注册并分享邀请链接,可获得视频播放与邀请奖励。

搜索结果 blackbull
blackbull 贴吧
一个关键词就是一个贴吧,路径全站唯一。
创建贴吧
用户
未找到
包含 blackbull 的推特
好久没发视频大家都问我什么时候发视频。我的 #母猪# @keanuuuu5 真的很骚 #黑人# #徐州# #BBC# #黑桃# #学生# #留学生# #夫妻# #情侣# #blackbull# #3p# #熟女#
显示更多
0
17
1.6K
169
转发到社区
【AI產值】輝達預計2027年底Blackwell和Rubin晶片將帶來至少1萬億美元收入 輝達預計,到2027年底,其Blackwell和Rubin晶片將至少創造1萬億美元的收入。該公司此前預計,到2026年底,這些晶片的銷售額將達到5000億美元。行政總裁黃仁勳(圖)在公司活動上發佈了最新預測。
显示更多
老黄和老马都用啥手机? 话说老黄这手是怎么回事…… 指甲都黑了,是拿 Blackwell 拿太重了还是咋回事? 这状态看着有点拼啊,万亿身家也得保重身体啊老黄! #NVIDIA# #Tesla# #iPhone# #黄仁勋#
显示更多
0
18
23
0
转发到社区
英伟达 $NVDA 作为豪门金字塔顶尖的那个人,手指缝漏一点都够底下AI供应链吃半年! 1. $TSM - 台积电 英伟达GPU核心晶圆代工厂,负责Blackwell/Rubin等先进制程芯片生产,是AI供应链最上游关键伙伴,受益于NVIDIA产能扩张。 2. $SMCI - 超微电脑 英伟达AI服务器主要组装商,提供高性能GPU服务器解决方案,直接受益于数据中心部署需求爆发。 3. $MU - 美光科技 HBM高带宽内存重要供应商,AI训练和推理对内存需求激增,推动其营收强劲增长。 4. $AVGO - 博通 定制AI芯片和网络芯片领导者,与英伟达在NVLink等生态合作,AI半导体收入高速增长。 5. $MRVL - 迈威尔科技 英伟达投资20亿美元,聚焦硅光子和NVLink Fusion定制XPU,是异构计算关键伙伴。 6. $IREN - 艾瑞斯能源 英伟达巨额投资并签订GPU云服务大单,转型AI数据中心运营商,基础设施扩张潜力大。 7. $CRWV - CoreWeave 英伟达重仓的AI云基础设施提供商,专注GPU集群部署,是“NVIDIA生态新云”代表。 8. $NBIS - Nebius Group 英伟达投资的AI云公司,助力全球算力扩展和推理服务。 9. $LITE - 朗美通 英伟达投资的光学组件龙头,高速光模块解决AI数据中心带宽瓶颈。 10. $COHR - 相干公司 与Lumentum同期获英伟达投资,光子学和激光技术核心供应商。 11. $GLW - 康宁 英伟达投资支持光纤基础设施,新工厂扩产应对AI数据中心光纤需求。 12. $ANET - Arista Networks 高性能以太网交换机领导者,连接AI GPU集群的关键网络设备供应商。 13. $VRT - Vertiv 数据中心电源与冷却解决方案提供商,与英伟达深度合作应对高密度AI机架散热。 14. $ARM - Arm Holdings 英伟达投资的CPU/IP架构核心公司,AI芯片设计广泛使用其技术。 15. $ASML - ASML 极紫外光刻机垄断供应商,支持先进制程芯片生产,间接驱动英伟达GPU创新。 16. $CRDO - Credo Technology 高速连接和信号完整性解决方案,受益于AI服务器内部互联需求。 17. $APLD - Applied Digital 英伟达投资的数据中心运营商,专注AI/HPC基础设施建设。 18. $CLS - Celestica AI服务器和硬件制造服务商,在供应链中表现突出。 19. $STX - Seagate 数据中心存储解决方案供应商,AI海量数据存储需求驱动增长。 20. $CIEN - Ciena 光网络设备提供商,支持AI数据中心长距离高速传输。
