Yes, Zcash has a very good chance of flipping Bitcoin. People still think of Bitcoin as some kind of arbitrary ceiling. History isn't kind to technology that doesn't keep up with reality.
If Zcash fees are an indication we are nowhere close to last year's euphoria.
You can monitor the staging nu7 testnet prior to the main testnet upgrading!
25s blocks in action :)
We've created an NU7 dashboard so you can monitor Zcash's next network upgrade live, along with a testnet faucet and a simple guide for participating with Zakura.
Check it out:
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@Stupifff guys who are already retired: "hey guys this one looks pretty cool. seems early. gonna buy some and hold it"
ct: "FUCKING SCAM"
Buyers buy PRL because it's a hard money with a credible path to being the energetically hardest money.
Inference providers mine PRL because it is extra revenue to offset infra and electricity costs.
If the flywheel plays out the money gets harder, demand goes up, and more energy is unlocked for mining. It's a loop.
Doesn't require any fancy compute network priced in PRL -- that's a bonus if it happens.
The main pieces here are mining with low or no extra capex and opex, and do people value hard money or not.
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PRL demand thesis in a nutshell.
There is already enormous demand for AI compute. If the team's work to make a state of the art fast inference stack pays off it will be a no brainer to use their software even without mining. Inference providers would get mining and its revenue as an added bonus with the flip of a switch.
On the demand side I mostly find PRL interesting because it may end up as the most energetically secure crypto network. It may also cannibalize energy from Bitcoin if data centers switch over to PRL for more revenue.
If there was a token that's more secure than Bitcoin I believe many would want it. Especially if Bitcoin energetic security is falling (it has been).
As I've written before the energetic security question is open ended for me. I have bets on both sides of it.
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There is already enormous demand for AI compute. If the team's work to make a state of the art fast inference stack pays off it will be a no brainer to use their software even without mining. Inference providers would get mining and its revenue as an added bonus with the flip of a switch.
On the demand side I mostly find PRL interesting because it may end up as the most energetically secure crypto network. It may also cannibalize energy from Bitcoin if data centers switch over to PRL for more revenue.
If there was a token that's more secure than Bitcoin I believe many would want it. Especially if Bitcoin energetic security is falling (it has been).
As I've written before the energetic security question is open ended for me. I have bets on both sides of it.
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There is already enormous demand for AI compute. If the team's work to make a state of the art fast inference stack pays off it will be a no brainer to use their software even without mining. Inference providers would get mining and its revenue as an added bonus with the flip of a switch.
On the demand side I mostly find PRL interesting because it may end up as the most energetically secure crypto network. It may also cannibalize energy from Bitcoin if data centers switch over to PRL for more revenue.
If there was a token that's more secure than Bitcoin I believe many would want it. Especially if Bitcoin energetic security is falling (it has been).
As I've written before the energetic security question is open ended for me. I have bets on both sides of it.
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The data to watch for $PRL.
If the
@prlnet work
@WeinsteinOmri has teased gets matmuls fast and inference overhead down $PRL net energy expenditure should go up dramatically.
This is because if inference is faster on PRL kernels than existing stacks it is a no brainer for inference providers to move over. To not do so would leave both inference revenue and mining revenue on the table.
Inference providers moving to PRL stack would increase blockchain difficulty and may put a rapidly increasing floor under price (assuming useless mining cost or energy cost somewhat function as floors).
To be explicit, we still don't have a full picture on the demand side. Just supply.
It likely won't play out exactly as said above but still worth watching.
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Let's say $PRL captures 5% of AI data-center usage, big IF, and it will take time.
I model that puts PRL at 20% of Bitcoin energy usage and cost to mine during inference at ~= $24.50/PRL vs ~= $1.15/PRL today.
If $PRL gets to 25% of AI data center adoption then it flips Bitcoin in total energy securing the network, cost to mine during inference appears to be ~= $102/PRL at that point.
For me the whole PRL story is an optional bet on this energy story and if it plays out. Do the economics claw energy, price, and demand up together?
FWIW There are A LOT of assumptions in these models. Please read carefully and do your own math.
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Let's say $PRL captures 5% of AI data-center usage, big IF, and it will take time.
I model that puts PRL at 20% of Bitcoin energy usage and cost to mine during inference at ~= $24.50/PRL vs ~= $1.15/PRL today.
If $PRL gets to 25% of AI data center adoption then it flips Bitcoin in total energy securing the network, cost to mine during inference appears to be ~= $102/PRL at that point.
For me the whole PRL story is an optional bet on this energy story and if it plays out. Do the economics claw energy, price, and demand up together?
FWIW There are A LOT of assumptions in these models. Please read carefully and do your own math.
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$PRL is cool but I won’t be interested in it until 2029 at minimum
Supply is inflating ~0.5% per day currently, you will get a -80% drop regardless of how good this thing is.
Doesn’t mean it cant 5-10x before that.
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Trading on public but non-distributed information because you have a math degree and a swarm of agents is the best.
Wow. Early price discovery enjooyer.
$PRL friends. I have a present for you.
