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Kevin Weil 🇺🇸
@kevinweil
CEO @warpsciences BoD @Cisco @Stoke_Space LTC @USArmyReserve Ex CPO+Science @OpenAI, @Planet @Instagram @Twitter ❤️ @elizabeth ultramarathons kids cats math
2.8K Following    124.1K Followers
Super smart and thought-provoking.
1/ We are doing it totally wrong with vulns. In my new post I dig into @googlechrome’s vuln data to show that the AI-driven Vulnpocalypse settled a 20-year-old debate: vulnerabilities are dense. Our defenses are still built as if they were sparse.
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In the long run, put optimization pressure on AI for unbounded opportunities, e.g., science and tech (which build upon prior art) rather than accounting (bounded once an AI successfully follows all tax laws and regulations).
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Could not agree more with this take, which is true well beyond mathematics. Expertise still matters, and [scientific field] + AI can understand faster/accomplish more than ever before.
Frank Calegari has a great post on Terry's blog: I think it aligns most closely to what I've been thinking and trying to say (and I believe communicates it better than I've been able to). Some highlights: "I hope AI can help mathematicians break out of the straitjacket of being constrained by the first natural conjecture they cannot prove, and work on unraveling the deeper mysteries woven throughout our subject." "The natural grooves of our profession have very much been bent toward more narrow technical expertise than a bigger vision. AI allows us an amazing opportunity to broaden ourselves as mathematicians." "There are so many problems in mathematics that are still so fresh and vital but were previously untouchable that the opportunity to approach them is massively exciting. We need to be more ambitious, to create bold research plans that weren’t even conceivable a year ago." "The difference in reaction between the optimists and the pessimists is that, for the pessimists, the game is over. For the optimists, the game has just changed." "[T]here now exists an amazing new tool to study mathematics. To turn away and say that the community of mathematics as it currently exists is more important than mathematics itself would be a terrible mistake." "[I]t takes one look at the arXiv to see many people in our profession rushing out AI-assisted papers in a somewhat unsightly rush to be the “first” to prove things." [Aside: mere days after the qRH result, I had something like a half-dozen emails in my inbox, some from amateurs but some also from tenured faculty, with Lean formalizations of nonvanishing on Re(s)> 7/8-1/10^k for various large values of k. What the hell are you even doing? That kind of thing may have been valuable years ago, when it was difficult and signaled deep understanding and great technique. Today? Who the hell cares?] "To me [this is back to Frank now], someone who chooses a worthwhile problem, obtains a proof completely using AI, understands it thoroughly, and uses it to develop interesting further questions or directions has made a substantial mathematical contribution." "If you, as a senior mathematician, are stressed about being scooped by AI, then you are not being ambitious enough." [On hiring:] "I am looking for a narrative of where you want mathematics to go, the technical ability to explain why this may be possible, being able to converse about many areas of mathematics, and a demonstrable record of having done all of this in the past." "What I want a graduate student to achieve at the end of their PhD is a view of mathematics that extends well beyond their discipline, and yet with demonstrable technical skills on at least some class of problems." "I advocated above that we need to evaluate work as if AI was involved. But this does not imply that we don’t need to teach students to do deep mathematics without AI just as the existence of computers doesn’t mean we should no longer teach children arithmetic." [I've often said similar things as well...] "All of my friends in the humanities truly believe that having mathematicians in society both as custodians of one of humanity’s oldest intellectual activities and explorers of the frontiers of knowledge is important. I understand that some part of the culture we so deeply care about will disappear, and as humans, an emotional response to that is very natural. But this is a time to explain to everyone that there are so many great new opportunities, possibilities, and reasons to be optimistic. We are on the verge of a new era of mathematics, and I am excited to see what happens." Bravo Frank!
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Love this from @jmj. Some of the most low-hanging fruit is at the intersection of multiple fields, because people tend to go deep rather than broad. Both are important! I also like his analogy of "rock band" teams as the way to attack problems like ours at @warpsciences.
