Forward Guidance
@ForwardGuidance
Macro Investing Podcast
Hosted by @fejau_inc
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“We’ve hit max asymmetric hawkishness.”
@fejau_inc explains with two hikes already priced into the curve, the asymmetric trade is around cuts.
Even if the Fed stays flat, that is still a passive ease where SOFR has to price out hikes.
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The asymmetric trade right now may now be dovish.
If rate hikes do not materialize, SOFR has to price them out. Even if Fed simply stays flat, that becomes a passive easing impulse.
The point is not that cuts must arrive immediately. It is that max hawkishness may already be in the price with two hikes.
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NEW POD: Policy Intervention Is Keeping The Bull Market Alive
We Cover:
🔸 Trump market management
🔸 Peak hawkishness?
🔸 Asymmetric rates trade
🔸 Will AI politics hit markets?
@Tyler_Neville_ @qthomp @fejau_inc
Links Below ↓
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