显示更多
0
69
363
125
转发到社区
美国总统特朗普当地时间8日宣布,将允许英伟达向中国出售H200人工智能芯片,但对每颗芯片收取一定费用(25%的销售额抽成),被允许出口的芯片不会包含英伟达更领先的Blackwell和即将面世的Rubin。美国商务部正在敲定相关细节,同样的安排也将适用于AMD、英特尔等其他公司。
显示更多
0
23
31
5
转发到社区
写在英伟达(NVIDIA)下周财报之前 --- 英伟达对客户进行“直接提价”以及“变相提价(通过系统级捆绑与产品架构重构)”情况分析。 英伟达利用其在AI算力市场近80%的绝对垄断地位,其提价策略已经从传统的“单纯调高芯片零售价”演变为“通过重塑算力采购规则和网络捆绑进行价值最大化回收”。 一、 英伟达的“直接提价”与“变相提价”策略 1. 直接提价(芯片与消费级层面) 消费级GPU直接提价:针对消费端旗舰显卡(如 RTX 5090),由于新一代 GDDR7 显存成本大幅攀升,英伟达近期已正式向其 AIC 合作伙伴提价 300 美元(约合 2000 元人民币),这导致消费级高端显卡的实际零售价在渠道端被进一步推高。 数据中心芯片均价(ASP)的大幅上调:新一代 Blackwell 架构芯片的单体售价较上一代 Hopper 显著提高。市场预计,即使是入门级的 B100,其平均售价(ASP)也在 3.0 万到 3.5 万美元之间(已与上一代旗舰 H100 持平);而包含 Grace CPU 和双 B200 GPU 的高端 GB200 超级芯片,单体售价则直奔 6.0 万至 7.0 万美元。 2. 变相提价(系统化、网络捆绑、产业链利润回收) 系统级打包销售(System Bundling):这是英伟达最核心的“变相提变/溢价”手段。英伟达正加速从“卖 GPU 芯片”向“卖整体机柜解决方案”转型。以 GB200 NVL72 平台为例,其单套整机柜的售价高达 280 万至 340 万美元,而推理优化的 GB300 NVL72 售价则攀升至 600 万至 650 万美元。客户在购买时无法单独采购裸 GPU 芯片,必须同时为机柜内附带的 NVLink 交换机系统、Spectrum-X 以太网卡、液冷系统等组件高额买单。 压缩代工厂空间以回收产业链利润:在未来的 Vera Rubin 架构中,英伟达计划直接向客户交付预建好的计算托盘(Trays),这一核心部件将占到服务器总物料清单(BOM)成本的约 90%。这实际上剥夺了服务器代工厂(如戴尔、超微等)的设计和配套件溢价空间,变相将整个算力产业链的所有利润全部回收到英伟达手中。 网络设备的交叉提价施压:目前美国司法部(DOJ)的反垄断调查以及中国国家市场监督管理总局(SAMR)的审查,其核心指控就在于英伟达涉嫌“如果客户在购买 GPU 时选择竞争对手(如 AMD、Intel)的芯片,英伟达就会对其网络设备进行惩罚性加价或不予支持”,以此变相强迫客户购买整套英伟达方案。 二、 资本市场的相关分析 毛利率与 ASP 计入:华尔街卖方模型已将 2026 财年英伟达数据中心混合 GPU 的 ASP 假设从 2.6 万美元直接上调到了 3.3 万美元。华尔街对英伟达下周财报维持在 75% 附近的极高非 GAAP 毛利率预期,也是基于这一提价能力已充分兑现的前提 。 整机柜的溢价定价:富国银行(Wells Fargo)将英伟达目标价上调至 315 美元,其核心框架就是建立在“300 万美元级别整机柜(GB200/GB300 NVL72)”的大规模出货假设之上。也就是说,短期内系统打包销售带来的高客单价已经没有多余的“超预期未定价空间”。