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Joe Hill
@jo3hill
Director of Strategy @restate_thinks, Founder Columnist @CityAM. ex Treasury. Views my own
2K Following    4.4K Followers
Van is an incredibly impressive fighter this early in his career. Pound-for-pound one of the best in the sport at the moment.
This dude is only 24 years old, shit Insanity. He’s only gonna keep getting better. Imagine if he’s still holding the belt by the time he’s 30.
Great read. There is something rather odd about how quick people are to casually valorise politicians with (at best) mixed legacies. Always reminds me of the Story of the Zen Farmer/“We’ll see”.
Merkel left office five years ago to huge acclaim. Why? She ripped off Nato, cultivated gas dependency on Putin, cosied up to China and opened the door to a million migrants in 2015 alone. She, not the populist right, was the true extremist of our age
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Stamp duty and council tax both need reform. Bundling the two together to ‘solve’ property taxes is what all the Smart Serious people will have encouraged them to do. But if the resulting policy ‘bundle’ seems impossible to deliver, then it’s silly to abandon SDLT reform entirely. This is the single worst tax by a country mile, and well worth spending political and economic capital to phase out.
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Exclusive from @benclatworthy Labour is considering plans to extend the mansion tax to properties worth more than £1.5 million in the Budget in a move that would hit nearly 300,000 homes The government originally announced an extra levy worth between £2,500 and £7,500 a year on properties worth more than £2 million at the budget last November. It was expected to hit about 134,000 homes John Healey, the chancellor, is now considering extending the levy to properties worth more than £1.5 million, which would mean the number of properties caught by the tax would more than double to 271,000 homes based on current values Two government sources told The Times that lowering the threshold was a “live discussion” in the Treasury as Healey tries to find about £10 billion to balance the books in the budget on October 28. Experts have suggested that the proposal could raise £800 million a year A Whitehall source said it would signal a more “aggressive” approach to taxing wealth in a move that would appeal to backbenchers while raising additional revenues “This is seen as the most viable option because the Valuation Office is already doing the work to identify the homes worth more than £2 million, so it isn’t a massive change to capture those over £1.5 million,” they said A second government source confirmed the discussions but said there were concerns that the change would hit more modest properties in London and affect people who are not wealthy. They emphasised that no decisions have been taken The government will not push ahead with plans to overhaul stamp duty and council tax that were championed by Andy Burnham because they would take years to implement and involve a huge revaluation exercise
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Just over a week to go until Labour Party Conference! To start on a high, join @restate_thinks on Sunday eve for a fascinating panel with Rt Hon Dame Diana Johnson MP, @paulfarmerceo, and @JanetMorrisonUK. 👉 Don't miss out, sign up here:
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In 2005 the ONS was a world leading statistical authority. When Tony Blair decided to move the organisation from London (population ~10m) to Newport (~150k), only 101 out of 1,000 staff chose to make the move. Of those just *seven* were senior. The organisation never recovered.
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Michael’s project to build this tunnel is really inspiring!
A happy day for our tunneling efforts as South Yorkshire Mayor Oliver Coppard gives us his endorsement. And given how many people in and around Sheffield have been in touch about our plans, he's definitely on to something.
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It’s striking how keen the civil service is on evidence-based policymaking, but how little commitment it has shown to publishing strong data to use for policymaking
So, to recap: - Productivity estimates were woefully off - Immigration estimates too - Inflation/GDP stats not great - Private rent data was wrong - Labour Force Survey is broken - Population estimates, employment statistics, business population statistics all broken too (1/2)
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In my Re:View of the week I dig into the complete failure to bring NHS England back in house, what it says about our politics!
The Re:View is out! This week, @jo3hill looks at the unexpected problem complicating the abolition of NHS England and what it reveals about the way Whitehall manages the State. Read more 👇
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going out on a limb here, but I don't think the culture in our intelligence services should change to accommodate people who don't understand what the purpose of government is (i.e. prioritising the British national interest, not NGO talking points)
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I do not understand why governments keep trying to define themselves by things out of their control. EU, cost of living… sort the NHS. Don’t take education backwards. Focus on the public finances. Build some houses. etc.
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We urgently need to ban chugging.
Standing outside Vauxhall station and someone approaches me whilst I'm on my phone, walks up uncomfortably close to my face, when I indicate I don't want to talk to him, he stands a couple of inches from my face, for around 10 seconds just staring. He eventually goes. Charity worker demanding money so I guess we're meant to think that's okay...?
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Britain's multiple layers of failure cancelling each other out at this point
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I've really been enjoying this new kind of longform content from Invert, glad to see our own @ce_pickles making an apperance!
Britain Is Sacrificing an Entire Generation to Protect Pensioners. Watch the full conversation with @ce_pickles of @restate_thinks, hosted by @marchong_joanna, now on X.
Complete failure of state capacity. 0/10. Decisions about democratic control over public services shouldn’t be based on back office HR policies. Just pay some people more than others - every private organisation (and plenty of public ones) realise they have to do this. The civil service is behind the curve.
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Ministers trying to scrap NHS England have found no alternative to setting up an entirely new quango to employ highly-paid regional staff Other than delaying abolition yet again Health chiefs now urging ministers to set up the new quango because delay is harming patient care
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Huge new report out today from the team on why our out of control welfare costs aren’t because population health is getting worse - it’s because we’ve designed the worst possible welfare system! Have a read
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🚨NEW 'RE:IMAGINING WELFARE' REPORT – 'Benefitting from abroad: international lessons for reforming sickness and disability benefits'🚨 Britain’s welfare system is failing working-age adults with a disability or health condition, and it is not working for those who fund it.
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Important intervention from Andy here.
NEW: Former BofE economist, Andy Haldane, who advised Andy Burnham earlier this year, tells @AndrewMarr9 "the market now suspects that this is a traditional tax-and-spend socialist government with better TikTok videos". Argues against tax rises in next month's budget. @LBC
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My absolute favourite event we hosted at last year's Labour Party Conference was with @KanishkaNarayan on the future of UK AI policy. Couldn't be a better time to be getting him back again for round two in Liverpool, as part of @restate_thinks 2026 Party Conference Programme!
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My absolute favourite event we hosted at last year's Labour Party Conference was with @KanishkaNarayan on the future of UK AI policy. Couldn't be a better time to be getting him back again for round two in Liverpool, as part of @restate_thinks 2026 Party Conference Programme!
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Great to see Simon flying the Re:State flag for us this morning with MPs on the important subject of the recent machinery of government changes, and what they mean for GDS.
Machinery of government changes rarely make headlines, but they shape how policy actually gets made. Our Director of Policy & Research @stkaye appeared in front of MPs today to talk about what the recent restructure actually means for technology policy and digital government.
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Good explainer here of the ratchet effects behind government interventions. Business rates are a great case study!
Ever wondered why your high street is struggling? It’s not just Amazon. Every government promises to “save” the high street. But what if decades of tax hikes, short-term reliefs and administrative chaos have actually made things worse? Here’s how 35 years of “help” turned into a high-street disaster, and why Amazon isn’t the only one to blame.
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