$BTC When price action is difficult to read, I don’t try to anticipate every move. I define a clear trigger to confirm a direction and a simple point where the setup is no longer valid. In this example, price is reacting around an important area. If it holds above, there may be room for continuation. If it gets rejected and moves back into the range, the bullish scenario weakens. Then I reassess and consider the alternative. The key is to stay flexible: let price confirm the move, and know in advance when to change your view.

Keep an eye on liquidity and price behaviour. Don’t be swayed by people who talk nonsense without even knowing how to assess support and resistance levels. Levels alone aren’t enough: it’s the market’s reaction that counts.

I want to explain an important concept to you: seeing strong spot buying does not automatically mean that the price will rise. If Binance’s spot CVD continues to rise whilst Bitcoin falls or fails to react, it means that many buyers are aggressively entering the market, but on the other side there is someone willing to absorb all that demand. Put simply: buy orders are coming in, but the price isn’t rising because supply is even heavier. This behaviour is known as absorption. A large seller can use aggressive buying as liquidity to unwind a position without causing the market to crash immediately. As long as buyers keep coming in, they continue to sell against them. This is why spot bidding on a single exchange is not enough to determine the direction of the price. The real information is not simply: ‘they’re buying.’ The correct question is: “With all this buying, why isn’t the price managing to rise?” If aggressive buying increases but the price continues to fall, that is a sign of weakness: the buying is being absorbed by greater selling pressure. If, on the other hand, after this absorption, the price stops falling, recovers a level and confirms a rebound, then those flows can become genuinely interesting. Volume alone is not enough. CVD alone is not enough. You must always observe the price reaction. Flow + structure + confirmation. Don’t try to guess what the ‘big players’ are doing. Let the price show you who is really winning. But in summary, this indicates that we will soon see a major move and a liquidity drain.

“Look out of the window,” said those who were calling for a market capitalisation of 5 billion for coins built around their own names. Now take a closer look: if you look out of the window, all you can see is a zero. Social media kids love living in fairy tales and worshipping these gurus, who are capable of completely distorting reality. All it takes is a few motivational phrases, two targets plucked at random and a bit of popularity to turn them into the new messiahs of finance. The truth is much simpler: none of these figures will come to save you. No guru will make you rich, and no cryptocurrency becomes a serious investment simply because it bears the name of someone with lots of followers. Out here, you have to make it on your own: by studying, working and learning to think for yourselves. Even I won’t make you rich; I can help you, but without your own commitment, you won’t get anywhere. Worshipping figures on social media is not a financial strategy. Buying their coins isn’t investing: it’s paying the price of admission to take part in their fairy tale. And the problem with financial fairy tales is always the same: sooner or later, reality sets in.

The market is completely stagnant and choppy, but we were prepared: I’d already warned you. At this stage, only trade on clear deviations and valid triggers. Use simple invalidations to keep risk under control and don’t force trades amidst the noise. If confirmation is lacking, waiting is the best option. $BTC GN

$BTC BTC is still trading within a broad range between 74 / 88k At this stage, I expect volatility, temporary deviations and possible profit-taking in both directions. A potential pullback towards 76/74 would not automatically signal weakness: in that area, I would look for buying opportunities, but only after a clear reaction or a valid trigger. The first significant confirmation would come with a decisive recovery to 88k. Further up, 98/100k remains the key macro resistance. A negative reaction below 70k on the weekly chart could push BTC back down; a break above 100k on the other hand, could open up a new phase of expansion. A clear break of the weekly structure would invalidate this scenario.