GPU availability tightening back up...
B200 availability was already at 0%.
Post-Kimi K3, GH200 tightening aggressively.
The @3F_Research "Fast" Availability Index heading back below 10%.
Since the Iran war began, there has been a 100 bp swing in Dec 27 SOFR implied rates - from 75 bps of cuts to 25 bps of hikes.
My guess is that we will see at least half of this unwind.
For 2 yrs, it has been a good bet to fade the rate hike calls. This regime is still intact.