🥊 Flyweight Title Bout: Joshua Van vs Alexandre Pantoja
🇲🇲 Joshua Van (17-2)
📍 4oz. Fight Club
📏 5'5" | Age: 24
🗓️ Last: Win vs Tatsuro Taira (TKO, May 2026)
🧨 9 KO/TKO, 2 SUB, 6 DEC
📊 Combat Edge ELO: 1,801 (Great, #
4# FLW)
Won the belt at UFC 323 when Pantoja's shoulder gave out. Myanmar's first UFC champion and, at 24, a dozen years younger than the man across from him — relentless volume with real pop (9 KOs).
🇧🇷 Alexandre Pantoja (30-6)
📍 American Top Team
📏 5'5" | Age: 36
🗓️ Last: Loss vs Joshua Van (TKO, Dec 2025)
🧨 8 KO/TKO, 12 SUB, 10 DEC
📊 Combat Edge ELO: 1,808 (Great, #
1# FLW)
The division's longest-reigning champ before Van and still its #
1# by ELO. A world-class grappler with 12 submissions who wants this rematch to prove the first result was the injury, not the better man.
📈 The Combat Edge read: model gives champ Joshua Van 72% — the market only ~59% (-142). ELO alone splits it near dead even (Pantoja by a whisker, 1808 vs 1801), but the model leans hard to the younger champ's volume and momentum. One of five fights where the model overrules ELO.
Full breakdown + prediction 👇