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Rockets, man. I will never get over it 🤟
Happy Hot Fire Halloween! 🔥 Stay safe out there, guys & ghouls. 🧛👻🎃
"Primarily for email" is funny and somewhat true, but it won't be true for much longer
It’s kinda crazy to me that we melt sand down, clean it to 99.99999% purity, literal wizards have to draw it slowly into an ingot, we cut it, inscribe a hundred billion little on/off switches on it, and when you run electric current through it you can do basic arithmetic, which when you do enough of it can do any math on the planet, and which describes reality well enough that we can teach it the ontological meaning of words and their distance from each other on a high-dimensional space, and if you ask, it can tell you what word comes next and that apparently is powerful enough that if you do it a hundred billion times it’s the smartest thing to ever exist oh yeah and we use this primarily for email
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This take from my @warpsciences co-founder Sol Reisberg is important—and a great read from an expert in the space.
On #2#: Andy Grove once said “abandoning today's 'commodity' manufacturing can lock you out of tomorrow's emerging industry” and nowhere is this more true than in pharma and life sciences. Over the last 20 years we have shifted much of the drug discovery process to large Chinese contract research organizations (CROs) like Wuxi—a company which was added to the DoW’s list of “Chinese military companies” in June. We’ve seen this multiple times now. When the work moves overseas, the expertise and infrastructure follow. We're at risk of losing the ability to turn our ideas into medicines. That’s an unacceptable dependency for something so central to our health and our future.
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On #1#: I was previously CPO and VP of Science at @OpenAI, and I couldn’t be more optimistic about the future. Anyone can use AI today to build an idea in minutes, and we’ve just seen models solve Navier-Stokes and make progress on the Riemann Hypothesis. But the reality is that AI is not yet at the same level in the physical sciences, especially in places like drug discovery where it could do the greatest good. The reason is simple: these are highly emergent and empirical sciences, and they move forward through data and experiment. The models don’t have access to the type and volume of experimental data they need.
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💥 Introducing Warp Sciences, a new company applying AI and robotics to help the world develop new medicines faster. We’ve raised a $215M Series A led by @lightspeedvp to bring frontier AI out of the browser and into the lab, and build scientific capacity here in America. I co-founded Warp with my long-time friend @dpatil, FAIR co-founder @manohar_paluri, and drug hunter Sol Reisberg. The early team is full of incredible people like @bkspears9, who helped achieve Q>1 fusion at LLNL.
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I think about this image all the time.
"The invention of the boat reduced the importance of swimming, but enabled the discovery of new lands." Beautiful analogy from @ylecun about the opportunities and changes with AI, in mathematics and in science more broadly.
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do not let yourself be reduced to the status of audience at a magic show, uncomprehendingly clapping as machine intelligence creates parcels of astounding knowledge. all of this is for us, to be understood by us, to sate our own curiosities. it's all really happening
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Big, big, big, big props for quasiriemann and no Siegel zeroes (with many other beauties in there), I’m kicking myself for talking all over about it being within reach but not actually having pushed. There are some sad stories related to their users getting scooped / conflicts of interest (kakeya maximal comes to mind), and obviously we had some of the problems (without commenting on precise rumours). We should put that aside for today though. It’s obviously the most significant moment in mathematical history.
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AI x mathematics ftw. What an incredible release today from OpenAI 🤯 There's a lot of work to do to get models of the same caliber in the physical sciences, but just think of the possibilities as we get there. And we will get there.
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i asked GPT 6 Pro and Fable 5.1 to rank all discoveries in the last three years 🔵 for Human discovered 🔴 for AI discovered (before October 6th) 🟢 for AI discovered from OpenAI/math repo 81% of them have been released today. wtf
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One of the biggest killers of innovation is being blinded by hypothetical downsides. It’s easy to raise concerns about why something might be risky. It's much harder to consider the potential harm of putting too many restrictions in place. Consider the de facto ban on nuclear with the establishment of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. Today we'd have a modern, robust electric grid, and much higher economic growth, if we had kept building nuclear power plants. All around us we see systems that were well-intentioned when they were introduced, but had unintended consequences. How things fail: - Asymmetric error costs - approve a bad reactor or drug and you’re famous. Yet if you block a good one, no one ever knows. - Process as a veto - hourly fees, multi-step license applications, EPA reviews. Endless delays erode capital. - Worst-case models treated as fact - LNT radiation, any sonic boom is unacceptable, etc. - Rules written for the last accident, applied to the next design - we see this in everything from nuclear to financial services. Change is uncomfortable, but if we stop progress, we do a disservice to our ancestors who tolerated discomfort to bring us the modern age. We owe it to them to continue making progress. Keep building.
