German ancestry dominates much of the Midwest, while English and other European ancestries shape different regions of the country. America's ancestry looks very different depending on where you are. 🗺️

HOW KALSHI OUTPERFORMED TRADITIONAL ELECTION MODELS IN 2026 📊 • 459 election races evaluated. • Lowest overall forecasting error. • More accurate final predictions than every individual model. Prediction markets are making a serious case for their place in election forecasting.

2026 ELECTION FORECASTING: Kalshi recorded: • Just 23 incorrect predictions across 459 races. • The lowest overall forecasting error (0.125). • The best probability accuracy score (0.035). It finished ahead of every individual model in VoteHub's comparison. 📊

Our complete forecast, which incorporated Kalshi order books and expert ratings, slightly outperformed our legacy forecast. Final Kalshi markets were more accurate than any individual model in races.

🚨 Breaking: Wall Street is moving into prediction markets. THE HISTORY OF HUDSON RIVER TRADING (2002–2026) 2002 — HRT is founded by graduates of Harvard and MIT. 2000s — Begins developing automated trading algorithms in US equities. 2010s — Expands into global markets and multiple asset classes. 2018 — Launches its US Single Dealer Platform and European Systematic Internaliser. 2022 — Expands into client market making. 2026 — Joins Kalshi as a trading participant and investor, marking another step into prediction markets. From quantitative algorithms to global financial markets, HRT is now part of Wall Street's growing prediction market story.

🚨 Hudson River Trading, one of Wall Street’s biggest market makers, has begun trading on Kalshi, Bloomberg reports. The firm is trading financial contracts, including trades on short-term asset price moves. Jump Trading and Susquehanna have also built teams to trade prediction markets. HRT also participated in Kalshi’s $1 billion funding round at a $40 billion valuation. Prediction markets are becoming a big part of Wall Street’s trading toolkit...

From startup dreams to history books: 20+ years of SpaceX & Tesla. 🚀⚡ • 2002–2004: SpaceX is founded; Musk joins Tesla • 2008: Falcon 1 reaches orbit; first Tesla Roadster delivered • 2010–2012: Tesla goes public & launches Model S; SpaceX Dragon docks with the ISS • 2015: First orbital rocket booster landed • 2020: First private crewed orbit (Crew Dragon); Tesla becomes #1# automaker by market cap • 2023–2024: Model Y is world’s best-selling car; Starship reaches orbital speed • 2025: First Super Heavy booster reused Reinventing both roads and the stars. Which milestone amazed you most?

THE EVOLUTION OF PERPETUALS 📈 1992 — Economist Robert Shiller proposes perpetual futures. 2016 — BitMEX introduces Bitcoin perpetual swaps. 2020–23 — Perps expand across decentralized crypto exchanges. 2025–26 — Perpetuals move beyond crypto into traditional financial markets. NOV 2026 — Kalshi launches single-stock perpetuals in the US. From a theoretical concept to a new era of trading. What's next?

Single stock perps (SSPs) are here. And they're a truly great product. You don’t need to pay rollover fees like with futures, they’re simpler to trade than options, and you can go short just as easy as you can go long. This is one of the most consequential products we’ve launched and I couldn’t be more proud of the team that worked for over a year to bring them to life. Just this morning, since the stealth launch, our users traded over $300m. Grateful to be the ones bringing these to America in a regulated way 💚

🚨 JUST IN: Approximately $2.5 TRILLION wiped from the U.S. stock market in a single trading session. Wall Street just suffered a massive sell-off as tech and AI stocks tumbled. One of the biggest market shocks of the year. 📉

Prediction markets are now helping people hedge the risk of getting paid late. Former college athletes are waiting on BILLIONS in NCAA settlement money. A contract that pays if distributions are delayed could help offset the financial cost of waiting...

🏈 THE $2.78B NCAA SETTLEMENT • 2021 — NIL era begins. • 2024 — $2.78B settlement proposed. • June 2025 — Settlement approved. • 2025 — Payments begin. • 2025–26 — Direct athlete revenue-sharing begins. • 2026–27 — Revenue-sharing cap reaches $21.3M per school. 💰 $2.78 BILLION at Total settlement damages. The big question: When will athletes get paid?

History of U.S. Recessions (1920–Present) 🇺🇸 2020 (Feb–Apr) — COVID-19 Recession 🇺🇸 2007–2009 — The Great Recession 🇺🇸 2001 (Mar–Nov) — Early 2000s Recession 🇺🇸 1990–1991 — Early 1990s Recession 🇺🇸 1981–1982 — Early 1980s Recession (Double-dip) 🇺🇸 1980 (Jan–Jul) — 1980 Recession 🇺🇸 1973–1975 — 1973–1975 Recession 🇺🇸 1969–1970 — Recession of 1969–1970 🇺🇸 1960–1961 — Recession of 1960–1961 🇺🇸 1957–1958 — Recession of 1957–1958 🇺🇸 1953–1954 — Post-Korean War Recession 🇺🇸 1948–1949 — Recession of 1948–1949 🇺🇸 1945 (Feb–Oct) — Post-WWII Recession 🇺🇸 1937–1938 — Recession of 1937–1938 🇺🇸 1929–1933 — The Great Depression 🇺🇸 1926–1927 — Recession of 1926–1927 🇺🇸 1923–1924 — Recession of 1923–1924 🇺🇸 1920–1921 — Depression of 1920–1921 Source: National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)