The most powerful thing President Trump can do right now is to just walk away— it’s his best option to end the war with Iran.
To do so effectively, he has to be prepared to dismiss the inevitable onslaught of pressure campaigns and screaming from the pro-war, Israeli lobby neocon crew he’ll undoubtedly face.
They’ll tell him he’s surrendering & hurting his legacy, that he’s endangering American lives—never mind, of course, the Americans already killed and wounded, or those who are still in harm’s way as this foolish war drags on.
Their narrative is nonsense. Until Iran, Trump was on track to right the ship domestically. The reality is, this warmonger class has always hated Trump, & they talked him into this mess hoping it would destroy his legacy and derail his administration’s promise to finally put the needs of the American people first.
Trump’s power lies in walking away now and refusing to bow to the pressures of the machine, proving he can’t be controlled. His supporters will understand that this the right call.
President Trump clearly understands that there is no viable military solution to this war.
Hopefully, by now he also sees that Iran will not present a formal deal he can realistically accept. Again—we MUST consider the effect our killing the Ayatollah & bombing the girls’ school has had on radicalizing the Iranians. It’s very likely that both for the sake of its national honor & for deterrence, Iran will feel compelled to drag us back into the war in order to force the U.S. to a humiliating retreat.
Notice that the Iranians will not commit to opening the SOH. This is by design: as long as our assets remain in the region, they have leverage. Hardliners in Iran want Trump stuck so they have the excuse to escalate— it’s critical to not take that bait.
Choosing to maintain the naval blockade is inviting a disaster that will ultimately force that escalation, and on Iran’s terms. Iran has proven its ballistic missiles can reach our ships—we are one failed interceptor away from a mass casualty event that propels us into a broader war. The blockade, just like our bases in the region, quickly becomes a liability, not an asset.
This is why NOW is the time to leave. Declare victory, then quietly offer sanctions relief & the unfreezing of assets in exchange for Iran opening the SOH.
Trump has the political power to frame this maneuvering as a win, but his time to do so successfully is running out.
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I'm really looking forward to this...
Breaking: Joe Kent to Speak at RPI DC Conference!
Learning from our past. I fought in Iraq against Iranian proxies and I oppose this war, here's why.
I wrote this a few months ago, but it's still relevant today.
As time passes, Tehran appears increasingly confident that the pressure is shifting onto Washington.
Iranian leaders seem to believe that the United States is now more eager than Iran to bring the confrontation in the Strait of Hormuz to an end, and, crucially, that Washington has few attractive military options for changing that equation.
From Tehran’s perspective, the United States faces a serious escalation dilemma. A broader military campaign could eventually require a deeper and potentially ground-based U.S. commitment, while strikes against Iran’s energy infrastructure could trigger an unprecedented Iranian response, further disrupting global energy markets and imposing significant costs on the U.S. and global economies.
Iran’s demands therefore sharpen the difficult choice facing the administration: accept a substantial portion of Tehran’s terms in order to end the crisis, or escalate militarily and risk paying a steep economic and strategic price, with no guarantee that additional pressure would force Iran to capitulate or even return to negotiations from a weaker position.
This is also why an agreement involving Oman, by itself, guarantees very little. The central question is not simply whether the Strait of Hormuz can be reopened, but what Iran receives the day after it does so.
Unless Washington and Tehran reach an understanding on that broader political bargain, any agreement risks becoming little more than an agreement "on paper", without resolving the underlying confrontation.
#
IranWar#
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People on the Right cant get along because they’re all operating from different stages of grief. Bargaining looks like collaboration to one still in Denial, Acceptance like treason to those still working through Anger. And no one likes the Depressed.
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Learning from our past. I fought in Iraq against Iranian proxies and I oppose this war, here's why.
I wrote this a few months ago, but it's still relevant today.
🇨🇳🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Iran war is basically a gift to China right now.
Fmr. Counterterrorism Chief Director Joe Kent said the U.S. is stuck in the Middle East while China burns no resources, buys the oil, and shifts deals to its currency.
