TSMC’s US$100 billion addition to its US investment plans – now totaling $265 billion – will expand TSMC Arizona to 12 fabs, but the market fears the move will hurt profitability, media report, noting construction costs are 4 to 5 times higher than Taiwan (from TSMC’s CFO). The fear is TSMC’s gross margin may fall below 65%, given margin pressure from ramping 2nm (3-4 percentage points) and overseas fab investments (2-3 percentage points).
The report argues such worries are overdone. TSMC is playing the long game, building critical AI infrastructure for the long haul – with capex raised to $60-$64B from $52-$56B previously, and it takes 5-years years for advanced fabs to ramp up to mass production, from the initial groundbreaking. Operationally, mass production at TSMC Arizona means costs go down as fabs ramp up through volume and efficiency gains. Production lines improve as workers better understand their jobs; construction improves the same way. $TSM #
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