Meet
My first draft at understanding the network from an energy perspective:
- how much does it cost to mine / how profitable is mining and for whom?
- a thesis check: is PRL on track to profitably climb its way to blockchain energy dominance?
I'd love your feedback. What is blatantly wrong? What's missing? Very much a beta!
Some interesting findings so far:
- Doesn't seem to make sense to mine uselessly on frontier hardware ($2.24/PRL cost). But does make sense on idle already paid for GPUs ($0.68/PRL) or during inference ($1.31 at 12% loss, and less with new kernels).
- PRL already uses 0.65% of Bitcoin's energy at only 0.15% of the FDV. Very interesting.
For those of you who are just tuning in -- I am a big $ZEC guy because I believe privacy is a human right and I like how Zcash delivers privacy on L1 with a plan to deliver it to the world. That's why I created
On $PRL, my thesis is that I think it may eventually dominate energy security in blockchains. The fact that PoUW is already showing the desired affect in our math here is promising.
I don't consider these two monies direct competitors. I think they have different target markets for the next many years.
Gimme your thoughts below or in DMs if necessary. Fixes won't be immediate but will come.
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So and are exactly what I mean by follow your curiosity in code.
Every significant question for me is a Rust repo on my laptop with Claude doing the labor.
I started building about 18 hours ago after I got back from scuba diving and was a few diet cokes deep.
Site was up and behind cloudflare within 2 hours. Cost me $75/mo or something.
And now I can just ask questions about PRL and show them to the world in a few minutes.
Assuming even a tiny bit of that $1.30 to $1.48 price move since launch is attributable to sunlight on the core economics -- then the project is already massively ROI positive.
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While the Bitcoin influencers and VCs were telling you to HODL, a bunch of OGs snuck out the back door and bought 4% of the Zcash network. They've made over $830M since. Crazy.
The great Irish exit.
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8 billion dollars in the shielded pool
As of 27 September 2026, one ZEC buys 0.01949 BTC — up 7.9× over five years, up 38× on the year and up 208% over three months. Five years ago it bought 0.002454 BTC.
In dollars that is $1,646.40 a coin (up 30× on the year and up 336% over three months), a market cap of $27.9B — 1.6% of Bitcoin's. Spot sits 4.9× above the realized price of $333 — the average price at which a ZEC last crossed a pool boundary — so the typical coin is held at a gain.
Behind it: 28.9% of all ZEC — 4.90M ZEC, $8.1B — sits in shielded pools, against 23.5% a year ago and 7.9% five years ago. Ironwood, the current shielded pool, holds 3.99M ZEC, with 382k ZEC still in Orchard, its predecessor, crossing the turnstile.
Transactions average 18,332 a day (up 6.7× on the year and up 308% over three months), of which 9,700 — 53% — are shielded, against 21% a year ago. Transparent addresses are being paid for the first time at 3,949 a day (up 5.5× on the year and up 215% over three months). An address is not a person: wallets derive a fresh one per payment received.
17.0M of 21M ZEC has been issued, 81% of the cap.
Network security: the hashrate is 29.8 GSol/s, up 5.4× over five years and up 270% on the year. Block rewards run $2.5M a day — 1,516 ZEC of coinbase, of which 4.7 ZEC — 0.3% — is transaction fees rather than new issuance.
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As of 27 September 2026, one ZEC buys 0.01949 BTC — up 7.9× over five years, up 38× on the year and up 208% over three months. Five years ago it bought 0.002454 BTC.
In dollars that is $1,646.40 a coin (up 30× on the year and up 336% over three months), a market cap of $27.9B — 1.6% of Bitcoin's. Spot sits 4.9× above the realized price of $333 — the average price at which a ZEC last crossed a pool boundary — so the typical coin is held at a gain.
Behind it: 28.9% of all ZEC — 4.90M ZEC, $8.1B — sits in shielded pools, against 23.5% a year ago and 7.9% five years ago. Ironwood, the current shielded pool, holds 3.99M ZEC, with 382k ZEC still in Orchard, its predecessor, crossing the turnstile.
Transactions average 18,332 a day (up 6.7× on the year and up 308% over three months), of which 9,700 — 53% — are shielded, against 21% a year ago. Transparent addresses are being paid for the first time at 3,949 a day (up 5.5× on the year and up 215% over three months). An address is not a person: wallets derive a fresh one per payment received.
17.0M of 21M ZEC has been issued, 81% of the cap.
Network security: the hashrate is 29.8 GSol/s, up 5.4× over five years and up 270% on the year. Block rewards run $2.5M a day — 1,516 ZEC of coinbase, of which 4.7 ZEC — 0.3% — is transaction fees rather than new issuance.
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maybe this will be clearer: the proof of work we agree on. the proof of useful is not done by the algorithm, it's by the economics. no one argues that you can do pow without useful, but we do argue that the limit condition on the economics is that it's a negative revenue operation. my math seems to show that.
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maybe this will be clearer: the proof of work we agree on. the proof of useful is not done by the algorithm, it's by the economics. no one argues that you can do pow without useful, but we do argue that the limit condition on the economics is that it's a negative revenue operation. my math seems to show that.
Show more