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Nine loop calculations in N=4 Super Yang-Mills! Lance Dixon's 8-loop calculation was mind boggling when he did it. I calculated a lot of Feynman diagrams in grad school and this is 🤯 Will be amazing to see where AI will take high energy physics in the coming 12 months.
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New on the Science Blog: Yes, Claude can do Nine Loops. Theoretical physicists predict how particles behave using formulas called scattering amplitudes. These are notoriously hard to compute, so researchers work with layers of increasingly fine corrections called “loops”—each added loop makes the answer more precise but takes exponentially more computation. Most calculations stop at two or three loops. Eight loops was the previous record in a simplified model physicists use as a testing ground (planar N=4 super-Yang-Mills), set by SLAC's Lance Dixon and collaborators. Last month, physicist and science writer @4gravitons issued a challenge: could an AI push past eight loops in this model, using only the compute budget an academic could reasonably access? Given a single prompt describing the nine-loop problem, Claude ran largely unsupervised for days in Claude Science and solved it using methods developed by Dixon and his colleagues, at a total cost of a few thousand dollars. Dixon independently verified the result, and von Hippel wrote about the experience for our blog. Read more:
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We need more of this kind of optimism about AI. Great take from @jeffreykWNDR on AI, technology, and creativity.
The World is Changing: AI For Creativity By Jeffrey Katzenberg A few months ago, I sat in my office in Silicon Valley and watched as a tech founder showed me something extraordinary. On the screen was a fully realized, beautifully lit, well-composed animated scene. It was stunning and it made me feel exactly what I felt in 1986 watching Luxo Jr. That was the first time I watched a computer-animated 3D character take a breath and seem, against all reason, to have life. It left me in awe. Later that day, I received a text from an artist I've known for thirty years, 350 miles to the south, in the city where I spent most of my career. After seeing a similar video, she texted: "Is this the end of us?" My answer was, "Certainly not.” I have spent the better part of the last decade in Silicon Valley, but the heart of my career has been in Hollywood. Being deeply connected to both worlds means I have deep loyalties to each and a responsibility to speak honestly to both. In 2023, I said that these new AI tools would cut the time and cost of producing world-class animation by as much as ninety percent within three years. Some colleagues were alarmed, many were furious. There is growing fear and resistance surrounding AI within the creative community. I deeply understand it, because I've spent countless hours walking through animation studios watching gifted artists bent over their desks, rebuilding a single second of film for the tenth time because the ninth version wasn't quite right. I've sat in screening rooms where four years of people's labor played out in minutes, and I knew the name of every person that had spent countless hours bringing those images to life. The creative process is a calling, there's really no other way to describe it. From the outside some see resistance. From the inside, it is love. People do not fight this hard for things they don't care about. The pushback coming out of Hollywood represents the collective effort of people who are deeply passionate about their craft. Is History Repeating Itself? The history here is more complicated than either side may realize. In 1906, the most famous composer in America, John Philip Sousa, published an essay titled “The Menace of Mechanical Music." He warned that the phonograph would become "a substitute for human skill, intelligence and soul." Sousa's fight was not really about the machine, it was about money. The machines were playing his compositions, and the men who built them weren't paying him a cent. His campaign helped create the Copyright Act of 1909. He did not stop the technology. He changed the terms under which it could use his work. A hundred years ago, sound came to the movies. We remember it now as a miracle, and it was. What we forget is who paid for it. Before sound, tens of thousands of musicians made their living in the orchestra pits of movie houses, scoring every film live, every night, in towns all over the world. When the soundtrack arrived, the work of one composer and one orchestra was recorded for a film that went into thousands of theaters. The union fought back with everything it had, taking out newspaper ads across the country warning against the menace of "canned music," one of them showing a mechanical man tearing the strings out of a harp while an angel wept. They were not fools, and they were not Luddites. They were right. Those pit jobs did not come back. And yet (this is the part we have to be brave enough to admit), sound gave us the movie musical, the modern score, sfx, sound design, audio engineering, and an art form vastly larger than the one it disrupted. And it helped keep Hollywood in the forefront of world entertainment for the rest of the century and into the next. The loss was real. And yet the art form