern Europe Economy that became increasingly reliant in the 90’s on financial sectors that entered structural decline in the 2010’s Two world class research universities ~1-2 hours away from the city center that are about two hours away from each other Lots of other parallels too!
Show more
Both London and Chicago: Urbanized area population of ~9 million people, which makes sense because the Midwest and the UK both have ~ 70 million people Objectively peaked in global importance a century ago and are obviously in decline Greasy unhealthy food Old money aristocracy that is hard for outsiders to break into that fund all the high culture and arts Big social emphasis on pub culture and heavy drinking and after hours underground electronic music More of a loose archipelago of *many* insular neighborhoods than a unified citywide vibe Culture heavily shaped by extensive post war immigration from eastern and southern Europe Economy that became increasingly reliant in the 90’s on financial sectors that entered structural decline in the 2010’s Two world class research universities ~1-2 hours away from the city center that are about two hours away from each other Lots of other parallels too!
Show more
@real_jerseylee @mattyglesias “The labs are running around telling people their product is dangerous and should be taxed and regulated as a ploy to pump up their valuations” is a such a perfect demonstration of the thesis of this paper
Show more
One of the strongest predictors of candidate support was industry. Stevens excelled in blue-collar areas tied to manufacturing, transportation, and utilities, while El-Sayed dominated younger, highly educated areas centered on education, health care, arts, and food service.
Show more
Good morning. We should take seriously the risk that the “arms race” on AI models will get everyone killed.
Ketchup theory fails to replicate
Keith @rabois explains his Ketchup theory: "I still believe that ketchup is really good for you when you're a kid. People who are successful were eating a lot of ketchup when they were young." "Malcolm @Gladwell also has a chapter on how ketchup is the perfect food." " I've just noticed observationally that when I talk with some of my friends, I'm like, 'How much ketchup did you have when you were a kid?'"
Show more
0
30
1.1K
38
Forward to community
The DNC is trying to ban states from using ranked choice voting in the 2028 presidential primary. I think this is a really bad idea!
Thanks to @fulcrum_us for running my piece on the DNC proposing to ban counting ranked choice voting ballots in 2028 presidential primaries - much to state parties frustration. See:
Show more
Countries Where The Leader of the Major Nationalist Party is Someone From Japan / Japanese Decent
0
85
10K
577
Forward to community
The fact most of America outside the coasts and big cities has more pagans than Jews or Muslims is legitimately shocking.