They’re learning exactly how we fight without spending a single bullet of their own.
And the longer this drags on, the stronger their hand gets against America.
Writer: Lucas
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It is a scandal that we allowed a foreign government to convince us to get into this disastrous war.
It is a scandal that he ever served in this admin.
A major lesson we should have learned from the GWOT, especially the Iraq war, is how dangerous it is to manipulate intelligence in order to justify a war.
In Iraq, we claimed that Saddam had WMD & that he was supporting Al-Qaeda. As we would later learn, neither was true & Saddam was not a threat to us. He was, ironically, a threat to Iran.
Once we invaded Iraq, we found no WMD— & our presence instead served as a lightning rod for Al-Qaeda fighters to flood Iraq and kill American soldiers.
This launched the U.S. into the escalation trap: believing we had to stay in Iraq to “fix it.” It cost us the lives of nearly 5,000 American troops, countless casualties that continue to devastate the veteran population to this day, & over $3 trillion.
Despite knowing all of this, today we’re seeing the same claims used to justify our war with Iran—threats of WMD & warnings of Iranian-backed terrorists poised to attack us—and once again we launched a war that will likely end up a self-fulfilling prophecy of the manipulated intelligence. Not only have our actions demonstrated to the Iranians that obtaining a nuclear weapon is a form of deterrence for them, this war will likely invite blowback terrorism here on American soil.
We have the opportunity to use the evidence from our recent history to inform our next move and walk away now, instead of doubling down to spiral ourselves into yet another aimless and bloody war under the guise of “fixing” our mistakes. We should take it.
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The U.S. Intelligence Community assessed this & consistently briefed it. Unfortunately, it was the Israeli government & their lobbyists who convinced the President that Iran would be as easy as Venezuela.
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We’re now hearing that the U.S. neither expected Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz nor anticipated Iranian attacks on the Gulf states. Seriously? Was this a failure of intelligence, a misreading of deterrence, or simply strategic naivety?
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A major lesson we should have learned from the GWOT, especially the Iraq war, is how dangerous it is to manipulate intelligence in order to justify a war.
In Iraq, we claimed that Saddam had WMD & that he was supporting Al-Qaeda. As we would later learn, neither was true & Saddam was not a threat to us. He was, ironically, a threat to Iran.
Once we invaded Iraq, we found no WMD— & our presence instead served as a lightning rod for Al-Qaeda fighters to flood Iraq and kill American soldiers.
This launched the U.S. into the escalation trap: believing we had to stay in Iraq to “fix it.” It cost us the lives of nearly 5,000 American troops, countless casualties that continue to devastate the veteran population to this day, & over $3 trillion.
Despite knowing all of this, today we’re seeing the same claims used to justify our war with Iran—threats of WMD & warnings of Iranian-backed terrorists poised to attack us—and once again we launched a war that will likely end up a self-fulfilling prophecy of the manipulated intelligence. Not only have our actions demonstrated to the Iranians that obtaining a nuclear weapon is a form of deterrence for them, this war will likely invite blowback terrorism here on American soil.
We have the opportunity to use the evidence from our recent history to inform our next move and walk away now, instead of doubling down to spiral ourselves into yet another aimless and bloody war under the guise of “fixing” our mistakes. We should take it.
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Iran was not sending terrorists to the U.S. & they were not developing a nuclear weapon. The idea that Iran was or is on the cusp of developing a nuke to attack us is George Bush Iraq war level propaganda.
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The point is you don't know what you're talking about.
Joe Kent - "The Shias don’t use suicide bombers."
The demonstrably do
If we follow your advice to cut & run, we cede the region to them and a path to nuclear weapons. The Atlantic Ocean can't protect us from a nuclear weapon on a cargo ship.
They play a long game because we do knee jerk reactions like you are now. 50 years of trouble from the Mullahs is too much. Free Trade and Freedom from nuclear-armed nuttahs is what we need.
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The point is that the Iranians are not sending suicide bombers to the U.S., or planning attacks against the homeland.
