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Craig Shapiro
@ces921
Ninja Trader Live: Senior Macro Strategist, Cross-Asset Trader 20+ years, Ex-SAC, Ospraie, Graticule and Circle Lane Capital
1.8K Following    127.7K Followers
Is this guy advising the President about price controls? Sure sounds like it
Trump will meet Tuesday with US refiners and fuel distributors to discuss expanding refining capacity and lowering gas prices - CNBC
Time to hike?
*FED'S WARSH: ECONOMIC GROWTH IN US APPEARS TO HAVE STRENGTHENED
*BESSENT: 10-YR YIELD FLAT SINCE PRESIDENT TRUMP CAME IN Bessent trying to victory lap his relative performance
Oh, its about relative performance. Got it
US Treasury Secretary Bessent: The US bond market is the best performing this month.
Trump continues to go all in on data centers, much to the chagrin of polling data and regular Americans "The only reason that communities throughout the U.S.A. should not want Data Centers is if they want to end up being backwards and poor. If they want to be successful and rich, with far lower taxes and jobs all over the place, let Data Reign. The good news is that there are plenty of other places that want them. If we kill the Golden Goose, you will only have yourselves to blame. China could not be happier with this anti Data Center movement. Actually, they can’t believe it is happening! President DJT" @RMConservative
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Here we go!!
Tonight. 6pm EST. Only on @NTLiveMedia The Best Damn "Sunday Open" Show Period. Watch the Fearsome Foursome of @paxtrader777 @PharmD_KS @TradeSniperSara and @PipCzar join me to break down the crucial macro week ahead. Last official week of summer figures to be wild. Watch. Learn. Execute.
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Do we really have to start studying the Welland Canal and the potential implications of the Boundary Waters Treaty of 1909 between the US and Canada if Canada decides to opt-out? I'm tired of becoming an "expert" on various crucial global chokepoints.
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Week ahead prep starts at 6 PM ET. @paxtrader777, @PharmD_KS + @TradeSniperSara are joined by @ces921 and @PipCzar for The Sunday Open. 👊 Then @follis_ sits down with @BC_Richfield for the Kraken Segment at 7 PM ET. 🐙 Watch here:
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Everyday is Caturday! We weren't thinking about grilling her up today but I guess she wanted to make sure this wasn't happening.
Tonight. 6pm EST. Only on @NTLiveMedia The Best Damn "Sunday Open" Show Period. Watch the Fearsome Foursome of @paxtrader777 @PharmD_KS @TradeSniperSara and @PipCzar join me to break down the crucial macro week ahead. Last official week of summer figures to be wild. Watch. Learn. Execute.
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The view from SWFL beaches on this Saturday afternoon is pristine.
Does the Fed have to raise rates enough in order to slow the AI capex momentum in order to bring inflation back down to 2% target?
From Fed Chair Warsh's speech today: "There is one signal nobody can miss: The responsibility for 65 months of sustained, elevated inflation sits squarely with the central bank. And that is where it belongs." "...as of now, I believe the labor markets are consistent with full employment...Inflation is running above our 2 percent target. So the Fed's predominant focus right now should be on prices." "Credit and loan markets are showing few signs of policy restraint. Certain sectors—like housing and agriculture—are showing strains. But, on balance, I would be hard pressed to describe broad financial conditions as restrictive." "short-term interest rates are the predominant tool to achieve the dual mandate. Unconventional policies to spur economic activity may suit genuine crises but should otherwise be used sparingly, if at all." So, if the Fed is responsible for bringing down inflation back to target, and the labor market is at full employment which favors focusing on inflation mandate, and financial conditions are not restrictive and interest rates are the primary tool to achieve the mandate, why is the next meeting not going to deliver an interest rate hike? I mean I know he doesn't want to give forward guidance but if we don't get the hike in September, then he's full of shit.
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From Fed Chair Warsh's speech today: "There is one signal nobody can miss: The responsibility for 65 months of sustained, elevated inflation sits squarely with the central bank. And that is where it belongs." "...as of now, I believe the labor markets are consistent with full employment...Inflation is running above our 2 percent target. So the Fed's predominant focus right now should be on prices." "Credit and loan markets are showing few signs of policy restraint. Certain sectors—like housing and agriculture—are showing strains. But, on balance, I would be hard pressed to describe broad financial conditions as restrictive." "short-term interest rates are the predominant tool to achieve the dual mandate. Unconventional policies to spur economic activity may suit genuine crises but should otherwise be used sparingly, if at all." So, if the Fed is responsible for bringing down inflation back to target, and the labor market is at full employment which favors focusing on inflation mandate, and financial conditions are not restrictive and interest rates are the primary tool to achieve the mandate, why is the next meeting not going to deliver an interest rate hike? I mean I know he doesn't want to give forward guidance but if we don't get the hike in September, then he's full of shit.
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Does the Fed have to raise rates enough in order to slow the AI capex momentum in order to bring inflation back down to 2% target?
While the macro calendar is light, options expiry week likes to bring some unexpected action. Plus the bond market is on the move and starting to create some angst for traders. Come join us for "The Sunday Open" on @NTLiveMedia at 6pm est tonight when @TradeSniperSara @PharmD_KS and @paxtrader777 will breakdown everything you need to know of the week ahead.
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Make sure to watch the replay of "The Sunday Open" on @NTLiveMedia to get caught up for the upcoming week. @PharmD_KS @TradeSniperSara and @paxtrader777 gave their key levels and favorite setups for equity indices, bonds, oil and gold to help you navigate this important macro week ahead. Watch. Learn. Execute.
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Join us tonight at 6pm est on @NTLiveMedia for "The Sunday Open" where @TradeSniperSara @PharmD_KS @paxtrader777 and I will get you set up for the return of the "window of potential weakness" now that expiry is behind us. Bonds have been puking, King $$ is warming up, NVDA earnings this week and as @chigrl would say "the Strait of Hormuz remains closed." Lots to discuss Watch. Learn. Execute.
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