I want to explain an important concept to you: seeing strong spot buying does not automatically mean that the price will rise.
If Binance’s spot CVD continues to rise whilst Bitcoin falls or fails to react, it means that many buyers are aggressively entering the market, but on the other side there is someone willing to absorb all that demand.
Put simply: buy orders are coming in, but the price isn’t rising because supply is even heavier.
This behaviour is known as absorption. A large seller can use aggressive buying as liquidity to unwind a position without causing the market to crash immediately. As long as buyers keep coming in, they continue to sell against them.
This is why spot bidding on a single exchange is not enough to determine the direction of the price.
The real information is not simply: ‘they’re buying.’
The correct question is: “With all this buying, why isn’t the price managing to rise?”
If aggressive buying increases but the price continues to fall, that is a sign of weakness: the buying is being absorbed by greater selling pressure. If, on the other hand, after this absorption, the price stops falling, recovers a level and confirms a rebound, then those flows can become genuinely interesting.
Volume alone is not enough. CVD alone is not enough. You must always observe the price reaction.
Flow + structure + confirmation.
Don’t try to guess what the ‘big players’ are doing. Let the price show you who is really winning.
But in summary, this indicates that we will soon see a major move and a liquidity drain.