expanded. This is a story that has been told over and over again. To resist technology is to risk irrelevance. Just look at Kodak or Blockbuster. To embrace technology is to open doors of new possibility. Just consider Apple and Netflix. What I Learned From Walt Disney In the mid-1980s, I was tapped to lead Disney's animation division at a moment when the studio was at an inflection point. Animation wasn't just another business unit. It was the soul of the company, a medium revered because of Walt's genius and his passion. But the production system was cumbersome and unforgiving. A single movie was 125,000 individual hand-drawn and painted cels, photographed one frame at a time. Every revision carried a cost measured in months. These degrees of difficulty shaped the kinds of stories we could tell. We found our way forward in an unexpected place: Walt himself. The Disney archives held astonishing recordings of Walt explaining his creative process. His own writings. His notes and storyboards. Work product captured at every stage of his process. This was truly a gift. Listening, reading, sitting with the work itself, we heard him talk about character, about emotion, about how an audience feels when a character truly comes alive. He talked about making bold choices and refining a scene until it genuinely moved people. We didn't hear a word about pencils or paintbrushes. In fact, Walt was famous for being a technologist, forever hunting for state-of-the-art tools, often inventing them himself to achieve the images he saw in his head. But he never defined animation by the tools. He defined it by whether the audience believed the character. His principles were timeless. The tools were not. That realization changed everything. We co-developed the Computer Animation Production System (CAPS) with a young Northern California company called Pixar, replacing hand-painted cels with CGI. In The Little Mermaid, the final scene shimmered with a dimensionality and light that the old process simply couldn't achieve. In Beauty and the Beast, the ballroom sequence moved with a cinematic sweep that placed the audience inside the emotion of the moment. In Aladdin, the Cave of Wonders felt vast and alive, and the Magic Carpet became an intricate, compelling character all its own. In The Lion King, the stampede carried a scale and intensity that raised the emotional stakes beyond anything we'd done before. Technology didn't diminish the craft, it expanded the canvas. It gave artists more room to create. A decade later, the canvas expanded again. When Disney released Pixar's Toy Story, it wasn't simply a technical milestone. It was proof that a fully computer-animated film could carry real emotional weight, that it could make audiences laugh, cry, and believe. At DreamWorks, we made the difficult decision to sunset hand-drawn animation and become a fully computer-animated studio. It was the right thing to do, but it was not without pain. It cost talented people their place in an industry where they had worked their whole lives. Some made the leap to the new tools and did the finest work of their careers. Some never did. Tools are never the point. The instruments change with every generation. What endures is taste and imagination. The magical ability to make an audience feel. One of the greatest storytellers of our generation, George Lucas, succinctly captured the eternal essence of this issue: “It’s not the how, it’s the why.” A Distinction With a Difference I asked one of the leading AI models a question that has been challenging me for months. What is the difference between reasoning and creating? Its answer changed how I think about almost everything happening in this industry. It said . . . Reasoning and creating are two distinct cognitive modes, though they also work together. Reasoning is fundamentally evaluative and analytical. It operates on what already exists: facts, premises, evidence. It moves toward a conclusion that was in a sense already implied by the input. Reasoning is constrained by logic and truth. Its goal is to arrive somewhere correct, not to invent somewhere new. Creating is fundamentally generative. It produces something that didn't exist before. And crucially, there's no single right answer waiting to be found. A blank page has infinite valid responses. Creation involves choices that can't be fully justified by logic alone. Taste, intuition and vision fill the gap where deduction runs out. Reasoning is what Silicon Valley has been perfecting. Creating is what Hollywood has been practicing for more than a century. AI today operates almost entirely on the reasoning side of the line. It can deduce, evaluate, optimize, and pattern-match brilliantly. And while it can create, there is a real distinction to being creative. What it doesn’t yet have is those things that make us human: empathy, devotion, serendipity, the kind of creativity that comes from a person trying to say something only they could say. When the bot generates a piece of art, it is not trying to communicate anything. It is statistics, not soul; it is emulating things that have been done. By contrast, human creativity isn’t about repeating patterns of zeros and ones; it is about doing something new. One day, AI may close this gap. Three years ago, the leaders building AI would have called what they are achieving today, improbable, if not impossible. Impossible