如果下周财报中管理层无法证明整机柜出货的毛利率能够持续坚守在 75% 以上,股价甚至会因此回调 。 从更长远的算力网络生命周期来看,未来可能还有更极端的变相提价和系统价值膨胀(Dollar Content Expansion): 当算力集群从目前的 GB300 世代向未来的 Rubin Ultra 世代演进时,网络组件和芯片整合的系统打包价值将实现大幅跨越。 也就是说,市场目前仅定价了 Blackwell 世代的系统级提价,但对于 Rubin 世代通过深度系统集成、在整个数据中心 BOM 成本中榨取高达 90% 绝对利润的能力,并未给予完全的溢价体现。 总结而言,英伟达由于显存成本上涨带来的消费级 GPU 直接涨价,以及靠网络套件进行的数据中心系统级变相提价,市场短期已经被计入得非常充分,但长期来看,仍有相当的空间。 免责声明:本人持有文章中提及资产,观点充满偏见,非投资建议,dyor
显示更多
0
10
65
11
转发到社区
链上美股淘金系列1:抓住AI美股主线 一直以来我都在加密找AI好标,后来发现原来很多AI好标的在美股😂 Q1以来美股AI基建的表现大家有目共睹,AI美股主线仍然成立,但是在Q2会从整个产业链普涨、进入到按收入兑现、订单质量、资本开支回报率等逐家公司筛选的阶段。现在这个阶段就非常适合我们在ai产业线淘金,所以打算持续出这个系列,感兴趣的朋友可以收藏起来慢慢看~🔖 1️⃣为什么说AI仍会是美股的主线? 最近常被提及的NVIDIA “1 万亿美元机会”,本质上是对Blackwell与Rubin AI芯片到2027年底订单机会的判断。这个信息很重要,因为它说明当前 AI 行情并不是单纯的叙事炒作,而是一次资本开支周期。只是市场已经不再愿意给所有 AI 基建公司同样的估值溢价 前段时间四大科技巨头Google、Amazon、Microsoft、Meta的表现可以看出,市场正在从奖励“敢投 AI”的公司转向奖励“投 AI 能赚钱”的公司。比如AI 兑现状态最清晰的Google获得了市场的正向回应 如果 Google Cloud、AWS、Azure 等持续证明 AI 能带来云收入增长,那么整个上游 AI 基建链都有支撑。但如果大厂开始被质疑“花太多钱、回报不清楚”,那 AI 基建链的估值会被重新压缩 2️⃣具体有哪些方向值得探索呢? 目前拆解来看有3条主线思路: 对于Google Cloud、AWS、Azure 等云平台相关公司会进行收入验证,看谁能把 AI CapEx 变成收入 对于网络、光模块、HBM、供电、冷却、测试设备等AI基建项目,看谁能把AI 基建订单变成利润 对于高估值公司,未来市场会惩罚那些只有 AI 叙事、但订单不清、毛利承压、交付不稳的公司 下一篇会跟大家具体聊聊AI美股细分板块有哪些好机会值得我们跟进,欢迎大家持续关注~🔔想进交流群(信息最快)的可以使用链上美股平台MSX🔗:msx. com/? code=qBPZ24,整个AI产业链的核心标的都有覆盖,然后加简介v:FCwsry_888 进群~
显示更多
0
19
41
3
转发到社区
今日 Web4 信息差: 1. 八国联军护航!今天英法主导 40+国开会,讨论霍尔木兹海峡护航,特朗普一直吐槽北约不出力,现在秀肌肉 2. 韩国国运站上7800点!三星、SK 海力士再新高!韩股总市值突破7000万亿韩元,全靠 HBM,已卖到2027年! 3. 美联储新主席凯文沃什今天走马上任!换帅魔咒启动,市场会暴跌5-20%测试他吗? 4. 特朗普时隔近9年再次访华!5月13-15日到北京,推动伊朗停火,让中国多买美国大豆牛肉波音飞机能源,别打台湾! 5. 英伟达的竞对!Cerebras 准备IPO了,大幅上调发行价, $CBRS 预计$150-160,募资$48亿,某些场景推理速度可达英伟达 Blackwell 的2-21倍!
