July was a month of measurable growth at TurboFlow. More users. More volume. More incentives. A larger global community. Here’s what we shipped—and how the numbers moved—in July 🧵

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PNL tells you how much a trade made. ROI tells you how efficiently the capital was put to work. The TurboFlow leaderboard is showing some serious numbers: ⚡ MON: +3,908.24% realized ROI ⚡ MON: +3,716.69% ⚡ AT: +2,658.77% ⚡ BTC: +2,418.96% Different assets. Different setups. Exceptional outcomes. What can your strategy do? Explore the leaderboard on TurboFlow 👇

According to CME FedWatch, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 65.8%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike by September is 34.2%. The significance lies in the fact that this uncertainty may support the stability of cryptocurrencies in the short term, but high inflation could still put pressure on risk assets.

The BTC valuation cornerstone model shows that the current market is neither a typical bubble top nor an undervalued area. The data in the chart shows that the market value of BTC is approximately $1.29 trillion, of which the realized market value is $1.06 trillion, accounting for 75.3% of the market value. This indicates that the current valuation of BTC is largely supported by the real on-chain cost basis, rather than simply relying on speculative sentiment. The bedrock value is approximately $91.7 billion, accounting for 7.1%. The bedrock multiple has reached 14.0x, indicating that BTC has clearly moved away from the bottom valuation zone, and the current position can no longer be viewed using the undervaluation logic of a bear market. The air premium was $225.7 billion, accounting for 17.6%. This level indicates that there is a certain sentiment premium in the market, but it has not yet entered the extreme bubble state commonly seen at the top of historical bull markets. MVRV is currently at 1.21x, indicating that the market as a whole has unrealized gains, but the extent of these gains is still relatively mild. Compared to the true peak of the cycle, the current on-chain valuation is not significantly overheated. Based on the latest price, BTC is still fluctuating around $64,000, which is close to the level on July 10th shown in the chart, indicating that there is not much change in the short-term structure. My assessment is that BTC remains strong in the long term, and the on-chain funding base has not deteriorated significantly, but it is not advisable to blindly chase the rally at the current level. Next, we'll focus on two key points: First, whether Realised Cap can continue to rise confirms the continued accumulation of real funds. Second, we need to be wary of the rapid expansion of Air Premium. If the air premium continues to increase, we should be cautious that the market is entering a phase of accelerated sentiment. The current strategy is more suitable to wait for confirmation of a breakout or a pullback to buy. The trend hasn't broken, but the risk-reward ratio is no longer as good as in the bottom range.

Today we are thrilled to announce that we are launching @trasiaxyz and have received $1.75M seed stage funding from Multicoin. We are grateful for the strategic support that Multicoin provides in the process. Trasia is a non-custodial, Asia-first trading platform that was purpose-built to serve Asian traders with localized mobile trading interface. And we’re just getting started: through our upcoming HIP-3 protocol, we'll bring entirely new Asian markets on-chain. You can already trade ample equity perps on Hyperliquid - most equity perps pairs are more liquid than those on the top centralized exchanges. Yet the vast majority of Asian traders, especially those who live and breathe CEXs, still aren't here. People are looking for a mobile trading experience that has no difference than trading on Binance or OKX, and that’s what we are going to offer: a mobile-app with CEX-like experience. Our team's ample experience building mobile interfaces will empower the delivery. And the timing couldn't be better. The world is buzzing about CXMT, DeepSeek, and Unitree - but there are 100x more high-quality assets in the region: AI tigers, robotics champions, and the companies that will participate in shaping the next decade. We're extremely bullish that some of these companies will be the engine of regional market growth in the years ahead. Our team also have deep roots in many local trading communities in the region - many of whom aren't on any DEX, yet. We will match what these traders want with what we offer on our Asia-first HIP-3 markets. It is about the pairs we choose to list, but it’s also about the traders we aim to serve. The market choice and the target audience both matter, and together the flywheel becomes the moat. The web version is already live and the mobile frontend is coming soon this summer. Trade Asia with Trasia.

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$BTC Short-Term Market Analysis Based on the current market conditions, this appears more like a rebound after a sharp drop than a bottom reversal. The market hasn't undergone sufficient accumulation at the bottom, nor has it experienced an extreme crash to clear liquidity. Therefore, the probability of directly starting a new bull market is low. It's more likely that the market will consolidate and form a bottom through a period of fluctuation. It's not yet possible to confirm that the bottom has been reached, but we are getting closer and closer to the true bottom-fishing area. It's not too late to consider increasing your position when the key confirmation signal appears, and I will provide guidance at that time. BTC's short-term price retraced to the 60-day moving average and found support, currently remaining within a valid rebound structure. As long as 61300 holds, the overall strategy remains to buy on dips, with resistance levels at 63400 and 64200, and strong resistance at 65500. For ETH, the key level to watch is the strong resistance around 1850; whether it can break through this level will directly target the 2000 mark.