🥊 Lightweight Bout: Mateusz Gamrot vs Quillan Salkilld 🇵🇱 Mateusz Gamrot (26-4) 📍 American Top Team 📏 5'10" | Age: 35 🗓️ Last: Win vs Esteban Ribovics (Submission, Apr 2026) 🧨 8 KO/TKO, 6 SUB, 12 DEC 📊 Combat Edge ELO: 1,828 (Great, #5# LW) Former title challenger, elite wrestling and a granite base. At 35 his path is to drag Salkilld into deep water and grind. 🇦🇺 Quillan Salkilld (12-1) 📍 Luistro Combat Academy 📏 6'0" | Age: 26 🗓️ Last: Win vs Beneil Dariush (TKO, May 2026) 🧨 5 KO/TKO, 4 SUB, 3 DEC 📊 Combat Edge ELO: 1,760 (Great, #15# LW) 12-1, a perfect 5-0 in the UFC, fresh off a one-round starching of Beneil Dariush. Fast hands and real pop. 📈 The Combat Edge read: model gives Salkilld 71% — even stronger than the market's ~60% (-150). ELO alone actually leans Gamrot (60%); the model sees the fight tilting to the 26-year-old. Full breakdown + prediction 👇

Welterweight Bout: Ty Miller vs Billy Ray Goff 🇺🇸 Ty Miller (7-0) 📍 Fit NHB 📏 6'2" | Age: 26 🗓️ Last: Win vs Adam Fugitt (TKO, Jan 2026) 🧨 3 KO/TKO, 0 SUB, 4 DEC 📊 Combat Edge ELO: 1,654 (Good, #105# WW) 7-0 Fit NHB prospect, 6'2" of length with finishing pop and no blemishes yet. 🇺🇸 Billy Ray Goff (9-4) 📍 Dexter MMA 📏 5'10" | Age: 28 🗓️ Last: Loss vs Ramiz Brahimaj (Submission, May 2025) 🧨 7 KO/TKO, 0 SUB, 2 DEC 📊 Combat Edge ELO: 1,634 (Solid, #130# WW) Heavy hands (7 KOs) but 0 career subs and coming off a submission loss — exposed if it goes to the floor. 📈 The Combat Edge read: model gives the unbeaten Miller 66% — length, the ELO edge, and Goff's grappling holes. Full breakdown + prediction 👇

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld — 12 fights, and the model isn't playing it safe. Top of the card, ELO says Gamrot (1,828 over 1,760) — but the model flips it and gives 26-year-old Salkilld 71%. Most lopsided call on the card: Alexia Thainara at 87%. Fight Night Cards, bout by bout, all night. Full card + model picks 👇

As PFL merges with MVP, it challenges the notion that it doesn't have the same talent as the UFC, with its card this Friday featuring a higher average fighter Elo than UFC Belgrade on Saturday. Something to think about...