显示更多
0
40
20
4
转发到社区
为什么xAI要把数据中心Colossus1租给Authropic?这篇推文应该是分析最到位的,核心逻辑是: xAI目前总共持有大约55 万+个GPU(以H100等效性能为基础),而Colossus1(22 万个)仅占总可用容量的约40%,且是一个混合 H100/H200/GB200 的训练集群。这种混合集群并不是合适训练(不同代际GPU见通信延迟很大),但是非常适合推理(推理需要远没有那么紧密同步的 GPU 间通信)。 恰恰Authropic现在最需要推理算力,而且一家就能把Colossus1的算力全部吃掉。而且Anthropic 作为单一租户占用所有22万个 GPU,多租户下出现的网络交换抖动(意外延迟)消失了。双方的技术弱点最终几乎完美互补。 老马把完全基于 Blackwell 构建的数据中心Colossus 2留给自己,用以训练xAI下一代大模型。 租赁出较旧的、混合代的 Colossus 1。作为一个混合H100/H200/GB200的训练集群,Colossus 1只能实现 11% 的MFU(利用率)。然而,一旦它被移交给单一推理客户,这个资产就转变为一个现金流资产,以大约每 GPU 小时 2.60 美元的价格出租(GPU 类型租赁率的加权平均)。对于 xAI 来说,本来是训练的“地狱集群”,在重新部署用于推理时变成了“金鹅”,每年带来50–60 亿美元的收入。 将这 60 亿美元与 xAI 的损益表对比时,其分量就更清晰了。将 xAI 的 1Q26 净亏损年化,大约每年 60 亿美元的亏损。换句话说,向 Anthropic 租赁 Colossus 1 产生的 50–60 亿美元年度收入,几乎完美对冲了 xAI 的亏损数字 不得不说、这是一次完美的合作:Authropic获得急缺的推理算力; SpaceXAI获得能弥补其AI业务年度亏损的现金流。
显示更多
Why did xAI hand over a 220,000-GPU cluster to Anthropic? The technical backdrop to xAI's decision to hand Colossus 1 over to Anthropic in its entirety is more interesting than it appears. xAI deployed more than 220,000 NVIDIA GPUs at its Colossus 1 data center in Memphis. Of these, roughly 150,000 are estimated to be H100s, 50,000 H200s, and 20,000 GB200s. In other words, three different generations of silicon are mixed together inside a single cluster — a "heterogeneous architecture." For distributed training, however, this configuration is close to a disaster, according to engineers familiar with the setup. In distributed training, 100,000 GPUs must finish a single step simultaneously before the cluster can advance to the next one. Even if the GB200s finish their computation first, the remaining 99,999 chips have to wait for the slower H100s — or for any GPU that has hit a stack-related snag — to catch up. This is known as the straggler effect. The 11% GPU utilization rate (MFU: the share of theoretical FLOPs actually realized) at xAI recently reported by The Information can be read as the numerical fallout of this problem. It stands in stark contrast to the 40%-plus MFU figures achieved by Meta and Google. The problem runs deeper still. As discussed earlier, NVIDIA's NCCL has traditionally been optimized for a ring topology. It works beautifully at the 1,000–10,000 GPU scale, but once you push into the 100,000-unit range, the latency of data traversing the ring once around becomes punishingly long. GPUs need to churn through computations rapidly to keep MFU high, but while they sit waiting endlessly for data to arrive over the network fabric, more than half of the silicon falls into idle. Google sidestepped this bottleneck with its own custom topology (Google's OCS: Apollo/Palomar), but xAI, by my read, has not yet reached that stage. Layer Blackwell's (GB200) "power smoothing" issue on top, and the picture comes into focus. According to Zeeshan Patel, formerly in charge of multimodal pre-training at xAI, Blackwell GPUs draw power so aggressively that the chip itself includes a hardware feature for smoothing power delivery. xAI's existing software stack, however, was optimized for Hopper and does not understand the characteristics of the new hardware; when it imposes irregular loads on the chip, the silicon physically destructs — literally melts. That means the modeling stack must be rewritten from scratch, which in turn means scaling is far harder than most of us imagine. Pulling all of this together points to a single conclusion. xAI judged that training frontier models on Colossus 1 simply was not efficient enough to be worthwhile. It therefore moved its own training workloads wholesale onto Colossus 2, built as a 100% Blackwell homogeneous cluster. Colossus 