Attacks & plots against the homeland have been AQ/ISIS Salfi Jihadis. Shias have only attacked us when we are intervening in their back yard. They are not the jihadis of AQ & ISIS who we should be focusing on.
However, because of this war, killing the supreme leader & the bombing of the girls school, this will likely change this.
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.
@joekent16jan19 is wrong - SHOCKER
“The whole myth that Iran is full of like crazy suicide bombers & crazy jihadis, Is a LIE. The Shias don’t use suicide bombers."
WRONG
Hezbollah & Iran (both Shia) pioneered terrorist suicide bombing in Lebanon killing 220 Marines and dozens of other Americans at our Embassy and the Marine barracks.
He also said they don't come to attack us here, well the US Embassy is American soil, so that certainly counts.
Even if you just talk about Iran now they are still ruled by Twelver Shia theocrats who believe they need an Armageddon-like event to bring the return of their Mahdi to conquer the world.
That's why they want a nuke Joe. What is more Armageddon-ish than a mushroom cloud. So I think an apocalyptic death cult qualifies as "crazy jihadis".
How can the former Director of the National Counter Terrorism Center be this ignorant of major terror attacks that killed hundreds of Americans?
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Trump is messaging that he won the war— this is a good first step in extricating us from what would otherwise be a catastrophic mistake.
The reality is, the best “deal” we can make with Iran at this point that works in our favor is to just leave—it’s the only case in which POTUS then holds the cards.
He needs to “close the deal” now, before the Iranians force him back into a shooting war.
We simply can’t assume that Iran will wait idly for us to make the next move. Alarmingly, it seems we are failing to account for just how aggressively killing the Ayatollah & bombing the girls’ school has radicalized Iranian leadership & its people—it’s very likely that Iran will feel compelled to drag us back into the war in order to force the U.S. to retreat, bloodied, both for the sake of its national honor & for deterrence.
Trump can end this by pulling our troops & ships out of the region now—deprive Iran of targets to hit and the leverage they need to escalate. Trump says we’ve won, therefore we can bring them home.
He can then offer sanctions relief & the unfreezing of assets as a carrot to get the SOH open. Iran will broadcast that it wants to impose tolls, but without the U.S. acting as the aggressor in the SOH, will lose the justification to do so.
Time is not on our side, and we are fools to think we can control the pace of the war. With each passing moment we risk being sucked back in, to ultimately squander even more American blood and treasure.
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The point is that the Iranians are not sending suicide bombers to the U.S., or planning attacks against the homeland.
Attacks & plots against the homeland have been AQ/ISIS Salfi Jihadis. Shias have only attacked us when we are intervening in their back yard. They are not the jihadis of AQ & ISIS who we should be focusing on.
However, because of this war, killing the supreme leader & the bombing of the girls school, this will likely change this.
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“Shia’s don’t use suicide bombers” is 100% false
Let’s start here 👇
December 15, 1981 | Iraqi Embassy Bombing | Al-Da’wa Party | Suicide vehicle bombing | 61 killed, hundreds wounded
April 18, 1983 | U.S. Embassy Bombing, Beirut | Hezbollah / Islamic Jihad Organization | Suicide truck bombing | 63 killed, including 17 Americans
October 23, 1983 | U.S. Marine Barracks Bombing, Beirut | Hezbollah linked Islamic Jihad Organization | Suicide truck bombing | 241 U.S. servicemembers killed
October 23, 1983 | French Barracks Bombing, Beirut | Hezbollah linked Islamic Jihad Organization | Suicide truck bombing | 58 French soldiers killed
September 20, 1984 | U.S. Embassy Annex Bombing, Beirut | Hezbollah | Suicide vehicle bombing | 23 killed, approximately 90 wounded
March 17, 1992 | Israeli Embassy Bombing, Buenos Aires | Hezbollah | Suicide vehicle bombing | 29 killed, 242 wounded
July 18, 1994 | AMIA Jewish Community Center Bombing, Buenos Aires | Hezbollah with Iranian support according to Argentine investigations | Suicide van bombing | 85 killed, hundreds wounded
June 25, 1996 | Khobar Towers Bombing, Saudi Arabia | Hezbollah al Hejaz / Saudi Hezbollah | Large vehicle bombing | 19 U.S. servicemembers killed, 300+ wounded
February 14, 2005 | Assassination of Rafik Hariri, Beirut | Hezbollah linked operatives | Suicide truck bombing | 22 killed, 200+ wounded
I think the point has been made, but if there is still confusion, I can continue with the extensive record of suicide bombings carried out by Shia terrorists during the Iraq War, as well.