is no longer improbable. Today, the line between reasoning and creating is real. Even the leading technologists acknowledge we are not there yet. There is no scientific path to crossing this divide that anyone in the field can articulate today. Understanding that gap is where we will find common ground. A Path Forward In 2016, I closed one chapter in Hollywood with the sale of DreamWorks and opened another in Northern California, co-founding WndrCo. We’ve backed more than 50 founders building the next generation of technology and watched how breakthroughs in Silicon Valley emerge, first as experiments, then as platforms, and finally as infrastructure that reshapes entire industries. It's worth remembering that the last great revolution in animation also came from the north. Pixar was a Northern California company, forged not in the conventions of the Hollywood studio system, but in the technological breakthroughs of Silicon Valley. I've spent years on both sides of this bridge. For sure, I don’t have all the answers (take Quibi, for one!). But, from my past and present vantage points of my long career, here is what I see . . . Brilliant people in Northern California building this technology have made something extraordinary. They have earned the right for the rest of us to be, if not believers, at least optimistic that what comes next will be remarkable. But they have not made an artist. The tools are powerful, but they are not what makes a story matter. That knowledge lives 350 miles to the south, inside people whose life's work has informed the very models you are building. The right path forward includes them by design, with credit, with consent, and with compensation. Build this with the storytellers. Not on top of them. Taste is not something that can be synthesized, it is uniquely human. At the same time, Hollywood needs to accept that AI is not going away. The energy they are spending trying to make it disappear is energy they are not spending deciding the terms on which it will exist. And the terms are everything. The north needs something from it that they cannot build and cannot buy: creativity. The kind that takes a blank page and conjures a single right answer where there was none and has held audiences for a century. Without it, the most powerful reasoning engine ever invented will still be missing the only thing that makes a story worth telling. The artists who learn to wield these new instruments will do things the engineers never dreamed of. They always have. Edison invented the motion picture but made terrible movies. It took Chaplin, Lloyd, Keaton and so many others to make movies emotional. Now, the canvas is about to expand yet again. We should decide now that we intend to paint on it. There are so many valuable lessons in history. This has happened many times before, and it was never settled by the technology. It was settled by the terms. Sousa did not stop the phonograph; he helped write the law that made sure composers got paid. And two years ago, when the writers and the actors walked out, they were fighting for the very things Sousa was fighting for in 1906. Consent, compensation, the basic recognition that human creative work has a price that must be paid. The terms of that fight are still being negotiated, but the principle is older than any of us. The tools-versus-no-tools argument is a trap. First, we must all agree that there should be terms. Then we can have the crucial debate about what fairness requires. What I Learned From Steve Jobs Years ago, Steve Jobs said, "It's in Apple's DNA that technology alone is not enough. It's technology married with the liberal arts, married with the humanities, that yields us the result that makes our hearts sing." He was describing a device. But he could just as easily have been describing this tale of two cities. What I See Coming Soon As the barriers and the costs come down, more films will get made, not fewer. Studios will get to take more risks. There will be more seats at the table, and very soon entirely new forms of storytelling. In the 1980s, animation was dismissed as a niche corner of the business. Today it is one of the most beloved and profitable forms of storytelling in the world. In live action, filmmakers like Steven Spielberg, James Cameron and Peter Jackson embraced new visual tools not as shortcuts, but as instruments, and expanded cinema in the process. Every time storytelling has met a genuine technological shift, from synchronized sound to color to computer animation, it has redefined the boundaries of the medium and grown larger in the process. Assuredly, I don’t have all the answers, but I am confident that the creative opportunities will expand yet again. How we come through this is a choice. The north has the new tools. The south has the creative soul. The best future will draw on the best of both worlds.
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We’re entering the golden age of science. So much left to discover, and suddenly the tools to discover it.
This is exactly the right take.
just got off the phone with a new engineer hire at a portco with a very wise insight “AI has been replacing my job since I got a CS degree, yet I’m busier than ever - we can all just be more ambitious” this is the same insight that the inimitable @JensenHuang has for us all
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