🚨EXCLUSIVE: Is Charlie Kirk's .30-06 wound really "1 in 1,000" or "impossible"? I asked Connecticut's Chief Medical Examiner.
"I do not find the lack of an exit wound unusual if the round was a soft point bullet. These bullets are meant to break up on impact. Striking the spinal column also would decrease the likelihood for an exit."
That's Dr. James Gill, former president of the National Association of Medical Examiners.
On the probability claims:
"No number can be put on the likelihood."
Now compare that with what's been said publicly:
@IanCarrollShow: "If you are being generous, it might happen 1/1000 times. Realistically, it's statistically impossible."
@BretWeinstein: "Maybe there's some 1 in 10,000 chance."
@jimmy_dore: a .30-06 should have "taken his head clean off" and left a "drive-through window."
@chrismartenson: "Proof! Charlie Kirk Was Not Shot With a .30-06 As Claimed," based partly on shooting pork roasts and gel.
So where did "1 in 1,000" and "1 in 10,000" come from?
No forensic data. No scientific study. No medical examiner.
Just guesses dressed up as scientific probabilities, now used to push the claim that Tyler Robinson was a patsy.
An actual chief medical examiner says no such number exists.
But sure, trust the pork roast.