Update: I’ve joined @NotionHQ! I am ridiculously pumped to build the perfect space for people and agents to think together. What an incredible time to join. The business is ripping, the team is insane (in a good way), and yet so much work remains ahead of us. It’s an honor and a thrill to be here and to help write Notion’s next chapter. Some of you may be wondering, what does this mean for Lex and Roughdraft? Lex will be winding down by the end of the year, while Roughdraft will continue on as an independent open source project. I’ll give a more detailed update soon (especially for Lex users about the transition — I'll make sure you are taken care of), but the main message I want to share today is gratitude. Thank you to @trueventures and all our investors, to the Lex team, to our customers and users, and to friends and family who supported us along the way. Also, a huge thank you to @ivanhzhao, @akothari, @mschoening, and everyone at Notion for bringing me aboard and making me feel at home. Most importantly, thank you to @SoniaBaschez. When we sat down for dinner in August 2022 and you told me you’d support me spending nights and weekends on that crazy AI writing idea I had (with an infant baby girl at home, no less), we had no clue what the next four years would look like. We had no idea we’d get hundreds of thousands of users within weeks, or that Sequoia would put Lex on a market map. We had no idea ChatGPT was coming in a few months, or how AI would reshape the world. We had no idea Lex would become not just be a side quest at Every, but an independent company. All we knew was that we had a good feeling about it, and you were willing to bet on it. Anyway, as you can tell, I am insanely excited for what comes next. Can’t wait to share some of the things we’re cooking up with you soon. And whether you love or hate Notion, I’d love to help make it better for you!

Why I have a very low p(doom), even though I have a very high p(some bad things happening): - Small bad things will almost certainly happen on the way to big bad things. It will not be a straight shot to extinction. Hugging Face is a perfect example. - Society only reacts to actual harm occurring. For better or worse, it does not react when people (even very smart people) say “hey this bad thing is gonna happen.” - Because of Hugging Face, and to a lesser extent the math discoveries, society is reacting a bit more strongly now. That’s because it has a bit more proof bad things could happen. - Imagine how much more strongly society would have reacted if AI took down a hospital and 20 people died? Or if it took down the power grid for a city block and nobody died but the result was tangible? We would have an instant reaction. - Imo it is a good thing that society reacts slowly, because when it does, it is the most blunt instrument you can imagine. (I use “society” here to refer to governments but also culture / shame / scapegoating generally.) Massive unintended consequences and secondary harm. - AI risk is more like nukes than handguns. Very hard to prevent mass shootings, because guns are cheap and abundant. Nukes, in the other hand, require nation state level resources to create or use. Super powerful futuristic AI is closer to that end of the spectrum, in terms of the level of energy and compute required. It is not a decentralized threat. Yes open models exist, but they need massive data centers to come alive. Especially given the real danger seems to be from unchecked swarms rather than single threads.