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Joe Kent on How the Iran War is STRENGTHENING China's Global Presence
@joekent16jan19
JOE KENT: “The whole myth that Iran is full of like crazy suicide bombers & crazy jihadis, Is a LIE. The Shias don’t use suicide bombers. The Shias have never come over to America to K!LL Americans.. It's the Salafi jihadis, the ISIS, the Al Qaeda, those are the suicide bombers.”
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Please take a moment and pause to honor and remember these heroes.
The following sailors assigned to an East Coast-based Naval Special Warfare unit were killed:
Lieutenant Commander (SEAL) Jonas B. Kelsall, 32, of Shreveport, Louisiana
Special Warfare Operator Master Chief Petty Officer (SEAL) Louis J. Langlais, 44, of Santa Barbara, California
Special Warfare Operator Senior Chief Petty Officer (SEAL) Thomas A. Ratzlaff, 34, of Green Forest, Arkansas
Explosive Ordnance Disposal Technician Senior Chief Petty Officer (Expeditionary Warfare Specialist/Freefall Parachutist) Kraig M. Vickers 36, of Kokomo, Hawaii
Special Warfare Operator Chief Petty Officer (SEAL) Brian R. Bill, 31, of Stamford, Connecticut
Special Warfare Operator Chief Petty Officer (SEAL) John W. Faas, 31, of Minneapolis, Minnesota
Special Warfare Operator Chief Petty Officer (SEAL) Kevin A. Houston, 35, of West Hyannisport, Massachusetts
Special Warfare Operator Chief Petty Officer (SEAL) Matthew D. Mason, 37, of Kansas City, Missouri
Special Warfare Operator Chief Petty Officer (SEAL) Stephen M. Mills, 35, of Fort Worth, Texas
Explosive Ordnance Disposal Technician Chief Petty Officer(Expeditionary Warfare Specialist/Freefall Parachutist/Diver) Nicholas H. Null, 30, of Washington, West Virginia
Special Warfare Operator Chief Petty Officer (SEAL) Robert J. Reeves, 32, of Shreveport, Louisiana
Special Warfare Operator Chief Petty Officer (SEAL) Heath M. Robinson, 34, of Detroit, Michigan
Special Warfare Operator Petty Officer 1st Class (SEAL) Darrik C. Benson, 28, of Angwin, California
Special Warfare Operator Petty Officer 1st Class (SEAL/Parachutist) Christopher G. Campbell, 36, of Jacksonville, North Carolina
Information Systems Technician Petty Officer 1st Class (Expeditionary Warfare Specialist/Freefall Parachutist) Jared W. Day, 28, of Taylorsville, Utah
Master-at-Arms Petty Officer 1st Class (Expeditionary Warfare Specialist) John Douangdara, 26, of South Sioux City, Nebraska
Cryptologist Technician(Collection)Petty Officer 1st Class(Expeditionary Warfare Specialist) Michael J. Strange, 25, of Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Special Warfare Operator Petty Officer 1st Class (SEAL/Enlisted Surface Warfare Specialist) Jon T. Tumilson, 35, of Rockford, Iowa
Special Warfare Operator Petty Officer 1st Class (SEAL)Aaron C. Vaughn, 30, of Stuart, Florida
Special Warfare Operator Petty Officer 1st Class (SEAL)Jason R. Workman, 32, of Blanding, Utah
The following sailors assigned to a West Coast-based Naval Special Warfare unit were killed:
Special Warfare Operator Petty Officer 1st Class (SEAL)Jesse D. Pittman, 27, of Ukiah, California
Special Warfare Operator Petty Officer 2nd Class (SEAL)Nicholas P. Spehar, 24, of Saint Paul, Minnesota
The soldiers killed were:
Chief Warrant Officer David R. Carter, 47, of Centennial, Colo. He was assigned to the 2nd Battalion, 135th Aviation Regiment (General Support Aviation Battalion), Aurora, Colorado
Chief Warrant Officer Bryan J. Nichols, 31, of Hays, Kan. He was assigned to the 7th Battalion, 158th Aviation Regiment(General Support Aviation Battalion), New Century, Kansas