1, on the other hand — whose mixed architecture is far less crippling for inference, which parallelizes more forgivingly — was leased in its entirety to an Anthropic that desperately needed inference capacity. Many observers point to what looks like a contradiction: Elon Musk poured enormous capital into building Colossus, only to hand the core asset over to a direct competitor in Anthropic. Others read it as xAI capitulating because it is a "middling frontier lab." But these are surface-level reads. Look at the numbers and a different picture emerges. xAI today holds roughly 550,000+ GPUs in total (on an H100-equivalent performance basis), and Colossus 1 (220,000 units) accounts for only about 40% of the total available capacity. Colossus 2 — built entirely on Blackwell — is already operational and continuing to expand. Elon kept the all-Blackwell homogeneous cluster (Colossus 2) for himself and leased out the older, mixed-generation Colossus 1. In other words, he handed the pain of rewriting the stack — the MFU-11% debacle — to Anthropic, while keeping his own focus on training the next generation of models. The real point, then, is this. Elon's objective appears to be positioning ahead of the SpaceXAI IPO at a $1.75 trillion valuation, currently floated for as early as June. The narrative SpaceXAI now needs is that xAI — long the "sore finger" — is not merely a research lab burning cash, but a business with a "neo-cloud" model in the mold of AWS, capable of leasing surplus assets at high yields. From a cost-of-capital perspective, an "AGI cash incinerator" is far less attractive to investors than a "data-center landlord generating cash." As noted above, the most important detail of the Colossus 1 lease is that it is for inference, not training. Unlike training, inference requires far less tightly synchronized inter-GPU communication. Even when the chips are heterogeneous, the workload parcels out cleanly across them in parallel. The straggler effect — the chief weakness of a mixed cluster — is essentially neutralized for inference workloads. Furthermore, with Anthropic occupying all 220,000 GPUs as a single tenant, the network-switch jitter (unanticipated latency) that arises under multi-tenancy disappears. The two sides' technical weaknesses end up complementing each other almost exactly. One insight follows. As a training cluster mixing H100/H200/GB200, Colossus 1 was an asset that could only deliver an MFU of 11%. The moment it was handed over to a single inference customer, however, that asset transformed into a cash-flow asset rented out at roughly $2.60 per GPU-hour (a weighted average of the lease rates across GPU types). For xAI, what was a "cluster from hell" for training has become a "golden goose" minting $5–6 billion in annual revenue when redeployed for inference. Elon's genius, I would argue, lies not in the model but in this asset-rotation structure. The weight of that $6 billion becomes clearer when set against xAI's income statement. Annualizing xAI's 1Q26 net loss yields roughly $6 billion in losses per year. The $5–6 billion in annual revenue generated by leasing Colossus 1 to Anthropic, in other words, almost perfectly hedges xAI's loss figure. This single deal effectively pulls xAI to break-even. Heading into the SpaceXAI IPO, this functions as a core line of financial defense. From a cost-of-capital standpoint, if the image shifts from "research lab burning cash" to "infrastructure tollgate stably printing $6 billion a year," the entire tone of the offering can change. (May 8, 2026, Mirae Asset Securities)
显示更多
0
20
195
27
转发到社区