Staff Sgt. Patrick D. Hamburger, 30, of Lincoln, Neb. He was assigned to the 2nd Battalion, 135th Aviation Regiment (General Support Aviation Battalion), Grand Island, Nebraska
* Sergeant Hamburger was posthumously promoted to Staff Sergeant
Sgt. Alexander J. Bennett, 24, of Tacoma, Wash. He was assigned to the 7th Battalion, 158th Aviation Regiment (General Support Aviation Battalion), New Century, Kansas
Spc. Spencer C. Duncan, 21, of Olathe, Kan. He was assigned to the 7th Battalion, 158th Aviation Regiment (General Support Aviation Battalion), New Century, Kansas
The airmen killed were:
Tech. Sgt. John W. Brown, 33, of Tallahassee, Florida
Staff Sgt. Andrew W. Harvell, 26, of Long Beach, California
Tech. Sgt. Daniel L. Zerbe, 28, of York, Pennsylvania
All three airmen were assigned to the 24th Special Tactics Squadron, Pope Field, North Carolina.
Seven Afghan National Army commandos and one Afghan civilian interpreter were also killed in the crash.
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Trump is messaging that he won the war— this is a good first step in extricating us from what would otherwise be a catastrophic mistake.
The reality is, the best “deal” we can make with Iran at this point that works in our favor is to just leave—it’s the only case in which POTUS then holds the cards.
He needs to “close the deal” now, before the Iranians force him back into a shooting war.
We simply can’t assume that Iran will wait idly for us to make the next move. Alarmingly, it seems we are failing to account for just how aggressively killing the Ayatollah & bombing the girls’ school has radicalized Iranian leadership & its people—it’s very likely that Iran will feel compelled to drag us back into the war in order to force the U.S. to retreat, bloodied, both for the sake of its national honor & for deterrence.
Trump can end this by pulling our troops & ships out of the region now—deprive Iran of targets to hit and the leverage they need to escalate. Trump says we’ve won, therefore we can bring them home.
He can then offer sanctions relief & the unfreezing of assets as a carrot to get the SOH open. Iran will broadcast that it wants to impose tolls, but without the U.S. acting as the aggressor in the SOH, will lose the justification to do so.
Time is not on our side, and we are fools to think we can control the pace of the war. With each passing moment we risk being sucked back in, to ultimately squander even more American blood and treasure.
Show more
This is a preview of the neocons & Israel lobby’s new talking points to merge the Iran war with the Ukraine war.
This is being done to maximize the amount of resources they can steal from the American people to fund these destructive & pointless wars.
Reject the propaganda.
Put 🇺🇸1st
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🚨Bookmark this five-alarm warning: America is confronting a red-green-brown alliance of communists, Islamists, and fascists. They converge on one objective: eroding the principles, institutions, and ideals that made the American Republic the freest, strongest, and most prosperous nation on earth.
If decent, common-sense Americans don’t defeat this movement, our country could be unrecognizable within a decade.
Mamdani, Sanders, AOC, El-Sayed, Carlson, Fuentes, and their fellow ideologues seek a weaker, poorer, more divided, more hateful and intolerant America: a betrayal of the Republic that generations of brave Americans built, defended, and handed to us.
The regimes in China, Russia, Iran, Qatar, and Turkey feed this red-green-brown alliance. And they are waiting for the right opportunity to move in for the kill shot.
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